Horse profile
Chanceawetmorning (IRE)
by Snow Sky (GB) out of Jim's Article (IRE) (Definite Article (GB))
21 runs · 18 courses · from May 2024
As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won last time out
5 wins · 5 courses
Last run 14 Oct 2026 · 1st of 4
Last raced off OR 130
KTB Profile
Chanceawetmorning is a gelding who has won five of 21 starts on turf, including a Grade 3 success in the Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase at Punchestown in Oct 2026. All five wins came on a first visit to the course, with two over 2m1f – 2m4f, two over 1m5f – 2m and one over 2m5f – 3m on good, good to soft or soft going. He won last time out at Punchestown in Oct 2026 when last raced off a career-high mark of 130.
Based on 21 archived runs · run-style from 19 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 15 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
OR at career high
- 5–21Wins / Runs
- 23.8%Strike rate
- 9 (42.9%)Placed
- −4.53£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 1.31Fair A/E n=21 · 1.09 incl. margin
- 130Highest OR
- 24dBetween runs (median)longest 258 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating130At career-high mark
130
98–130
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 115
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 129B | 111 | 5 runs · 115 / 108 |
| Soft | 4 | 111C | 57.5 | 1 run · — |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 166B | 113.5 | 2 runs · 166 / 121.5 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 129B | 111 | 6 runs · 115 / 107.5 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2 | 114B | 111 | 1 run · — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 166B | 82.5 | 1 run · — |
Of 21 runs looked at, 6 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 15 figures from 21 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 14 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 1) · to 14 Oct 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.
Run style from 19 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 8 (42%) · 3 wins
- Mid-division 4 (21%) · 1 win
- Held up 4 (21%) · 0 wins
- Led 3 (16%) · 1 win
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 424 runs since Jan 2021 (54 horses).
Strongest on good going: 15% from 160. Weakest on soft going: 6.9% from 130. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 184.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| Good | 160 | 24 | 15% | +4.2 | 2 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 94 | 10 | 10.6% | −0.2 | 2 from 6 |
| Soft | 130 | 9 | 6.9% | −3.9 | 1 from 7 |
| Heavy | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | −2.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 1 | 20% | +9.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 127 | 15 | 11.8% | +1 | 2 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 184 | 14 | 7.6% | −3.2 | 2 from 14 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 81 | 10 | 12.3% | +1.5 | 1 from 3 |
| Over 3m | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | +12.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2021 · as at 15 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Jim's Article (IRE) (Definite Article (GB))
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Rexem (IRE) (6 wins).
The wins came over 2m3f–2m7f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Rexem (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rexem (IRE) | 33 | 6 | 2m3f–2m7f | Class 3 |
| Geraldo (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 2m3½f | — |
| Too Hot To Trot (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
| Locken Lady (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 2 | 25% | +1.50 |
| Soft | 7 | 1 | 14% | −4.38 |
| Good to Soft | 6 | 2 | 33% | −1.65 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downpatrick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Sligo (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Downpatrick (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.10 |
| Kilbeggan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 14 | 2 | 14% | −4.88 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 2 | 50% | +0.35 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kennedy | 4 | 3 | 75% | +7.75 |
| James Smith | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Josh Williamson | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.10 |
| Mr O McGill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jody McGarvey | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Paddy Hanlon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Danny Gilligan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr Finian Maguire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr D G Lavery | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 19 | 5 | 26% | −2.53 |
| Tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 5 | 42% | +4.47 |
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 15 | 3 | 20% | −8.03 |
| Chase | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.50 |
| NH Flat | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 12 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 26+14d | Punchestown (IRE) | Matchbook Betting Exchange Novice Steeplechase (Grade 3) Prominent in 3rd early - dropped to 4th before 7th - moved up to 2nd 3 out and soon pressed for the lead - edged ahead before 2 out - one length up when left in front over the last - kept on strongly to win | 1/4 | 11-1 | 130 | 104C | 147C | Jack Kennedy | 11/2 | |
| 30 Sep 26+26d | Sligo (IRE) | Christy 'Frosty' Callaghan Memorial Steeplechase Vied for front spot early - went sweetly to hold a 2 length advantage turning in - shaken up soon after - went to the front after the last and stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to win | 1/6 | 11-4 | — | 108A | 137B | Jack Kennedy | 2/1 | |
| 04 Sep 26+9d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Clarke's Electrical Contractors, Castletown Geoghegan Beginners Steeplechase Contesting the front spot early - clear from three out - challenged at the second-last but shook that off again - two lengths to the good and going strong when came down at the final fence | F/4 | — | 11-12 | — | — | — | Danny Gilligan | 7/4 |
| 26 Aug 26+17d | Bellewstown (IRE) | Bective Stud, Hotel & Tea Rooms Mullacurry Cup Handicap Hurdle Settled just off the front group early - up to 5th by halfway - moved into 2nd approaching 5 out - third and stumbled 3 out - driven up to challenge the front-runner 2 out - held on for fourth without finding more in the run to the line | 4/11 | 1¾ | 11-6 | 125 | 111B | 131A | James Smith | 6/1 |
| 09 Aug 26+56d | Downpatrick (IRE) | Randox Rated Hurdle Set the gallop from the front - a little untidy over the opening obstacle - swished occasionally - lost the advantage after the 5th and settled into second - closed up before the last but again scratchy there - asked for more soon after with nothing forthcoming - held to third with no response inside the final furlong | 3/5 | 5 | 11-9 | 125 | 85C | 123B | Jack Kennedy | 4/5F |
| 14 Jun 26+6d | Downpatrick | Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Hurdle Prominent from the start - clear before 3 out - unbalanced and pushed along 2 out - overtaken before the last - dropped away quickly and faded to finish ninth | 9/10 | 13 | 11-7 | 126 | 115B | 112A | James Smith | 6/4F |
| 08 Jun 26+9d | Roscommon | McNulty Furniture Rated Novice Hurdle Sat second early - moved to front turning for home - opened up a big advantage before three out - allowed to coast home unchallenged | 1/3 | 10-13 | 120 | 111C | 136C | James Smith | 13/8 | |
| 30 May 26+16d | Listowel | Insurance Wise Handicap Hurdle Settled midfield early - carrying enthusiasm in the bridle - up to third four out - shared front spot into the straight - driven on then lost place after veering right approaching two out - urged in second but unable to close before the last - third on the run-in and stayed on at one speed | 3/13 | 1 | 11-7 | 118 | 77B | 133A | Josh Williamson | 9/2 |
| 14 May 26+20d | Clonmel | Clonmel Racecourse Supporters Club Handicap Hurdle Settled in the pack - moved up to 5th before the 3rd - edged into contention 3f out where brushed by a rival - up to 3rd inside the final 2f - gained a slender advantage in the final furlong - ran on strongly to win | 1/11 | 10-12 | 111 | — | 132A | Josh Williamson | 11/10F | |
| 24 Apr 26+49d | Kilbeggan | Follow Kilbeggan On Social Media Handicap Hurdle Sent clear early - lost front spot before 1st - tracking in second at halfway - back in command 2 out - driven out from the last to prevail | 1/14 | 11-4 | 102 | 166B | 140A | Jack Kennedy | 5/4F | |
| 06 Mar 26+50d | Ayr | Albert Bartlett Triple Crown Series Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back throughout - pushed along after the 9th but made no headway by the third-last - taken out of contest before reaching the second-last | PU/10 | — | 11-4 | 109 | — | — | Mr O McGill | 5/2F |
| 15 Jan 26+76d | Fairyhouse | William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) Sat close to the pace - back in 6th at halfway - moved through to share advantage after three out - pushed along and overtaken near the last then held safe to the line | 2/16 | 2½ | 11-7 | 98 | — | 130A | Mr O McGill | 15/8F |
| 2025 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 31 Oct 25+21d | Down Royal | Lough Construction Ltd. Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Settled midpack early - untidy over one obstacle four out then advanced smartly to reach the front rank and hit the front two out - driven approaching the last where drifted left and again ragged in the air - overtaken soon after and lost ground to finish fifth | 5/20 | ½ | 11-12 | 98 | 114B | 125A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 11/1 |
| 10 Oct 25+258d | Downpatrick | Willwego.com Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Held up towards the back - made progress 3 out - up on the pace 6th but stumbled 2 out and soon under pressure - stumbled again at the last - unable to threaten leaders and finished 6th | 6/9 | 9 | 11-13 | 99 | 69A | 105A | Darragh O'Keeffe | 18/1 |
| 25 Jan 25+28d | Fairyhouse | Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle Held up towards the back - drifted right at the opening fence - up in 9th by the 4th - lost touch before 3 out after an untidy leap and dropped away to finish well behind in 11th | 11/12 | 33 | 11-4 | 102 | -1C | 93C | Conor Stone-Walsh | 28/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 28 Dec 24+12d | Leopardstown | Savills Maiden Hurdle Held up at the back - pushed along with little response approaching 2 out - dropped away and well beaten late | 11/12 | hd | 11-7 | — | — | 111C | Jody McGarvey | 150/1 |
| 16 Dec 24+84d | Naas | Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Maiden Hurdle Settled around midfield - bumped a touch past the 5th - made no headway from 3 out and well held at the finish | 13/18 | 11 | 11-7 | — | 113C | 107C | Jody McGarvey | 50/1 |
| 23 Sep 24+32d | Sedgefield | Roxyfet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Sat close to the front pair - moved through strongly nearing 2 out - asked for effort soon after - stayed on late but lacked the speed to get involved | 3/12 | 2½ | 10-9 | — | 129B | 111B | Paddy Hanlon | 16/1 |
| 22 Aug 24+24d | Killarney | Killarney Valley Flat Race Sat behind the front group early - 4th at halfway - driven approaching the straight without gaining ground - faded from 2f out to finish well beaten | 7/12 | 13 | 11-11 | — | 46C | 96C | Mr Finian Maguire | 11/1 |
| 29 Jul 24+84d | Galway | Monami Construction Flat Race | 6/14 | 3¾ | 11-10 | — | — | 114A | Mr D G Lavery | 17/2 |
| 06 May 24 | Down Royal | Energise (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 3/12 | 4 | 11-3 | — | 121A | 116A | Paddy Hanlon | 12/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Chanceawetmorning won?
- Chanceawetmorning (IRE) won 5 of 21 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 23.8%. Placed 9 times in total (42.9% of starts).
- Who trains Chanceawetmorning?
- Chanceawetmorning (IRE) is trained by Gordon Elliott, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Chanceawetmorning's sire?
- Chanceawetmorning (IRE) is by Snow Sky (GB) out of Jim's Article (IRE), whose sire is Definite Article (GB).
- What going does Chanceawetmorning prefer?
- Chanceawetmorning (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chanceawetmorning's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 130, from the run on 14 October 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Chanceawetmorning's sire's record?
- Snow Sky (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 424 runs since Jan 2021 (54 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good going: 15% from 160. Weakest on soft going: 6.9% from 130. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.6% from 184.
- Who are Chanceawetmorning's siblings?
- Out of Jim's Article (IRE), Chanceawetmorning (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Rexem (IRE) (6). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Rexem (IRE)). The wins came over 2m3f–2m7f. As at Nov 2026.