Horse profile
Chica Guerrera (IRE)
by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Elusive Gold (IRE) (Elusive City)
23 runs · 17 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Down Royal, Tramore & Gowran Park
Last run 1 Nov 2026 · 7th of 21
Last raced off OR 92
KTB Profile
Chica Guerrera (IRE) is 3 from 23.
Based on 23 archived runs · run-style from 22 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 2 Nov 2026
- 3–23Wins / Runs
- 13%Strike rate
- 10 (43.5%)Placed
- −7.00£1 level staken=23 at SP
- 1.36Fair A/E n=23 · 1.10 incl. margin
- 93Highest OR
- 19dBetween runs (median)longest 240 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating92↓ 1lb off peak
92
53–93
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 114
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 135C | 86 | 8 runs · 135 / 95 |
| Heavy | 5 | 119C | 82 | 2 runs · 82 / 60.5 |
| Good | 3 | 100A | 85 | 2 runs · 100 / 92.5 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 2 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 10 | 135C | 86 | 7 runs · 135 / 86 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 114A | 85.5 | 5 runs · 114 / 88 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 119C | 54 | — |
Of 23 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: did not complete (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 23 runs · as at 2 Nov 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 22 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 11 (50%) · 2 wins
- Held up 5 (23%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 4 (18%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (9%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,923 runs since Apr 2022 (365 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 946. Weakest on heavy going: 5.6% from 142.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 2 | 40% | +28.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 373 | 47 | 12.6% | +1.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 693 | 65 | 9.4% | −2.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 339 | 35 | 10.3% | −1.2 | 1 from 1 |
| Soft | 425 | 39 | 9.2% | −2.3 | 1 from 11 |
| Heavy | 142 | 8 | 5.6% | −5.9 | 1 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 946 | 141 | 14.9% | +3.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 70 | 3 | 4.3% | −7.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 892 | 96 | 10.8% | −0.7 | 1 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 898 | 106 | 11.8% | +0.3 | 0 from 8 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 802 | 104 | 13% | +1.5 | 2 from 11 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 194 | 23 | 11.9% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 66 | 5 | 7.6% | −3.9 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2022 · as at 1 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Elusive Gold (IRE) (Elusive City)
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Paddy's Day (IRE) (9 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m4f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (Paddy's Day (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy's Day (IRE) | 58 | 9 | 5f–6f | Class 2 |
| Shifting Gold (IRE) | 29 | 3 | 1m½f–1m4f | Class 5 |
| Gold Star Gazing (IRE) | 6 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Forge Road (IRE) | 22 | 0 | — | — |
| Jungle Queen (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Chico Guapo (IRE) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 11 | 1 | 9% | −6.00 |
| Heavy | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.50 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Standard (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curragh | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Gowran Park | 3 | 1 | 33% | +1.50 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Curragh (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leopardstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Leopardstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tramore | 1 | 1 | 100% | +5.50 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 11 | 2 | 18% | +0.50 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Holohan | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Keithen Kennedy | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.50 |
| Ronan Whelan | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Gavin Ryan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Leigh Roche | 2 | 1 | 50% | +4.50 |
| Wayne Lordan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Joseph Harnett | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane Foley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −6.00 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +0.50 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 17% | −1.50 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 11 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Nov 26+21d | Curragh (IRE) | Keadeen Hotel Premier Handicap Sat in the pack - urged on over 2f out and moved up to 6th over 1f out - soon out of reserves and plodded on inside the final furlong to finish 7th | 7/21 | 1 | 9-2 | 92 | 88C | 97A | Reese Holohan | 20/1 |
| 11 Oct 26+19d | Naas (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Bluebell Stakes (Listed) Up with the pace early - sixth at the midway point before urged along 2f out and making no dent over 1f out - weakened in the final furlong to finish 9th | 9/14 | 6½ | 9-7 | 93 | 135C | 78A | Reese Holohan | 100/1 |
| 22 Sep 26+10d | Listowel (IRE) | Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed) Settled in the pack early - still 7th at halfway - asked for effort over 2f out but couldn't quicken - stayed on same gear to finish 7th | 7/11 | 1½ | 9-4 | 93 | 102A | 79A | Gavin Ryan | 7/1 |
| 12 Sep 26+38d | Leopardstown (IRE) | World Pool Bet With Tote Autumn Fillies Handicap Sat behind pace - third at halfway - driven forward to hit front approaching final two furlongs - battled on gamely but caught close home | 2/18 | ½ | 9-3 | 91 | 85C | 96A | Reese Holohan | 18/1 |
| 05 Aug 26+5d | Sligo (IRE) | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Connacht Oaks Fillies Handicap Sat just off the front group in 5th - up to 4th past halfway - into 3rd as the race intensified nearing the straight - moved into 2nd and pressed on 200 yards out - stayed on to finish second by a short head margin | 2/5 | hd | 9-4 | 93 | 86C | 81B | Reese Holohan | 11/4 |
| 31 Jul 26+41d | Galway (IRE) | Guinness Handicap Held up towards the back - pushed along in 11th two furlongs out - unable to close the gap - finished well held in 14th | 14/18 | ¾ | 9-0 | 93 | 86C | 73A | Reese Holohan | 20/1 |
| 20 Jun 26+19d | Down Royal | BOYLE Sports Irish EBF Ulster Oaks Fillies Handicap Held up early - improved into third 2f out - moved into second looking full of running 1 1/2f out - hit front 1f out - shaken up and quickly opened a big gap - kept finding more under hand riding - allowed to coast home unchallenged | 1/9 | 9-1 | 79 | 102A | 98A | Ronan Whelan | 4/1 | |
| 01 Jun 26+17d | Gowran Park | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Sat close behind front pair in 3rd - moved up to challenge with 2 1/2f left then fought on into the closing stages - held on for third without gaining further ground | 3/8 | 2¼ | 8-10 | 79 | 114A | 90A | Reese Holohan | 4/1 |
| 15 May 26+12d | Leopardstown | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Hit front early - dropped to second - back in command before turning in - overtaken close home and held on for fourth | 4/11 | ½ | 9-7 | 80 | 100A | 83A | Reese Holohan | 5/1 |
| 03 May 26+30d | Sligo | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap Settled towards the rear early - into the pack after 2f - pushed along to make ground wide out - up to 6th with a furlong left - stayed on well but couldn't get to winner | 2/10 | 1½ | 8-12 | 78 | 63A | 82A | Reese Holohan | 13/2 |
| 03 Apr 26+152d | Curragh | 1xBet.ie Emerald Cup Handicap (Premier Handicap) Sat behind front group - 6th at halfway - asked for effort with 2f left but found little - dropped away over a furlong out to finish last of the also-rans | 15/18 | nk | 8-7 | 79 | 39C | 66C | Wayne Lordan | 12/1 |
| 2025 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 02 Nov 25+12d | Curragh | Finlay Volvo Premier Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Sat handy behind front pack - second at halfway - shared advantage 2f out - pushed along with 1.5f left - overtaken inside final 150 yards and held on for third | 3/23 | ¾ | 7-11 | 74 | 82C | 85A | Reese Holohan | 12/1 |
| 21 Oct 25+15d | Curragh | Final Furlong Podcast With 1xbet.ie Handicap Set the pace early - driven and urged approaching final two furlongs - challenged hard inside the last then overtaken close to the line - could not find more and finished third | 3/25 | ½ | 9-10 | 70 | 84C | 95A | Leigh Roche | 18/1 |
| 06 Oct 25+14d | Killarney | Killarney Apprentice Handicap Sat behind the front pair early - third at halfway - improved to second and asked for effort with 2f left - edged in front with a furlong to go - stayed on strongly but caught right at the finish | 2/7 | hd | 9-6 | 69 | 52A | 74A | Joseph Harnett | 11/4 |
| 22 Sep 25+37d | Listowel | Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap Sat close to the pace early - fifth at halfway - driven approaching the straight before being brought down a furlong out | BD/13 | — | 9-8 | 69 | — | — | Keithen Kennedy | 3/1F |
| 16 Aug 25+15d | Tramore | Morris DIY Rated Race Sat close to the front and into 2nd - moved up into 3rd by 4f mark - eased to the front approaching 3f out and asked for effort with a four length margin 2f out - stayed on strongly in the closing stages to win | 1/9 | 9-9 | 63 | 88A | 94A | Leigh Roche | 11/2 | |
| 01 Aug 25+240d | Galway | Arthur Guinness Handicap Handy behind front group early on outside - settled midfield by halfway then asked for effort into straight - couldn't find extra inside final furlong and finished well held | 9/16 | 3 | 9-9 | 64 | 70C | 60A | Ronan Whelan | 6/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 04 Dec 24+44d | Dundalk (AW) | Now Racing Every Wednesday At Dundalk Nursery Handicap Settled midpack near the rail - pushed along in 7th with 2f left - unable to close - finished 8th | 8/14 | 1 | 8-10 | 66 | 86B | 61A | Keithen Kennedy | 4/1 |
| 21 Oct 24+30d | Gowran Park | Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap (47-65) Slow to start - settled just behind the pace - 4th at halfway - made ground into contention over 2f out - went in front approaching the final furlong and a half - powered clear for an easy win | 1/16 | 8-7 | 53 | 119C | 77A | Keithen Kennedy | 7/2F | |
| 21 Sep 24+32d | Gowran Park | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden Settled midfield early fighting for control - 7th at halfway - asked for effort entering straight - urged on with two furlongs left - unable to find more and beaten well into 8th | 8/11 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 61A | 47A | Shane Foley | 250/1 |
| 20 Aug 24+10d | Roscommon | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hesitant start - settled towards the back - 10th turning into the straight - improved into 7th with 2f to run - held that position but couldn't quicken through to the finish | 7/10 | 4¼ | 9-2 | — | 39C | 46C | Ronan Whelan | 80/1 |
| 10 Aug 24+11d | Curragh | Revamp Conservation And Restoration Irish European Breeders Fund Maiden Held up towards the back - given a shove approaching final 2f - unable to land a blow - finished well beaten in 14th | 14/19 | ¾ | 8-9 | — | 59C | 53A | Keithen Kennedy | 200/1 |
| 30 Jul 24 | Galway | COLM QUINN BMW Irish EBF Fillies Maiden | 11/13 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 49C | 53C | Gavin Ryan | 80/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Chica Guerrera won?
- Chica Guerrera (IRE) won 3 of 23 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 13%. Placed 10 times in total (43.5% of starts).
- Who trains Chica Guerrera?
- Chica Guerrera (IRE) is trained by Mark Fahey, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 1 November 2026.
- Who is Chica Guerrera's sire?
- Chica Guerrera (IRE) is by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Elusive Gold (IRE), whose sire is Elusive City.
- What going does Chica Guerrera prefer?
- Chica Guerrera (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 6 starts (16.7%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Chica Guerrera's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 92, from the run on 1 November 2026. The highest on record is 93.
- What is Chica Guerrera's sire's record?
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,923 runs since Apr 2022 (365 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 946. Weakest on heavy going: 5.6% from 142.
- Who are Chica Guerrera's siblings?
- Out of Elusive Gold (IRE), Chica Guerrera (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Paddy's Day (IRE) (9). Highest grade won: Class 2 (Paddy's Day (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m4f. As at Nov 2026.