What is Keithen Kennedy's strike rate?

Keithen Kennedy has won 59 of 685 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Keithen Kennedy do best at?

Leopardstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Keithen Kennedy ride most for?

Mrs J. Harrington, with 230 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9.1%).

What is Keithen Kennedy's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 685 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Keithen Kennedy

685 rides in the last 5 seasons · 372 individual horses

As at 12 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 22 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2023→)

from 1 Jan 2022

59–685

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=685

165 (24%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=685 · 0.85 incl. margin

−154.98

£1 level stake

n=685 at SP · −22.6%

£875k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.2%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 140 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 685 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 12 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun 35.1% when favourite Mrs J. Harrington: 9.1% from 230 Claiming: 8.7% Rides the favourite in 8% of races

The read

It is weakest at Galway (3.2% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Mrs J. Harrington supplies 34% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (9.1%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also reads well over 1m5f – 2m (12.5%, n=64). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Unite The Union Winning For Members EBF Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes at Ayr (Jun 2025, £28,355). Seasonally, the rider fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.6%+0.0

n=372 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −54.56

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

9%+0.4

n=67 · A/E 0.63 · £1 −32.84

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

8.6%+0.0

n=105 · A/E 1.29 · £1 −19.92

When favourite

35.1%

n=57 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +6.86

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.7%+0.1

n=610 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −176.98

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.4%−2.2

n=344 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −143.25

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.1%+2.5

n=9 · A/E 5.25 · £1 +42.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With first-time headgear 0% vs 8.6% · n=38

With Mark Fahey 16.7% vs 8.6% · n=36

With John C McConnell 14.1% vs 8.6% · n=64

At Galway 3.2% vs 8.6% · n=31

With horses switching code 13% vs 8.6% · n=46

Over 1m5f – 2m 12.5% vs 8.6% · n=64

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 235 23 9.8% +12.08

Standard (AW) 164 17 10.4% −10.76

Soft 160 9 5.6% −100.81

Heavy 51 5 9.8% −8.67

Good to Soft 50 4 8% −24.57

Good to Firm 25 1 4% −22.25

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 158 16 10.1% −11.26

Curragh 99 5 5.1% −46.25

Leopardstown 54 6 11.1% −15.84

Navan 45 4 8.9% +2.75

Gowran Park 38 3 7.9% −10.50

Cork 34 2 5.9% +3.00

Naas 34 2 5.9% −18.00

Galway 31 1 3.2% −27.50

Down Royal 25 3 12% −6.50

Limerick 20 2 10% −13.05

Fairyhouse 19 1 5.3% −15.50

Roscommon 18 0 0% −18.00

Killarney 16 2 12.5% −6.00

Bellewstown 16 2 12.5% +9.00

Ballinrobe 13 1 7.7% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 9 1 11.1% +42.00

Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 1 100% +5.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 63 20 31.7% 1.30 +0.86

2nd–3rd fav 106 12 11.3% 0.80 −37.34

4th–6th fav 173 17 9.8% 1.18 −7.50

7th+ in betting 343 10 2.9% 0.90 −111.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

May Night (GB) 13 2 3 12 Aug 26

Tawaazon (IRE) 11 1 5 4 Oct 26

Together Aclaim (GB) 11 2 4 5 Nov 25

Stanhope (GB) 11 1 4 22 Oct 25

Livingston Range (IRE) 10 0 2 24 Jun 26

Daonethatgotaway (GB) 10 3 5 22 Sep 25

Dark Viper (GB) 9 1 3 9 Oct 26

Billie Be Quick (IRE) 8 1 2 14 Jun 26

Giuseppe Cassioli (GB) 8 2 5 10 Jul 25

Zahee (IRE) 8 1 2 30 Oct 24

Pierre Grosse (GB) 7 0 3 15 Oct 26

Gangster Granny (IRE) 7 2 3 6 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 372 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

142317211107124709

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMrs J. Harrington

34% of all rides
9.1% SR · A/E 1.01

TrainerRWSR£1

Mrs J. Harrington 230 21 9.1% −41.69

John C McConnell 64 9 14.1% +38.25

Mark Fahey 36 6 16.7% −4.59

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2023→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£875k

Prize money

2024

Best season · 27 wins

Saratoga Special (IRE) — Unite The Union Winning For Members EBF Land O'Burns Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Listed) Ayr · Jun 2025 · Listed

£28,355

Sarahmae (IRE) — Neville Homes Handicap Curragh · Aug 2025

£20,650

May Night (GB) — Download The bet365 App Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 6

£17,351

Notable horses

Daonethatgotaway (GB) May Night (GB) Together Aclaim (GB) Giuseppe Cassioli (GB) Gangster Granny (IRE) Jabbar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Equiano (FR) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 9.1% of 7,543 runs since 2014 (549 horses).

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 5.3% · 1–19

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,875 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Profitable (IRE) 5.6% · 1–18

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,450 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Belardo (IRE) 5.9% · 1–17

Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,746 runs since 2020 (281 horses).

Australia (GB) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11.1% of 5,682 runs since 2018 (569 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 108.

Dark Angel (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,957 runs since 2011 (1,596 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 12 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 685 · newest first

The latest 50 of 685 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 September 2023 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aboveheronlysky (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap6f · Yielding · 21 ran 15th 20/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Bay Of Dreams (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Always Gambling Responsibly With 1xBet.ie Handicap8f · Yielding · 23 ran 21st 25/1

20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Apollo's Comet (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Staffordstown Stud Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Yielding · 11 ran 7th 125/1

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Miss Americana (GB)T: Charles O'Brien Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 5th 5/1J

19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Simpson's Paradox (IRE)T: John Andrew Kinsella Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 11/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Sinbad My Dad (IRE)T: Seamus Fahey Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 5th 14/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Oro Blanco (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Nord Anglia International School Dublin Foxrock Cup Handicap8.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 9/2

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Margot Mae (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap8.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 16/1

16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Wie Wunderbar (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 15/2

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Granville Street (IRE)T: Ciaran Murphy Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 2nd 18/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Pierre Grosse (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington DNG People & Property Maiden12f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 11th 5/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Oh So Charming (GB)T: P Cluskey On-Course Vets Handicap12f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 100/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Oro Blanco (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Naas Racecourse Handicap7f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)T: Richard John O'Brien Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap12f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/2

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Dark Viper (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap12f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 8/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Ebony Reign (IRE)T: Miss Kate McGivern View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 100/1

09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Glyndwr (IRE)T: G. O'Leary BAR 1 Betting 'First For Football' Handicap8f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 25/1

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Pierre Grosse (GB)T: Mrs J. Harrington Killinan Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 2nd 10/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Aboveheronlysky (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Handicap6f · Yielding · 22 ran 13th 33/1

07 Oct 26 Navan (IRE) Better Yet (IRE)T: Mrs J. Harrington Navan Racing Festival 14th & 15th November Median Auction Maiden6f · Yielding · 21 ran 7th 3/1C

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 5 Oct 2026: top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 8 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Keithen Kennedy's strike rate?: Keithen Kennedy has won 59 of 685 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 12 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Keithen Kennedy do best at?: Leopardstown by strike rate: 6 wins from 54 rides (11.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Keithen Kennedy ride most for?: Mrs J. Harrington, with 230 rides since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9.1%).
What is Keithen Kennedy's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 685 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.