Churchill Bay (GB)
Churchill Bay (GB) is a maiden who ran 26 times between Jul 2020 and Dec 2023 without winning but placed five times. All starts came over 6f – 7f. He reached a best of 2 of 11 at Wolverhampton (AW) in Dec 2023 and finished 6 of 11 in a Class 6 handicap at Southwell (AW) the same month when beaten favourite. The gelding raced off an official rating of 50 at that last run, 34lb below his highest ever mark.
- 0–26Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 5 (19.2%)Placed
- −26.00£1 level staken=26 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=26 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 84Highest OR
- 20dBetween runs (median)longest 377 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 91
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 14 | 108A | 88 | — |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 100A | 78.5 | — |
| Good | 4 | 92A | 78 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 99A | 90 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 4 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 26 | 108A | 85.5 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 26 figures from 26 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 7.4% of 915 runs since Jun 2020 (63 horses).
Weakest on soft going: 4% from 100.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −7.4 | — |
| Good to Firm | 107 | 11 | 10.3% | +2.9 | 0 from 6 |
| Good | 183 | 12 | 6.6% | −0.8 | 0 from 4 |
| Good to Soft | 81 | 4 | 4.9% | −2.5 | — |
| Soft | 100 | 4 | 4% | −3.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 39 | 0 | 0% | −7.4 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 404 | 37 | 9.2% | +1.8 | 0 from 14 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 113 | 9 | 8% | +0.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 516 | 37 | 7.2% | −0.2 | 0 from 26 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 174 | 14 | 8% | +0.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 58 | 2 | 3.4% | −4 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | +6.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 0 | 0% | −7.4 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Bear Island (GB) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Bear Island (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Island (GB) | 9 | 1 | 1m | Class 6 |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| Good to Firm | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Good | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 5 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Class 4 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Class 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Catterick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| York | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Eaves | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| John Fahy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Lewis Edmunds | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Mr Fletcher Yarham | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Andrew Elliott | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Faye McManoman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kevin Stott | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hector Crouch | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie | 13 | 0 | 0% | −13.00 |
| None | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie + visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 0 | 0% | −14.00 |
| 2022 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 · 14 runs | ||||||||||
| 15 Dec 23+5d | Southwell (AW) | BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Amateur Jockeys' Handicap | 6/11 | ½ | 10-4 | 50 | 46A | 66A | Mr Fletcher Yarham | 3/1F |
| 10 Dec 23+5d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap (Div 2) | 4/12 | 1¼ | 8-12 | 50 | 91A | 66A | Lewis Edmunds | 7/4F |
| 05 Dec 23+22d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap | 2/11 | nk | 10-8 | 50 | 79A | 75A | Mr Fletcher Yarham | 5/2F |
| 13 Nov 23+13d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div 1) | 2/11 | nk | 9-5 | 48 | 85A | 74A | Lewis Edmunds | 4/1C |
| 31 Oct 23+50d | Newcastle (AW) | Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap | 6/11 | ¾ | 9-7 | 50 | 91A | 64A | Tom Eaves | 10/3 |
| 11 Sep 23+39d | Newcastle (AW) | QuinnBet Handicap (Div 2) | 9/12 | 2¾ | 9-9 | 54 | 87A | 54A | Tom Eaves | 20/1 |
| 03 Aug 23+34d | Newcastle (AW) | Follow AtTheRaces On Twitter Handicap (Div 2) | 10/14 | nk | 9-6 | 57 | 89B | 64A | Lewis Edmunds | 18/1 |
| 30 Jun 23+20d | Newcastle (AW) | JenningsBet In Pelton Handicap | 8/13 | shd | 10-0 | 60 | 75B | 72A | Faye McManoman | 25/1 |
| 10 Jun 23+16d | Catterick | Maurice Fixter 80th Birthday Handicap | 12/13 | 10 | 10-2 | 65 | 64C | 47C | Andrew Elliott | 80/1 |
| 25 May 23+38d | Catterick | Download The Vickers.Bet App Handicap | 9/10 | 2½ | 9-9 | 68 | 60A | 57A | Andrew Elliott | 33/1 |
| 17 Apr 23+8d | Redcar | Yorkshire Wonder Horse Handicap | 11/11 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 70 | 81A | 62A | Tom Eaves | 50/1 |
| 09 Apr 23+31d | Southwell (AW) | Join Southwell Golf Club Handicap | 6/8 | ¾ | 9-9 | 70 | 68A | 64A | Tom Eaves | 20/1 |
| 09 Mar 23+14d | Newcastle (AW) | Top Odds Every Day With Betuk Handicap | 3/9 | hd | 9-9 | 70 | 89A | 83A | Tom Eaves | 80/1 |
| 23 Feb 23+145d | Southwell (AW) | Betuk's Acca Club 5 Free Bet Handicap | 11/11 | 5 | 9-2 | 73 | 63C | 38C | Tom Eaves | 100/1 |
| 2022 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Oct 22+9d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap | 4/10 | ½ | 9-11 | 74 | 108A | 84A | John Fahy | 17/2 |
| 22 Sep 22+11d | Pontefract | Caygill Family Handicap | 11/11 | 3 | 9-3 | 76 | 69C | 56C | Kevin Stott | 6/1 |
| 11 Sep 22+29d | Chepstow | Vickers.Bet Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap | 8/11 | hd | 9-12 | 76 | 99A | 83A | John Fahy | 13/2 |
| 13 Aug 22+15d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap | 4/10 | nk | 9-10 | 76 | 106A | 91A | John Fahy | 8/1 |
| 29 Jul 22+377d | Newmarket | Visit racingtv.com Handicap | 2/6 | 1 | 9-4 | 75 | 86A | 87B | John Fahy | 12/1 |
| 2021 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 17 Jul 21+15d | Newmarket | Thank You Dr Jerry Hill Handicap | 8/10 | 1½ | 9-5 | 78 | 81A | 68A | Rob Hornby | 18/1 |
| 02 Jul 21+18d | Haydock | Every Race Live On Racingtv Handicap | 10/10 | ½ | 9-2 | 80 | 87A | 61A | Hector Crouch | 14/1 |
| 14 Jun 21+65d | Windsor | Fitzdares Racing Sportsbook Of The Year Handicap | 4/11 | nk | 9-7 | 80 | 100A | 82A | Adam Kirby | 16/1 |
| 10 Apr 21+234d | Wolverhampton (AW) | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Median Auction Stakes | 4/7 | nk | 9-2 | 83 | 94A | 77A | Adam Kirby | 5/4F |
| 2020 · 3 runs | ||||||||||
| 19 Aug 20+25d | York | Sky Bet Nursery | 11/12 | 1¼ | 9-2 | 84 | 45A | 59A | Adam Kirby | 9/1 |
| 25 Jul 20+12d | Ascot | Anders Foundation British EBF Crocker Bulteel Maiden Stakes | 2/9 | hd | 9-0 | — | 76A | 89A | Adam Kirby | 15/2 |
| 13 Jul 20 | Windsor | British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes | 4/11 | 2¼ | 9-2 | — | 92A | 69A | Adam Kirby | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Churchill Bay won?
- Churchill Bay (GB) has yet to win, from 26 archived starts between 2020 and 2023. Placed 5 times in total (19.2% of starts).
- Who trained Churchill Bay?
- Churchill Bay (GB) was trained by Jessica Macey on the most recent run on record, at Southwell (AW) on 15 December 2023.
- Who is Churchill Bay's sire?
- Churchill Bay (GB) is by The Last Lion (IRE) out of Cape Cay (GB), whose sire is Cape Cross.
- What is Churchill Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 50, from the run on 15 December 2023. The highest on record is 84.
- What is Churchill Bay's sire's record?
- The Last Lion (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 7.4% of 915 runs since Jun 2020 (63 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on soft going: 4% from 100.
- Who are Churchill Bay's siblings?
- Out of Cape Cay (GB), Churchill Bay (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Bear Island (GB) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Bear Island (GB)). The wins came over 1m. As at Nov 2026.