What is John Fahy's strike rate?

John Fahy has won 57 of 458 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Fahy do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does John Fahy ride most for?

Clive Cox, with 352 rides since 2022 — 77% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (13.9%).

What is John Fahy's Fair A/E?

1.09, from 456 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

John Fahy

458 rides in the last 5 seasons · 220 individual horses

As at 13 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 144 days ago 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

57–458

Wins / Runs

12.4%

Strike rate

n=458

148 (32%)

Placed

1.09

Fair A/E

n=456 · 0.95 incl. margin

+31.18

£1 level stake

n=458 at SP · +6.8%

£706k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 90 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.09). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 24% (33 rides). Rides mostly for Clive Cox — 77% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 458 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 13 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 41% when favourite Clive Cox: 13.9% from 352 First rides: 12.9% LTO winners: 24.2% Rides the favourite in 9% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 24.2% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.22), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.6% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.51). Clive Cox supplies 77% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.9%, A/E 1.11) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well off a 15-30-day break (16.9%, n=160). The record reads poorly in Class 6 — 3.3% over 60 rides, 9.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 0.70 across 97 rides (8.2% strike, −31.50 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Betfred Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (Sep 2011, £99,600). The standout partner of the record: New Rich (GB) — 5 wins from 38 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

12.9%+0.5

n=202 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −37.71

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

24.2%+11.8

n=33 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −5.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

9.8%−2.6

n=61 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −15.80

When favourite

41%

n=39 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +5.86

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.6%−9.8

n=38 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −31.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.8%−0.6

n=17 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −8.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 24.2% vs 12.4% · n=33

In Class 6 3.3% vs 12.4% · n=60

Over 1m – 1m1f 6.9% vs 12.4% · n=87

Off a 15-30-day break 16.9% vs 12.4% · n=160

Off a 31-60-day break 8.2% vs 12.4% · n=97

In Class 2 7.9% vs 12.4% · n=38

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 198 22 11.1% −54.70

Good to Firm 96 11 11.5% −20.59

Good 96 12 12.5% −16.14

Good to Soft 29 6 20.7% +130.20

Soft 24 4 16.7% +0.50

Firm 9 2 22.2% −2.09

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 70 9 12.9% −22.16

Kempton (AW) 54 6 11.1% −19.92

Salisbury 46 7 15.2% −9.84

Southwell (AW) 37 4 10.8% −18.62

Bath 30 5 16.7% +6.24

Lingfield (AW) 24 3 12.5% +19.00

Newbury 23 2 8.7% +108.00

Leicester 17 4 23.5% +22.12

Haydock 16 3 18.8% +2.70

Windsor 15 2 13.3% −3.25

Newmarket 15 1 6.7% −13.09

Chepstow 15 3 20% +8.50

Ascot 13 2 15.4% +3.75

Nottingham 11 0 0% −11.00

Goodwood 10 2 20% −3.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 183 25 13.7% +7.17

Class 4 137 21 15.3% +89.01

Class 6 60 2 3.3% −46.00

Class 2 38 3 7.9% −16.25

Class 3 23 4 17.4% +5.50

Class 1 17 2 11.8% −8.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 45 17 37.8% 1.18 +4.19

2nd–3rd fav 124 26 21% 1.25 +18.99

4th–6th fav 170 11 6.5% 0.83 −26.00

7th+ in betting 119 3 2.5% 0.79 +34.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Sergeant Pep (IRE) 12 2 3 8 Sep 23

Unbreak My Heart (GB) 8 1 3 20 Sep 24

Gwendolina (GB) 8 1 3 21 Jul 23

Havana Blue (GB) 7 2 3 18 Nov 25

Bonny Angel (GB) 7 1 2 5 Oct 23

Fernando Rah (GB) 7 0 2 9 Sep 23

Kracking (GB) 7 1 2 4 Sep 23

Chase The Dollar (GB) 6 1 3 31 Aug 24

Ticket To Alaska (IRE) 6 0 0 29 Jun 23

Olympic Quest (GB) 6 0 1 30 Mar 23

Bare Necessity (IRE) 6 2 2 26 Jan 23

Wowzers (GB) 6 1 3 29 Sep 22

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 220 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1521758201010205146

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardClive Cox

77% of all rides
13.9% SR · A/E 1.11

TrainerRWSR£1

Clive Cox 352 49 13.9% −31.73

Richard Hannon 30 3 10% +102.33

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

296

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.72m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 43 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Prince Of Johanne (IRE) — Betfred Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Sep 2011 · Class 2

£99,600

Prince Of Johanne (IRE) — Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Ascot · Jun 2012 · Class 2

£77,813

Diligent Harry (GB) — BetUK Hever Sprint Stakes (Listed) Southwell (AW) · Feb 2024 · Listed

£31,614

Notable horses

New Rich (GB) Cool Bahamian (IRE) Panther Patrol (IRE) Starlit Cantata (GB) Goring (GER) Flying Pickets (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Harry Angel (IRE) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 12.6% of 2,803 runs since 2022 (266 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.2% from 340.

Kodiac (GB) 20.6% · 7–34

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,604 runs since 2010 (1,666 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 254.

Showcasing (GB) 20% · 4–20

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,665 runs since 2014 (1,000 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.

Muhaarar (GB) 18.8% · 3–16

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,839 runs since 2019 (415 horses).

Havana Grey (GB) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 13.2% of 4,614 runs since 2022 (420 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 9.9% from 426.

Profitable (IRE) 7.1% · 1–14

Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,450 runs since 2021 (358 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 13 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,726 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,726 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 29 June 2007 to 22 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Jun 26 Brighton Clueisinthetitle (GB)T: Richard Hannon Download The Fairplay App Now EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 3rd 33/1

23 May 26 Windsor Galba (GB)T: Richard Hannon David And Debbie Married At Last HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 6th 8/1

09 May 26 Leicester Quantum Swift (GB)T: Richard Hannon British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 11/2

04 May 26 Kempton (AW) From Me To You (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Shooting Star EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 6th 11/1

03 May 26 Salisbury Guitar Solo (GB)T: Richard Hannon Download The Fitzdares App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 16/1

07 Apr 26 Southwell (AW) Fierce (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 20/1

13 Mar 26 Southwell (AW) Ghadra (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 125/1

12 Mar 26 Chelmsford City (AW) Signcastle City (IRE)T: Richard Hannon tigerbet.co.uk Money Back Specials Handicap (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 5/1

01 Dec 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Have You A Minute (GB)T: Tom Tate Join The Midnite Movement HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 15/2

26 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Fierce (IRE)T: Paul Midgley Midnite Building The Future Of Betting Selling StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1

20 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Harry The Haggler (IRE)T: David Loughnane Midnite Building The Future Of Betting HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 28/1

19 Nov 25 Kempton (AW) Credit Forgedd It (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events NurseryClass 5 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 4th 11/4F

18 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Havana Blue (GB)T: Julie Camacho Take Time Out During SGWEEK25! HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 33/1

08 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Jungle Dance (IRE)T: J R Jenkins Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 20/1

03 Nov 25 Southwell (AW) Delagate This Lord (GB)T: Gary Harrison Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 22/1

01 Nov 25 Newmarket Signcastle City (IRE)T: Richard Hannon Munich's Allianz-Grosser Preis Von Bayern HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 11/2

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Fierce (IRE)T: Paul Midgley At The Races App Expert Tips HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 9/2

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Pebble Dash (IRE)T: Gary Harrison Florence Jamieson Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 25/1

09 Oct 25 Newcastle (AW) Preston Road (GB)T: David Loughnane Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 20/1

02 Oct 25 Chelmsford City (AW) Sashay Away (GB)T: David Loughnane Betfair Racing Podcasts Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 22/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Fahy's strike rate?: John Fahy has won 57 of 458 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 13 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Fahy do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 5 wins from 30 rides (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does John Fahy ride most for?: Clive Cox, with 352 rides since 2022 — 77% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (13.9%).
What is John Fahy's Fair A/E?: 1.09, from 456 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.