Horse profile
Convincing (IRE)
by Make Believe (GB) out of Queen Of Malta (IRE) (Exceed And Excel)
21 runs · 16 courses · from Jul 2024
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
Won at Kilbeggan (IRE)
Ran 37 days ago · 8th of 9
Last raced off OR 52
KTB Profile
Convincing is 1 from 21. The win came in the Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle at Kilbeggan in Aug 2026 over 1m5f – 2m on good ground off an official rating of 87. Typically ridden with patience, he was held up in 10 of 12 analysed runs. Aged 5 at his last run in Sep 2026, he finished 8 of 9 in the Pride Of Place Maiden at Laytown off an official rating of 52.
Based on 21 archived runs · run-style from 12 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
Typically held up
Wins on good or faster
OR ↓ 41lb off peak
- 1–21Wins / Runs
- 4.8%Strike rate
- 3 (14.3%)Placed
- −12.00£1 level staken=21 at SP
- 0.59Fair A/E n=21 · 0.46 incl. margin
- 93Highest OR
- 39dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating52↓ 41lb off peak
52
52–93
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 102
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 102B | 95 | 2 · 102 / 95 |
| Heavy | 2 | 87C | 62.5 | 2 · 87 / 62.5 |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 102B | 81.5 | 4 · 102 / 81.5 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | — | — | 1 · — |
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 92C | 77 | 2 · 88 / 78.5 |
| Heavy | 5 | 87A | 74 | 3 · 79 / 74 |
| Soft | 3 | 105C | 84 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 76B | 65.5 | 1 · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 18 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 105C | 76.5 | 3 · 88 / 69 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 84C | 76.5 | 3 · 79 / 74 |
| 6f – 7f | 3 | 92C | 76 | — |
Of 21 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: no standard for this course, surface and code on the window (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 21 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 12 analysed runs
- Held up 10 (83%) · 1 win
- Prominent 2 (17%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +8.9 | — |
| Good to Firm | 341 | 43 | 12.6% | +1.5 | — |
| Good | 872 | 99 | 11.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 435 | 56 | 12.9% | +1.8 | — |
| Soft | 694 | 71 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| Heavy | 270 | 25 | 9.3% | −1.8 | 0 from 7 |
| Standard (AW) | 979 | 104 | 10.6% | −0.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 81 | 7 | 8.6% | −2.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 846 | 95 | 11.2% | +0.1 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,048 | 107 | 10.2% | −0.9 | 0 from 8 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 786 | 94 | 12% | +0.9 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 533 | 71 | 13.3% | +2.2 | 1 from 4 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 229 | 22 | 9.6% | −1.5 | 0 from 1 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 63 | 2 | 3.2% | −7.9 | — |
| Over 3m | 10 | 1 | 10% | −1.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Queen Of Malta (IRE) (Exceed And Excel)
5 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Saga Sprint (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 1m2f–1m3f; the highest grade won is Class 6 (Cliffs Of Malta (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saga Sprint (IRE) | 35 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Cliffs Of Malta (IRE) | 13 | 1 | 1m3f | Class 6 |
| Saga Malta (FR) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Cinco Saltos (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Ard Ri Na Heireann (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 1 | 14% | +2.00 |
| Heavy | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Soft | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killarney | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Curragh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Dundalk (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Galway | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Laytown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kilbeggan (IRE) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.00 |
| Naas (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Coen | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Shane Foley | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Eoghan Finegan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +7.00 |
| Gabriella Hill | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| E Walsh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Conor Cusack | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Darragh O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Patrick McGettigan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sam Coen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Keithen Kennedy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| W J Lee | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 0 | 0% | −17.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +0.00 |
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 26+15d | Laytown (IRE) | Pride Of Place Maiden Held up early - lost touch with leading group - no impression made - well held at finish | 8/9 | 1½ | 10-0 | 52 | — | 50A | Jack Kearney | 40/1 |
| 26 Aug 26+18d | Bellewstown (IRE) | John Purfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I) Settled towards the back of the pack - pushed along three out - struggling into 6th two out - finished with a similar effort into 4th | 4/15 | 2½ | 11-2 | 93 | 88B | 109A | Eoghan Finegan | 6/1 |
| 08 Aug 26+17d | Kilbeggan (IRE) | Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle Settled midpack early despite a stumble - back in 7th by the halfway point - up into 4th three out and given a nudge to improve - driven into 3rd approaching the final fence - right behind the pace at the last and quickly second - edged in front inside the closing hundred yards - won going away | 1/13 | 10-10 | 87 | 102B | 109A | Eoghan Finegan | 8/1 | |
| 22 Jul 26+7d | Naas (IRE) | O'Neill & Co. Apprentice Handicap Settled in the pack - made headway approaching 2f out - sixth with a furlong left and ran on without further gains | 5/18 | nse | 9-8 | 54 | 88C | 83A | Gabriella Hill | 11/1 |
| 15 Jul 26+107d | Killarney (IRE) | Executive Helicopters Handicap sluggish leaving the stalls - settled in the pack - slipped to 9th at halfway - shaken up and driven inside the final 3f - lost touch from 2f out without ever threatening | 11/13 | 1½ | 10-0 | 58 | 69C | 60A | Ben Coen | 6/1 |
| 30 Mar 26+15d | Navan | Book Your Navan Summer BBQ Packages Apprentice Handicap Sat just off the front pack early - 6th at halfway then improved into 2nd by 3f out - driven up but couldn't threaten in 4th inside the final furlong - drifted left and found nothing more late finishing 5th | 5/13 | 1¾ | 8-12 | 61 | 79C | 68A | Conor Cusack | 9/2 |
| 15 Mar 26+38d | Curragh | 1xBet.ie Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Held a spot in the pack early - eased across left with under 3f to run and found a bit more headway approaching the last furlong and a half - stayed on at one speed to the line | 9/26 | 2½ | 9-7 | 63 | 56C | 71A | Ben Coen | 11/1 |
| 05 Feb 26+25d | Thurles | Holycross Maiden Hurdle Held up towards the back - urged into contention entering the straight but made no dent on the leaders from 2 out - stayed on at the same rate to finish 7th | 7/17 | 13 | 11-4 | — | 76C | 102C | Darragh O'Keeffe | 150/1 |
| 11 Jan 26+16d | Punchestown | Sky Bet, For The Fans Maiden Hurdle Held up in the pack - improved into 5th before the 2f marker - dropped away late - finished well beaten in 13th | 13/20 | 11 | 11-12 | — | 38C | 102C | E Walsh | 125/1 |
| 26 Dec 25+35d | Limerick | Signsplus Maiden Hurdle Settled in the pack early - hit a fence in 5th before dropping to 9th under pressure - held no more in reserve late and beaten well home | 10/17 | 4¾ | 10-13 | — | 87C | 102C | E Walsh | 125/1 |
| 21 Nov 25+31d | Dundalk (AW) | Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap Settled behind pace-setters early - 5th at halfway - pushed along and unable to quicken over 2f out - finished 10th | 10/14 | nk | 9-7 | 67 | 55B | 67A | Patrick McGettigan | 6/1 |
| 21 Oct 25+9d | Curragh | Final Furlong Podcast With 1xbet.ie Handicap Held up towards the back of the pack - urged forward passing the 3f marker - pressed for effort with 2f left - shaved off a little late ground but well held at the line | 9/25 | 1 | 9-11 | 67 | 74C | 82A | Shane Foley | 10/1 |
| 12 Oct 25+22d | Naas | TRM Calphormin - Strong Foundation, Strong Future Apprentice Handicap Sat just behind the front group - third at halfway - closed in with 3f left - hit the front 2½f out and pushed along - edged clear 1½f out - stuck on but caught in the final strides for third | 3/16 | 1 | 9-8 | 64 | 84C | 92A | Gabriella Hill | 7/1 |
| 20 Sep 25+49d | Gowran Park | Support The Irish Injured Jockeys Fund Apprentice Handicap Held up towards back of pack - still 12th at halfway - urged into effort with 3f left - moved into midfield inside final 2f - stayed on to grab 5th near the line | 5/16 | 3½ | 9-6 | 65 | 65C | 75A | Sam Coen | 11/1 |
| 02 Aug 25+4d | Galway | Ardilaun Hotel Handicap Settled midpack early - up to 7th by halfway - into 5th and pushed along 2f out - unable to threaten leaders and held on late for 9th | 9/15 | ¾ | 9-11 | 67 | 74C | 72A | Ben Coen | 11/2 |
| 29 Jul 25+60d | Galway | Caulfield Industrial Handicap Sat close up early - disputing 2nd at halfway - pressed for effort with 2f to run - unable to find more inside final furlong and held for 5th | 5/18 | nk | 9-11 | 67 | 105C | 82A | Ben Coen | 22/1 |
| 30 May 25+17d | Down Royal | BoyleSports Extra Places Every Day Handicap Settled in the pack early - crept closer approaching final two furlongs - asked for effort but failed to threaten with a furlong left - stayed on same gear to finish eighth beaten 6 lengths | 8/14 | ½ | 9-13 | 69 | 92C | 80A | Shane Foley | 8/1 |
| 13 May 25+218d | Killarney | Outlook Publications Maiden Handy early - went to front soon after start - two lengths in command by halfway - advantage cut with a furlong and a half left - overtaken inside final furlong - unable to fight back and eased back to third late | 3/6 | 4¼ | 9-9 | 71 | 76A | 77B | Colin Keane | 8/1 |
| 07 Oct 24+53d | Killarney | Laurels Pub & Restaurant Median Auction Maiden Held up towards the back - still 8th at halfway - driven into contention with 2f left - stayed on to snatch 3rd close to the line | 3/12 | 2¼ | 9-8 | — | 87A | 83A | Shane Foley | 22/1 |
| 15 Aug 24+29d | Dundalk (AW) | Bar One Racing Price Boosts All Channels Apprentice Maiden Sat just behind the front group - 5th at halfway - pressed for effort but unable to close 2f out and finished without further gains | 6/14 | hd | 9-6 | — | 76B | 68A | Keithen Kennedy | 9/4J |
| 17 Jul 24 | Killarney | Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden | 4/7 | nse | 9-8 | — | 77A | 78B | W J Lee | 5/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Convincing (IRE) won?
- Convincing (IRE) won 1 of 21 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 4.8%. Placed 3 times in total (14.3% of starts).
- Who trains Convincing (IRE)?
- Convincing (IRE) is trained by Ciaran Murphy, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 September 2026.
- Who is Convincing (IRE)'s sire?
- Convincing (IRE) is by Make Believe (GB) out of Queen Of Malta (IRE), whose sire is Exceed And Excel.
- What going does Convincing (IRE) prefer?
- Convincing (IRE) has the best record on good going: 1 win from 7 starts (14.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Convincing (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 52, from the run on 10 September 2026. The highest on record is 93.
- What is Convincing (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Make Believe (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.1% of 3,596 runs since Jan 2008 (297 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Convincing (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Queen Of Malta (IRE), Convincing (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Saga Sprint (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 6 (Cliffs Of Malta (IRE)). The wins came over 1m2f–1m3f. As at Oct 2026.