What is Ciaran Murphy's strike rate?

Ciaran Murphy has won 82 of 1,176 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ciaran Murphy do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 11 wins from 76 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ciaran Murphy?

E Walsh, with 262 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (5.3%).

Is Ciaran Murphy in form?

In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7% since 2022.

What is Ciaran Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.12, from 1,176 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ciaran Murphy

1,176 runners in the last 5 seasons · 165 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 10.3% of 339 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.0% over 364 racing days). As at 19 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2021→)

from 1 Jan 2022

82–1,176

Wins / Runs

Strike rate

n=1,176

246 (21%)

Placed

1.12

Fair A/E

n=1,176 · 0.90 incl. margin

−409.64

£1 level stake

n=1,176 at SP · −34.8%

£1.08m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 240 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.12).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,176 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Feb–Mar 24.2% when favourite E Walsh: 5.3% from 262 Claiming riders: 7.8% Sends off the favourite in 3% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (14.5%, n=76) and Dundalk (AW) (13.1%, n=168) — all clear of the yard's 7% baseline. It is weakest at Fairyhouse (0% over 41 runners) — the widest gap in the record. A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a poor signal at 0% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.00). E Walsh rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.3%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Standard (AW) going (12.6%, n=175). The stable star of the record: Walhaan (IRE) — 6 wins from 59 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Feb–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−1.8

n=212 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −4.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.8%−5.2

n=56 · A/E 0.39 · £1 −45.00

Debutants · first career start

1.1%−5.9

n=95 · A/E 0.34 · £1 −82.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.2%−2.8

n=71 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −39.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−7.0

n=64 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −64.00

When favourite

24.2%

n=33 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −6.19

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.8%+0.8

n=510 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −163.39

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−7.0

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Kilbeggan 14.5% vs 7% · n=76

At Dundalk (AW) 13.1% vs 7% · n=168

With headgear back on 0% vs 7% · n=64

On Standard (AW) going 12.6% vs 7% · n=175

With debutants 1.1% vs 7% · n=95

At Fairyhouse 0% vs 7% · n=41

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 607 44 7.2% −151.64

Hurdle 396 22 5.6% −176.65

Chase 117 13 11.1% −39.05

NH Flat 56 3 5.4% −42.30

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 391 19 4.9% −113.50

Good 266 17 6.4% −161.70

Heavy 188 11 5.9% −119.25

Standard (AW) 175 22 12.6% +49.11

Good to Soft 146 12 8.2% −61.30

Good to Firm 10 1 10% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 168 22 13.1% +56.11

Galway 111 5 4.5% −55.50

Kilbeggan 76 11 14.5% −23.50

Naas 64 3 4.7% −26.00

Leopardstown 63 6 9.5% −11.75

Roscommon 53 2 3.8% −36.50

Curragh 53 3 5.7% −10.00

Navan 51 1 2% −46.50

Punchestown 44 2 4.5% −20.00

Limerick 44 4 9.1% −7.00

Fairyhouse 41 0 0% −41.00

Gowran Park 40 0 0% −40.00

Ballinrobe 39 1 2.6% −34.00

Bellewstown 38 3 7.9% −6.00

Cork 37 1 2.7% −27.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 21 1 4.8% −16.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 4 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 3 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 5 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 12 24% 1.03 −7.19

2nd–3rd fav 156 34 21.8% 1.54 +38.55

4th–6th fav 302 25 8.3% 1.15 +3.50

7th+ in betting 668 11 1.6% 0.62 −444.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Walhaan (IRE)from James Tate 59 6 12 18 Oct 26

Little Keilee (IRE)from Eamonn O'Connell · then James Owen 35 3 9 28 Mar 25

Titanium (FR)from A & G Botti 30 2 6 4 Oct 26

Finsceal Annie (IRE)from Liam McAteer 26 4 12 28 Jul 26

Sydney Cruiser (IRE) 25 1 8 1 Oct 25

Granville Street (IRE)from John Joseph Murphy 24 2 11 15 Oct 26

Ivane (FR)then James Owen 24 1 4 16 Jan 25

Coolcalmncollected (GB) 24 2 2 23 Oct 24

The Mpex Kid (IRE)from Mrs D A Love 21 3 5 5 Oct 24

Steps In The Sand (IRE)from Cian Collins 20 3 6 24 Sep 26

Castleheath (IRE) 20 4 6 7 Sep 26

Enjoy D'allen (FR)from Peter Fahey · then Neil King 20 0 0 3 Feb 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 165 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 30 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs D A Love (4) and John Joseph Murphy (2); 30 had their first archived run for this yard.

11 have since run for another yard, most often for James Owen (3); 49 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Steady

1 from 17 5.9% · −1.1pts vs baseline

Last 14 days5.9%

5-season base7%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

7994478115778

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderE Walsh

22% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

E Walsh 262 14 5.3% −114.00

Ben Coen 82 7 8.5% −20.00

Eoghan Finegan 75 9 12% −4.00

Dylan Browne McMonagle 59 5 8.5% −11.00

Patrick McGettigan 40 4 10% +5.00

Shane Foley 38 2 5.3% −20.00

Colin Keane 31 3 9.7% −10.80

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2021→

Archived wins

£1.34m

Prize money

2026

Best season · 21 wins

Moudan (IRE) — Scotty Brand Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Ayr · Apr 2026 · Class 1

£42,501

Titanium (FR) — Finlay Volvo Premier Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap) Curragh · Nov 2025

£29,500

Bridge Native (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase Galway · Oct 2021

£12,390

Notable horses

Walhaan (IRE) Moudan (IRE) Finsceal Annie (IRE) Castleheath (IRE) Little Keilee (IRE) The Mpex Kid (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Dark Angel (IRE) 8.1% · 6–74

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,868 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Network (GER) 2.3% · 1–44

Progeny have won 14.1% of 3,767 runs since 2008 (380 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 10.2% from 274.

Sioux Nation (USA) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 12.5% of 2,859 runs since 2008 (353 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 17.2% from 425. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.3% from 575. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.8% from 189.

Footstepsinthesand (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 10.2% of 12,772 runs since 2008 (936 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.9% from 320.

Ardad (IRE) 6.1% · 2–33

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,499 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Mount Nelson (GB) 21.9% · 7–32

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,442 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,442 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 January 2021 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Bay Of Dreams (IRE)J: Patrick McGettigan Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Handicap7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 12/1

18 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Walhaan (IRE)J: Adam Caffrey Christmas Festival Tickets On Sale Now Handicap10f · Good · 15 ran 10th 40/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Vale Dos Pinheiros (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 10th 200/1

17 Oct 26 Leopardstown (IRE) Midnight Ace (GB)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8.5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 125/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Granville Street (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Isuzu Ireland Handicap14f · Yielding To Soft · 21 ran 2nd 18/1

15 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Spectical (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan DNG Excellence Handicap9f · Yielding To Soft · 19 ran 9th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Hill Silver (IRE)J: Mr D McGill Matchbook €50,000 Graduation Series Flat Race16.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 8/1

12 Oct 26 Roscommon (IRE) Navagio (IRE)J: Colin Keane Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap (Div II)7.5f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 14/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Gortmore Lady (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 7/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Starship Trooper (IRE)J: Eoin Walsh Co-Op Superstores 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle15.5f · Good · 10 ran 7th 66/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Why Wait (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Academy Hurdle17.5f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Shadonagh (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 6/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Anodandawink (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 6th 4/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Facile Ocean (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Denis Macauley Memorial Novice Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 5 ran 1st 2/1J

08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Granville Street (IRE)J: Reese Holohan Racing Here On The 12th November Handicap16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 13 ran 3rd 10/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Dontcavein (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 4th 100/30

06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Baila Conmigo (IRE)J: Eoghan Finegan Tote Always SP Or Better At Galway Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 3rd 5/2

05 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Shadonagh (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Adare Manor Opportunity Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 100/30J

04 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Titanium (FR)J: Sadhbh Tormey 1xBet.ie Proud Partners Of Irish Sport Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 16 ran 5th 22/1

28 Sep 26 Down Royal (IRE) Curious Jane (IRE)J: Rory Mulligan Pravha Handicap (Div II)11f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 6th 18/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ciaran Murphy's strike rate?: Ciaran Murphy has won 82 of 1,176 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 7% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ciaran Murphy do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 11 wins from 76 runners (14.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ciaran Murphy?: E Walsh, with 262 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 14 (5.3%).
Is Ciaran Murphy in form?: In the last 14 days: 17 runners, 1 winner, a strike rate of 5.9%. That is in line with the baseline of 7% since 2022.
What is Ciaran Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.12, from 1,176 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.