Desperate Dan (IRE)
Desperate Dan is a gelding who has won three of 17 starts, all over 1m – 1m1f. Two of those wins came on heavy ground in Class 4 and Class 3 handicaps at Nottingham in Oct 2024 and Doncaster in Oct 2025, with the third on good ground at Windsor in Sep 2025. He has raced on turf 15 times for all three wins. His last run, at Haydock in Oct 2026, was his first for Peter Chapple-Hyam and saw him finish sixth of 10 as beaten favourite off an official rating of 84.
- 3–17Wins / Runs
- 17.6%Strike rate
- 6 (35.3%)Placed
- +8.50£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 1.42Fair A/E n=17 · 1.19 incl. margin
- 86Highest OR
- 55dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 98
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 6 | 119A | 85.5 | 3 · 105 / 98 |
| Good | 5 | 96A | 80 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 70B | 60 | 1 · — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 102C | 94.5 | 1 · — |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 81C | 76 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 119A | 76.5 | 5 · 105 / 98 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 96A | 76 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 21 Oct 2026 · 1 recent figure provisional (may move for 7 days) · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 14 analysed runs
- Prominent 7 (50%) · 2 wins
- Midfield 5 (36%) · 1 win
- Held up 2 (14%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses).
Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 92 | 14 | 15.2% | +6.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2,477 | 256 | 10.3% | +1.2 | — |
| Good | 3,167 | 264 | 8.3% | −0.8 | 1 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 1,340 | 109 | 8.1% | −1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,716 | 136 | 7.9% | −1.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 465 | 50 | 10.8% | +1.7 | 2 from 6 |
| Standard (AW) | 5,668 | 534 | 9.4% | +0.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 4,433 | 507 | 11.4% | +2.3 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 7,622 | 643 | 8.4% | −0.7 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 2,041 | 158 | 7.7% | −1.4 | 3 from 12 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 580 | 44 | 7.6% | −1.5 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 170 | 9 | 5.3% | −3.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 66 | 2 | 3% | −6.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −9.1 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 20 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Mystery Angel (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Listed (Mystery Angel (IRE)).
Family form: Grinanbearit (IRE) finished 3rd of 10 at Haydock, 25 Sep 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mystery Angel (IRE) | 17 | 3 | 7f–1m2f | Listed |
| Aryaah (IRE) | 26 | 2 | 1m2f | Class 6 |
| Grinanbearit (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
| Angel De Luz (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy | 6 | 2 | 33% | +14.00 |
| Good | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.50 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +6.50 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Class 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.00 |
| Nottingham | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Windsor | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.50 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Yarmouth | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 12 | 3 | 25% | +13.50 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Callan | 6 | 3 | 50% | +19.50 |
| Ray Dawson | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Wood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Miss Brodie Hampson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jim Crowley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Warren Fentiman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +12.50 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +0.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 26+20d | Haydock | M6Toll Road To Victory Handicap Stakes (Div I) missed the break and raced at the back - left behind 3f out under pressure - never a threat from 1f out to finish 6th | 6/10 | 6½ | 9-9 | 84 | 59C | 78C | Marco Ghiani | 2/1F |
| 26 Sep 26+106d | Haydock | William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes Settled off the pace towards the back - made progress and moved right approaching 2f out then pressed for effort - couldn't find more inside the final furlong finishing fourth | 4/9 | 2¼ | 8-9 | 84 | 98A | 87A | George Wood | 14/1 |
| 12 Jun 26+76d | Goodwood | Download The Track Radio App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Settled just off the pace - made ground into contention over 2f out - pressed for response soon after - unable to find more in the last furlong finishing sixth | 6/8 | ½ | 11-3 | 86 | 70B | 88A | Miss Brodie Hampson | 15/8F |
| 28 Mar 26+154d | Doncaster | William Hill Epic Boosts Spring Mile Handicap (Str) Settled with a strong grip early - sat close to the front group - asked for effort over 2f out - edged into contention approaching the final furlong marker - unable to threaten - weakened close home to finish ninth | 9/22 | shd | 9-8 | 86 | 102C | 89A | Neil Callan | 11/1 |
| 25 Oct 25+17d | Doncaster | William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap (Str) Sat behind pace early - urged on approaching final two furlongs then edged in front inside the last - kept finding more to power clear at the finish | 1/14 | 9-1 | 82 | 105C | 102A | Neil Callan | 11/1 | |
| 08 Oct 25+30d | Nottingham | PricedUp Handicap (Div 1) Settled just off the pace in the pack - moved through nicely over 2f out under pressure - drifted right approaching the final furlong - stayed on to finish fourth beaten under three lengths | 4/11 | ¾ | 9-9 | 82 | 87A | 102A | Neil Callan | 7/2J |
| 08 Sep 25+45d | Windsor | WBK Catering Equipment Handicap Settled midpack early - pushed along approaching 2f out and moved through on the outer flank - edged left on hitting the front in the closing stages - stayed on strongly to score | 1/9 | 10-2 | 78 | 80A | 92A | Neil Callan | 9/2 | |
| 25 Jul 25+83d | Sandown | Close Brothers And Cancer Research UK Handicap Tracked the front pair - lost momentum when bumped soon after being outpaced a furlong out - driven along but faded inside the closing stages to finish sixth | 6/7 | 1¼ | 9-11 | 80 | 54B | 84A | Jim Crowley | 12/1 |
| 03 May 25+189d | Newmarket | Betfred Suffolk Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Slow to get into contention from the off - well off the pace throughout - dropped away in the closing stages - finished well adrift in 13th | 13/13 | 43 | 7-11 | 82 | 18C | 50C | Warren Fentiman | 33/1 |
| 26 Oct 24+12d | Newbury | PMS Oxford Handicap Settled in the pack early - moved onto the front group from 3f out and edged closer entering the last furlong - lost momentum near the line to finish sixth | 6/11 | shd | 9-4 | 82 | 51A | 79A | Neil Callan | 3/1F |
| 14 Oct 24+5d | Windsor | Download The At The Races App Handicap Sat close to pace early - asked for effort past 2f out and went in front - edged back in front inside final furlong - dug in through closing strides - denied by a whisker at the line | 2/11 | nse | 10-0 | 72 | 119A | 110A | Ray Dawson | 6/4F |
| 09 Oct 24+13d | Nottingham | Join Us Next Week 16th October Handicap Settled behind front group early - moving smoothly to improve 3f out - shaken up to reach the pace 2f out - shot to the front soon after - drew away with authority - relaxed the effort near the line - won going away | 1/11 | 9-3 | 72 | 73A | 105A | Neil Callan | 7/1 | |
| 26 Sep 24+23d | Newmarket | Ultimate Provence Handicap Held a spot through the middle of the field - hit the front early and stayed there until 5f out - settled just behind the pace - urged forward with 2f left - finished strongly in the closing stages - nabbed 3rd on the line but never troubling the winner | 3/8 | ½ | 9-3 | 73 | 50A | 85A | Ray Dawson | 20/1 |
| 03 Sep 24+48d | Newcastle (AW) | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap Held a midfield spot wide - roused with 3f left - driven for response 2f out - found space tight in the closing stages and finished 4th from home well held | 8/11 | nse | 9-8 | 73 | 71A | 66A | Ray Dawson | 12/1 |
| 17 Jul 24+7d | Yarmouth | Aeropak Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 2/9 | 6 | 9-5 | — | 89A | 76A | Ray Dawson | 7/1 |
| 10 Jul 24+54d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Zero% Mission/British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 11/13 | 3 | 9-4 | — | 81C | 66C | Saffie Osborne | 66/1 |
| 17 May 24 | Newbury | Coolmore Stud St Mark's Basilica EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 8/12 | 1¼ | 9-7 | — | 96A | 70A | Ray Dawson | 16/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Desperate Dan (IRE) won?
- Desperate Dan (IRE) won 3 of 17 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 17.6%. Placed 6 times in total (35.3% of starts).
- Who trains Desperate Dan (IRE)?
- Desperate Dan (IRE) is trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 16 October 2026.
- Who is Desperate Dan (IRE)'s sire?
- Desperate Dan (IRE) is by Dandy Man (IRE) out of Angel Grace (IRE), whose sire is Dark Angel.
- What going does Desperate Dan (IRE) prefer?
- Desperate Dan (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Desperate Dan (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 84, from the run on 16 October 2026. The highest on record is 86.
- What is Desperate Dan (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Dandy Man (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 9.1% of 14,925 runs since Jan 2008 (930 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
- Who are Desperate Dan (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Angel Grace (IRE), Desperate Dan (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Mystery Angel (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Mystery Angel (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.