Horse profile
Est Illic (IRE)
by Court Cave (IRE) out of Ten Friends (IRE) (Shantou)
40 runs · 16 courses · from Dec 2018
As at 27 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
2 wins · Doncaster & Bangor-on-Dee
Last run 14 Oct 2026
Last raced off OR 73
KTB Profile
Est Illic (IRE) is 2 from 40. Hasn't won since Dec 2020. Last raced off 73, 56lb below the career-high mark.
Based on 40 archived runs · run-style from 10 commented runs since Dec 2025 · updated 27 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance
OR ↓ 56lb off peak
- 2–40Wins / Runs
- 5%Strike rate
- 8 (20%)Placed
- −13.00£1 level staken=40 at SP
- 1.09Fair A/E n=40 · 0.93 incl. margin
- 129Highest OR
- 73dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating73↓ 56lb off peak
73
69–129
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 69
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Jumps
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 11 | 109A | 69 | 4 runs · 69 / 51.5 |
| Soft | 10 | 116B | 62 | — |
| Good to Soft | 7 | 87C | 66 | 2 runs · 63 / 58 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 27 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 12 | 109A | 81 | 4 runs · 69 / 66 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 116B | 66 | 2 runs · 53 / 47 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 102B | 50 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
Of 40 runs looked at, 10 have no figure: did not complete (7) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 30 figures from 40 runs · as at 22 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Dec 2025
- Prominent 3 (30%) · 0 wins
- Held up 3 (30%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (20%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Court Cave (IRE)
Progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,938 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses).
Weakest on heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 233 | 28 | 12% | +1.9 | 0 from 1 |
| Good | 3,026 | 341 | 11.3% | +1.2 | 0 from 12 |
| Good to Soft | 1,440 | 161 | 11.2% | +1.1 | 0 from 8 |
| Soft | 2,229 | 204 | 9.2% | −0.9 | 1 from 16 |
| Heavy | 937 | 64 | 6.8% | −3.3 | 1 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 71 | 3 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | −5.9 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 13 | 0 | 0% | −10.1 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 71 | 1 | 1.4% | −8.7 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,787 | 169 | 9.5% | −0.6 | 1 from 7 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 2,852 | 294 | 10.3% | +0.2 | 1 from 15 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,522 | 264 | 10.5% | +0.4 | 0 from 16 |
| Over 3m | 669 | 72 | 10.8% | +0.7 | 0 from 2 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 26 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Ten Friends (IRE) (Shantou)
2 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Tideways Hero (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m3f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tideways Hero (IRE) | 10 | 1 | 2m3f | — |
| Iwilltakethechance (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 16 | 1 | 6% | −4.00 |
| Good | 12 | 0 | 0% | −12.00 |
| Good to Soft | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 1 | 33% | +12.00 |
| Good to Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 17 | 1 | 6% | −5.00 |
| Class 5 | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| Class 3 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| Class 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludlow | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Doncaster | 6 | 1 | 17% | +9.00 |
| Ffos Las | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 3 | 1 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Worcester | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Hereford | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Warwick | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Huntingdon | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Haydock | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 16 | 0 | 0% | −16.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 15 | 1 | 7% | −3.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 7 | 1 | 14% | +8.00 |
| Over 3m | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Kennedy | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| James Best | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Tabitha Worsley | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Ben Poste | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Miss Jess Stewart | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jordan Nailor | 3 | 2 | 67% | +24.00 |
| Megan Bevan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Cillin Leonard | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Shane Fenelon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Turner | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Brian Hughes | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheekpieces | 18 | 0 | 0% | −18.00 |
| None | 17 | 2 | 12% | +10.00 |
| Visor | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 0 | 0% | −9.00 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2024 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2023 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2020 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +23.00 |
| 2019 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 35 | 2 | 6% | −8.00 |
| Hurdle | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 9 runs | ||||||||||
| 14 Oct 26+22d | Ffos Las | Enigma Flooring Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) Raced keenly then settled - up with the pace early - fell back to last of the group by the 8th - tailed off and given up approaching the third last | PU/7 | — | 9-9 | 73 | — | — | Megan Bevan | 50/1 |
| 22 Sep 26+88d | Warwick | Molson Coors Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase Handy in the early stages - lost touch and dropped back from the 4th marker - well beaten by the 11th | 4/6 | 21 | 10-2 | 76 | 41B | 70B | Megan Bevan | 22/1 |
| 26 Jun 26+20d | Bangor-on-Dee | Wrexham Evening Handicap Chase Set the pace early - driven to stay in front before losing top spot approaching 2 out - dropped away steadily after that - eventually well beaten in 7th | 7/9 | 16 | 10-11 | 81 | 69B | 75A | James Best | 25/1 |
| 06 Jun 26+24d | Worcester | CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Handicap Chase Held up towards the back early - needed continual urging from the third and slipped to 11th - finished well adrift | 10/11 | 19 | 10-0 | 84 | 69C | 80C | Miss Jess Stewart | 66/1 |
| 13 May 26+21d | Newton Abbot | Totnes And Bridgetown Chase Company Open Hunters' Chase Erratic pace early settling no higher than mid-pack - slipped to fourth approaching 15th - moved into third clear of the rest up the run-in | 3/6 | 54 | 11-7 | 84 | 34C | 103C | Miss Jess Stewart | 50/1 |
| 22 Apr 26+55d | Ludlow | Eddie Mapp Memorial Open Hunters' Chase Went straight to front - lost command after 2nd - slipped to back of field before 6th - urged along and beaten for pace before 15th - made progress 4 out - up with the pack 3 out but soon losing touch again - unable to threaten before last - finished third | 3/6 | 9 | 11-5 | 69 | 21B | 101B | Miss Jess Stewart | 12/1 |
| 26 Feb 26+15d | Ludlow | 1985 Lager Handicap Chase Held up towards the back - detached from the pack - pulled up before the 15th | PU/8 | — | 9-13 | 70 | — | — | Tabitha Worsley | 40/1 |
| 11 Feb 26+27d | Hereford | Richard Layton Charity Raceday 16th April Handicap Chase Settled in third early - dropped away by the 12th and well adrift by 3 out - eased and taken out of contention before the final two fences | PU/10 | — | 10-5 | 72 | — | — | James Best | 22/1 |
| 15 Jan 26+29d | Ludlow | Racing To School Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase Settled at the back early - under pressure and toiling from the 14th before drifting left next - never a factor and well beaten in 5th | 5/9 | 13 | 10-6 | 77 | 63C | 77C | Shane Fenelon | 33/1 |
| 2025 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 17 Dec 25+564d | Ludlow | G C Rickards Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Settled in the pack early - pushed along and slipped towards the back before four out - lost touch with the field soon after and beaten a long way home | 7/9 | 1½ | 9-13 | 77 | 53C | 74C | Tabitha Worsley | 66/1 |
| 2024 · 6 runs | ||||||||||
| 01 Jun 24+18d | Worcester | Law Done Differently Handicap Chase | 7/14 | nk | 10-6 | 83 | 86C | 75C | James Turner | 9/1 |
| 14 May 24+19d | Southwell | Racing Welfare Supporting Racing's Workforce Handicap Chase | 4/12 | 2 | 10-2 | 83 | 90A | 92B | James Best | 11/1 |
| 25 Apr 24+14d | Huntingdon | Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Chase | 2/12 | nk | 10-4 | 78 | 109A | 105A | James Best | 11/1 |
| 11 Apr 24+29d | Taunton | Stables Business Park Handicap Chase | 3/12 | 4¼ | 10-4 | 79 | 60A | 95A | Tabitha Worsley | 12/1 |
| 13 Mar 24+50d | Huntingdon | Bet On Cheltenham At Rhino Bet Handicap Chase | 7/13 | 9 | 10-5 | 80 | — | 75A | Tabitha Worsley | 12/1 |
| 23 Jan 24+34d | Leicester | Racecourse Live Streams On Racingtv Extra Handicap Chase | 3/10 | 1¼ | 10-1 | 81 | 92B | 100A | Tabitha Worsley | 22/1 |
| 2023 · 8 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Dec 23+38d | Ludlow | G.C.Rickards Ltd Handicap Chase | 4/14 | 3½ | 10-0 | 84 | 64B | 83B | Tabitha Worsley | 25/1 |
| 12 Nov 23+157d | Ffos Las | DragonBet App Available Now Handicap Chase | PU/9 | — | 10-6 | 88 | — | — | James Best | 33/1 |
| 08 Jun 23+22d | Ffos Las | JCP Solicitors Handicap Chase | 2/5 | 5 | 11-4 | 88 | 79C | 108B | James Best | 18/1 |
| 17 May 23+25d | Worcester | Download Fitzdares For Free Race Streaming Handicap Chase | 6/12 | 51 | 11-5 | 91 | — | 88C | Cillin Leonard | 40/1 |
| 22 Apr 23+34d | Bangor-on-Dee | Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Chase | 3/9 | 5 | 10-1 | 92 | 77A | 95A | Cillin Leonard | 28/1 |
| 19 Mar 23+16d | Chepstow | Cazoo Handicap Chase | PU/15 | — | 11-12 | 98 | — | — | William Kennedy | 66/1 |
| 03 Mar 23+39d | Doncaster | Virgin Bet Cheltenham Festival Money Back Handicap Chase | 4/6 | 11 | 10-12 | 103 | 62A | 93B | William Kennedy | 22/1 |
| 23 Jan 23+337d | Ffos Las | Vickers.Bet Independent Family Owned Bookmaker Handicap Chase | 7/8 | 14 | 11-1 | 107 | 47C | 83C | William Kennedy | 66/1 |
| 2022 · 2 runs | ||||||||||
| 20 Feb 22+29d | Newbury | RacingTV Handicap Chase | PU/9 | — | 11-0 | 113 | — | — | William Kennedy | 25/1 |
| 22 Jan 22+35d | Haydock | Smalley Decorators Handicap Chase | 6/7 | 6½ | 11-0 | 117 | 25A | 90B | William Kennedy | 14/1 |
| 2021 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 18 Dec 21+31d | Haydock | Virgin Bet Handicap Chase | 4/6 | 2 | 11-2 | 121 | 38A | 102B | William Kennedy | 50/1 |
| 17 Nov 21+257d | Ffos Las | Casumo Horse Racing And Sports Betting Handicap Chase | PU/11 | — | 11-8 | 126 | — | — | William Kennedy | 125/1 |
| 05 Mar 21+34d | Newbury | Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Chase | 6/8 | 18 | 11-12 | 129 | 57C | 100C | William Kennedy | 18/1 |
| 30 Jan 21+32d | Doncaster | Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Lightning Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) | 3/4 | 60 | 11-0 | 129 | 53C | 96C | Jordan Nailor | 80/1 |
| 2020 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 29 Dec 20+31d | Doncaster | attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) | 1/7 | 9-12 | 111 | 102B | 123B | Jordan Nailor | 14/1 | |
| 28 Nov 20+296d | Bangor-on-Dee | Maelor Handicap Chase | 1/8 | 10-10 | 104 | — | 110B | Jordan Nailor | 11/1 | |
| 06 Feb 20+13d | Doncaster | Betsafe Top Price All Runners Handicap Chase | 5/7 | 1¾ | 11-0 | 107 | 66C | 95B | Brian Hughes | 11/4F |
| 24 Jan 20+42d | Doncaster | Sky Bet Britain's Most Popular Online Bookmaker Novices' Handicap Chase | 6/11 | 3 | 11-2 | 110 | 57A | 96A | Ben Poste | 7/1 |
| 2019 · 5 runs | ||||||||||
| 13 Dec 19+31d | Doncaster | Sport Society Success Novices' Chase | 4/5 | 3¼ | 11-0 | 110 | 87C | 107B | Ben Poste | 28/1 |
| 12 Nov 19+247d | Hereford | Roa Rewards Members Novices' Handicap Hurdle | 7/13 | 3¾ | 11-11 | 113 | 90B | 104A | Ben Poste | 9/1 |
| 10 Mar 19+32d | Warwick | Newark Livestock Market Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) | 7/12 | 43 | 12-1 | 116 | 78C | 98C | Ben Poste | 20/1 |
| 06 Feb 19+33d | Ludlow | Onibury Maiden Hurdle | 9/14 | 1 | 11-4 | — | 84C | 99C | Richard Johnson | 11/1 |
| 04 Jan 19+20d | Wetherby | Watch Racing Tv In Stunning Hd Maiden Hurdle | 2/9 | 10 | 11-4 | — | 87B | 114A | Ben Poste | 16/1 |
| 2018 · 1 run | ||||||||||
| 15 Dec 18 | Hereford | One Day Discount On A George Smith Horsebox Novices' Hurdle | 6/16 | ¾ | 10-12 | — | 116B | 105A | Ben Poste | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Est Illic won?
- Est Illic (IRE) won 2 of 40 archived starts between 2018 and 2026, a strike rate of 5%. Placed 8 times in total (20% of starts).
- Who trains Est Illic?
- Est Illic (IRE) is trained by Sarah-Jayne Davies, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 14 October 2026.
- Who is Est Illic's sire?
- Est Illic (IRE) is by Court Cave (IRE) out of Ten Friends (IRE), whose sire is Shantou.
- What going does Est Illic prefer?
- Est Illic (IRE) has the best record on heavy going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Est Illic's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 14 October 2026. The highest on record is 129.
- What is Est Illic's sire's record?
- Court Cave (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.1% of 7,938 runs since Jan 2008 (551 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest on heavy going: 6.8% from 937.
- Who are Est Illic's siblings?
- Out of Ten Friends (IRE), Est Illic (IRE) has 2 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Tideways Hero (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m3f. As at Oct 2026.