Cillin Leonard
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.91).
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.42). Dr Richard Newland supplies 38% of the rides and beats the rider's average (13.3% vs 7.5%, A/E 0.94). The rider also reads well over 2m5f – 3m (14.5%, n=55) and in Chase races (11.8%, n=68). The record reads poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 3.2% over 62 rides, 4.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Good going: Fair A/E 0.72 across 90 rides (4.4% strike, −28.42 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Thank You Rand Farm Park Prelude Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen (Sep 2020, £16,164). The standout partner of the record: Rostello (FR) — 5 wins from 20 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2015→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 514 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 514 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 21 August 2015 to 1 April 2024.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Cillin Leonard's strike rate?
- Cillin Leonard has won 15 of 199 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 7.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Cillin Leonard ride most for?
- Dr Richard Newland, with 75 rides since 2022 — 38% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (13.3%).
- What is Cillin Leonard's Fair A/E?
- 0.91, from 199 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.