Extrapolation (IRE)
Extrapolation won four of 19 starts on turf between May 2023 and May 2024. All four wins came over 2m1f – 2m4f, two of them at Ballinrobe on good ground and two on soft. He took a beginners chase at Ballinrobe in May 2024 and a handicap hurdle at Listowel off an official rating of 117 in Sep 2023. Aged 8 at his last run in Jun 2025 he finished off an official rating of 125 at Downpatrick.
- 4–19Wins / Runs
- 21.1%Strike rate
- 9 (47.4%)Placed
- −1.20£1 level staken=19 at SP
- 1.35Fair A/E n=19 · 1.12 incl. margin
- 127Highest OR
- 45dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 125
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 91C | 82.5 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 2 | 91C | 82.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | — | — | — |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 112A | 90 | — |
| Good | 4 | 125A | 102.5 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 118A | 108 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 100B | 94 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 14 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 11 | 125A | 94 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 3 | 108C | 100 | — |
Of 19 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (1) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 19 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,824 runs since Jan 2008 (782 horses).
Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 119 | 18 | 15.1% | +4.3 | — |
| Good | 2,954 | 375 | 12.7% | +1.9 | 2 from 6 |
| Good to Soft | 1,795 | 177 | 9.9% | −0.9 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 2,733 | 257 | 9.4% | −1.4 | 2 from 7 |
| Heavy | 1,213 | 124 | 10.2% | −0.6 | 0 from 4 |
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 1 | 10% | −0.8 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | 0 from 1 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 16 | 0 | 0% | −10.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 2,037 | 199 | 9.8% | −1 | 0 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3,193 | 321 | 10.1% | −0.7 | 4 from 12 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 2,807 | 337 | 12% | +1.2 | — |
| Over 3m | 766 | 95 | 12.4% | +1.6 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 13 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Cats For Cash (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 2m3f.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cats For Cash (IRE) | 17 | 1 | 2m3f | — |
| Installment (IRE) | 8 | 0 | — | — |
| Notmiwadi (IRE) | 7 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 7 | 2 | 29% | +4.00 |
| Good | 6 | 2 | 33% | +0.80 |
| Heavy | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinrobe | 5 | 2 | 40% | +1.80 |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cork | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Listowel | 1 | 1 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Clonmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 12 | 4 | 33% | +5.80 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Mullins | 9 | 3 | 33% | +4.80 |
| Mr R W Barron | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Gavin Brouder | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Kearney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Shane O'Callaghan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean O'Keeffe | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Denis O'Regan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr P W Mullins | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr E P O'Brien | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2024 | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| 2023 | 10 | 3 | 30% | +3.80 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurdle | 9 | 2 | 22% | +0.80 |
| Flat | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Chase | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.00 |
| NH Flat | 2 | 1 | 50% | +2.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun 25+37d | Downpatrick | Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle Sat close to the pace - into 3rd when jump went awry two out - dropped to 4th under pressure - fell at the final obstacle | F/9 | — | 11-9 | 125 | — | — | Gavin Brouder | 9/1 |
| 09 May 25+28d | Ballinrobe | West Tyre Maiden Held up towards the back - urged forward with no headway made 4f out - had nothing more to offer - stayed on same speed through the straight | 7/9 | nk | 10-2 | — | 91C | 75C | Jack Kearney | 33/1 |
| 11 Apr 25+9d | Ballinrobe | McGrath Limestone Works Handicap Hurdle Settled behind pace on wide outside - hit front around 3rd and shared advantage - moved clear on outer 2 out - asked for effort soon after - overtaken close home - stayed on well inside final furlong to finish second | 2/8 | 2¼ | 11-5 | 123 | 125A | 132A | Danny Mullins | 15/8F |
| 02 Apr 25+257d | Gowran Park | Racing Again April 16th Maiden Slow to break and settled near the back - pushed along and edged closer on the outside 2f out but couldn't threaten the leaders - stayed on at one speed to finish 8th | 8/14 | ½ | 9-9 | — | 62C | 62A | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 25/1 |
| 19 Jul 24+53d | Killarney | BoyleSports Handicap Chase | 7/7 | 38 | 10-3 | 127 | 8C | 104C | Danny Mullins | 5/4F |
| 27 May 24+20d | Ballinrobe | McHale Tiger Roll Beginners Chase | 1/7 | 11-12 | — | 86A | 132B | Danny Mullins | 3/1 | |
| 07 May 24+23d | Ballinrobe | Burleigh Accountancy Group Beginners Chase | 3/14 | ½ | 11-7 | — | 90B | 125A | Shane O'Callaghan | 10/1 |
| 14 Apr 24+99d | Down Royal | Fibrus Say Bye Bye To Buffering Beginners Chase | 5/11 | 1½ | 11-12 | — | 75A | 115A | Danny Mullins | 4/1 |
| 06 Jan 24+6d | Cork | EASYFIX Handicap Hurdle | 5/8 | 3¾ | 11-2 | 125 | 94B | 119A | Danny Mullins | 11/4F |
| 31 Dec 23+104d | Punchestown | Tote Fantasy Handicap Hurdle | 3/11 | 3½ | 11-7 | 125 | 118A | 133A | Danny Mullins | 5/1 |
| 18 Sep 23+24d | Listowel | Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap Hurdle (81-123) | 1/13 | 11-8 | 117 | 111B | 145A | Danny Mullins | 6/1 | |
| 25 Aug 23+31d | Killarney | SP Or Better Guaranteed With Tote Handicap Hurdle (Listed) | 8/10 | 4 | 10-5 | 118 | 112A | 113A | Sean O'Keeffe | 16/1 |
| 25 Jul 23+15d | Ballinrobe | Harrington Concrete & Quarries Maiden Hurdle | 1/14 | 11-12 | — | 119B | 132A | Danny Mullins | 9/5F | |
| 10 Jul 23+33d | Roscommon | SuperValu Co. Roscommon Ladies Day Novice Hurdle | 6/8 | 11 | 11-2 | — | 88A | 105A | Denis O'Regan | 18/1 |
| 07 Jun 23+15d | Curragh | Betting Better With Sky Bet Flat Race | 6/6 | ½ | 12-0 | — | 74A | 73C | Mr P W Mullins | 15/8 |
| 23 May 23+18d | Punchestown | Punchestown's Fittest Club Sunday June 11th Maiden Hurdle (Div 2) | 2/16 | 2¼ | 11-12 | — | 100B | 141A | Danny Mullins | 4/1 |
| 05 May 23+29d | Downpatrick | Racing TV Flat Race | 1/7 | 11-9 | — | 86A | 121B | Mr E P O'Brien | 3/1 | |
| 06 Apr 23+17d | Clonmel | Happy Easter To All Our Patrons (Pro/Am) Flat Race | 4/11 | 8 | 11-7 | — | 108C | 120A | Mr R W Barron | 9/2 |
| 20 Mar 23 | Navan | Racing Again March 29th (pro/am) Flat Race | 2/10 | 4½ | 11-7 | — | — | 72C | Mr R W Barron | 20/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Extrapolation (IRE) won?
- Extrapolation (IRE) won 4 of 19 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 21.1%. Placed 9 times in total (47.4% of starts).
- Who trained Extrapolation (IRE)?
- Extrapolation (IRE) was trained by Richard John O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Downpatrick on 15 June 2025.
- Who is Extrapolation (IRE)'s sire?
- Extrapolation (IRE) is by Mahler (GB) out of Harvard Girl (IRE), whose sire is Westerner.
- What going does Extrapolation (IRE) prefer?
- Extrapolation (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 6 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Extrapolation (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 125, from the run on 15 June 2025. The highest on record is 127.
- What is Extrapolation (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Mahler (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 10.8% of 8,824 runs since Jan 2008 (782 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on good to firm going: 15.1% from 119.
- Who are Extrapolation (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Harvard Girl (IRE), Extrapolation (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Cats For Cash (IRE) (1). The wins came over 2m3f. As at Oct 2026.