What is Shane O'Callaghan's strike rate?

Shane O'Callaghan has won 49 of 801 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Shane O'Callaghan do best at?

Kilbeggan by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Shane O'Callaghan ride most for?

P J Rothwell, with 97 rides since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.2%).

Is Shane O'Callaghan in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Shane O'Callaghan's Fair A/E?

0.93, from 801 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Shane O'Callaghan

801 rides in the last 5 seasons · 388 individual horses

As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 3 days ago 98% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

49–801

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=801

192 (24%)

Placed

0.93

Fair A/E

n=801 · 0.74 incl. margin

−337.95

£1 level stake

n=801 at SP · −42.2%

£845k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.8%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 160 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 8% (48 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 801 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct Fresh horses: 6.6% 16.1% when favourite P J Rothwell: 8.2% from 97 LTO winners: 8.3% Rides the favourite in 4% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Kilbeggan (11.8%, n=34) and Tramore (10.5%, n=57) — all clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.75 and −244.37 to a £1 stake over 369 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. P J Rothwell supplies 12% of the rides and edges the rider's average (8.2% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.06) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the HSS Hire Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2023, £59,000). Seasonally, the rider fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.1%−2.0

n=369 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −244.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

8.3%+2.2

n=48 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −31.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.6%+0.5

n=182 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −46.50

When favourite

16.1%

n=31 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −16.36

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.8%−0.3

n=763 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −393.83

Big fields · 14+ runners

5.5%−0.6

n=434 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −140.12

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

5.4%−0.7

n=37 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Norman Lee 14.3% vs 6.1% · n=35

With headgear back on 13.9% vs 6.1% · n=36

At Clonmel 0% vs 6.1% · n=35

With first-time headgear 0% vs 6.1% · n=32

At Kilbeggan 11.8% vs 6.1% · n=34

At Tramore 10.5% vs 6.1% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 534 34 6.4% −212.53

Chase 242 14 5.8% −126.42

Flat 17 0 0% −17.00

NH Flat 8 1 12.5% +18.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 306 17 5.6% −161.79

Good 233 13 5.6% −104.79

Good to Soft 150 12 8% −22.12

Heavy 109 7 6.4% −46.25

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 89 3 3.4% −45.12

Limerick 72 3 4.2% −58.75

Tramore 57 6 10.5% −14.50

Downpatrick 55 5 9.1% −19.50

Ballinrobe 49 2 4.1% −35.62

Wexford 44 1 2.3% −36.50

Cork 36 1 2.8% −31.67

Clonmel 35 0 0% −35.00

Fairyhouse 34 3 8.8% −10.12

Killarney 34 2 5.9% −22.00

Kilbeggan 34 4 11.8% −7.67

Down Royal 29 0 0% −29.00

Sligo 28 3 10.7% +0.00

Gowran Park 23 2 8.7% −3.50

Galway 22 3 13.6% +23.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 39 2 5.1% −5.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 45 10 22.2% 1.10 −9.53

2nd–3rd fav 104 12 11.5% 0.83 −40.92

4th–6th fav 218 16 7.3% 0.97 −56.50

7th+ in betting 434 11 2.5% 0.87 −231.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.1% completed · 776 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 242 81.8% 7 9 28 0 0

Hurdle 534 85.2% 8 8 55 4 4

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Itsalonglongroad (GB) 25 3 8 8 Oct 26

Gaoth Chuil (IRE) 13 2 10 24 Apr 26

Ardera Ru (IRE) 12 4 8 3 May 24

Be Fierce (IRE) 11 1 1 29 May 26

Oskar High (IRE) 11 3 3 8 Sep 25

Ta Na La (USA) 11 1 5 25 Aug 25

Optional Mix (IRE) 9 1 3 28 Oct 24

Kildorrery (IRE) 9 1 3 10 Jun 23

Avandra (IRE) 8 0 2 28 Sep 26

Cullenwaine (IRE) 8 1 4 28 Aug 26

Rock On Pedro (IRE) 8 0 1 7 Nov 24

He Fitz In (IRE) 8 1 4 6 Oct 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 388 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 7

Only 7 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

565457123101225

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP J Rothwell

12% of all rides
8.2% SR · A/E 1.06

TrainerRWSR£1

P J Rothwell 97 8 8.2% +1.75

T M Walsh 93 8 8.6% −49.79

Ross O'Sullivan 75 2 2.7% −61.17

Eoin Doyle 70 5 7.1% −17.50

C A McBratney 40 1 2.5% −33.00

Charles Coakley 38 4 10.5% −4.50

Norman Lee 35 5 14.3% +13.88

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£952k

Prize money

2026

Best season · 13 wins

Hereditary Rule (IRE) — HSS Hire Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2023 · Grade A

£59,000

Ardera Ru (IRE) — BoyleSports Mares Handicap Chase (Listed) Fairyhouse · Mar 2024 · Listed

£26,550

Gaoth Chuil (IRE) — Pertemps Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) Leopardstown · Dec 2023

£17,700

Notable horses

Ardera Ru (IRE) Itsalonglongroad (GB) Oskar High (IRE) Favori Logique (FR) Gaoth Chuil (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fame And Glory (GB) 13.9% · 5–36

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,211 runs since 2016 (504 horses).

Lawman (FR) 10.3% · 3–29

Progeny have won 8.9% of 9,427 runs since 2011 (730 horses).

Getaway (GER) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Doyen (IRE) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,372 runs since 2009 (605 horses).

Mahler (GB) 0% · 0–23

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,866 runs since 2014 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Mountain High (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 9.5% of 2,245 runs since 2011 (184 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 925 · newest first

The latest 50 of 925 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 18 April 2018 to 30 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Oct 26 Down Royal (IRE) Scathach (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan Eventsec Handicap Hurdle24.5f · Good To Yielding · 20 ran 10th 10/1

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Club Manager (GB)T: Ross O'Sullivan Download The Tote App Handicap Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 4/1F

25 Oct 26 Wexford (IRE) Backinbusiness (IRE)T: P J Rothwell William Hill Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle17f · Soft · 13 ran PU 33/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Johnny Cakes (FR)T: P J Rothwell Solar Generation Handicap Hurdle25.5f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 4th 11/2

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Dark Berkshire (IRE)T: P J Rothwell End Of An Era Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 9th 9/1

23 Oct 26 Sligo (IRE) Maxios Lady (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Callan Tansey Handicap Hurdle (Div II)17.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 9/1

22 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Woodstream Lad (IRE)T: David O'Sullivan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Steeplechase21f · Good · 10 ran 5th 100/30F

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Likable Chancer (IRE)T: Daniel John Howard Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran PU 50/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)T: Norman Lee Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div I)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 12th 4/1J

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) How Decc (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div II)20f · Good · 17 ran 4th 66/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Angelsworknovrtime (IRE)T: James Andrew Fahey William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 15 ran 12th 40/1

13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Donnie Devito (IRE)T: Ross O'Sullivan William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 4th 22/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) John Dixen (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 6/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Hee Hiles (IRE)T: T M Walsh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 50/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Youknowme (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 14 ran 1st 5/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Dark Berkshire (IRE)T: P J Rothwell CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 9/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Speakasyoufind (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Denis Macauley Memorial Novice Handicap Hurdle17.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 10/1

08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Itsalonglongroad (GB)T: David O'Sullivan Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase15.5f · Yielding · 6 ran 5th 12/1

02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) At The Wings (IRE)T: Norman Lee Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 20 ran 1st 7/2J

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Volez Vous (IRE)T: P J Rothwell Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 7th 13/2J

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 17 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Shane O'Callaghan's strike rate?: Shane O'Callaghan has won 49 of 801 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Shane O'Callaghan do best at?: Kilbeggan by strike rate: 4 wins from 34 rides (11.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Shane O'Callaghan ride most for?: P J Rothwell, with 97 rides since 2022 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (8.2%).
Is Shane O'Callaghan in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 7 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Shane O'Callaghan's Fair A/E?: 0.93, from 801 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.