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Trainer profile

Richard John O'Brien

405 runners in the last 5 seasons · 69 individual horses
As at 23 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 7 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2016→)
from 1 Jan 2022
28–405
Wins / Runs
6.9%
Strike rate
n=405
111 (27%)
Placed
0.73
Fair A/E
n=405 · 0.58 incl. margin
−207.73
£1 level stake
n=405 at SP · −51.3%
£426k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.8%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.73).

Deterministic profile computed from 405 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 23 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 23.1% when favourite Claiming riders: 7.8% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races
The read

It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 34 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.4% (n=82, Fair A/E 0.46). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.1%, n=61). The record reads poorly on Heavy going — 0% over 36 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Rentokil Initial Handicap Chase at Killarney (Jul 2018, £29,500). The stable star of the record: Cautious Approach (GB) — 5 wins from 29 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.4%−4.5
n=82 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −63.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
6.3%−0.6
n=32 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −13.50
Debutants · first career start
8%+1.1
n=25 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −10.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.9
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.9
n=20 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −20.00
When favourite
23.1%
n=39 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −15.93
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
7.8%+0.9
n=128 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −45.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Danny Mullins 20% vs 6.9% · n=35
With C&D winners 18.4% vs 6.9% · n=38
Off a 0-7-day break 13.1% vs 6.9% · n=61
On Heavy going 0% vs 6.9% · n=36
At Curragh 0% vs 6.9% · n=34
With Ben Coen 0% vs 6.9% · n=34
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 314 16 5.1% −191.93
Hurdle 63 7 11.1% −20.80
NH Flat 20 4 20% +9.00
Chase 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 136 7 5.1% −91.30
Soft 110 11 10% −6.76
Standard (AW) 80 8 10% −39.00
Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00
Good to Soft 33 2 6.1% −24.67
Good to Firm 10 0 0% −10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Dundalk (AW) 78 8 10.3% −37.00
Curragh 34 0 0% −34.00
Killarney 27 2 7.4% −18.88
Limerick 24 3 12.5% −14.68
Leopardstown 24 0 0% −24.00
Cork 21 0 0% −21.00
Navan 21 0 0% −21.00
Ballinrobe 21 4 19% +12.80
Naas 21 2 9.5% −4.00
Gowran Park 21 0 0% −21.00
Listowel 16 3 18.8% +4.00
Galway 13 2 15.4% +32.20
Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00
Roscommon 11 1 9.1% −4.00
Punchestown 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 43 9 20.9% 0.81 −19.93
2nd–3rd fav 84 9 10.7% 0.71 −36.80
4th–6th fav 123 8 6.5% 0.79 −54.00
7th+ in betting 155 2 1.3% 0.43 −97.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Quatre Bras (IRE)from Jane Chapple-Hyam 26 3 9 16 Oct 26
Satono Chevalier (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute · then Aidan Melia 23 3 9 17 Oct 25
Spanish Temptress (IRE) 20 4 9 5 Aug 26
Extrapolation (IRE) 19 4 9 15 Jun 25
Marvelosa (IRE) 16 1 8 7 Sep 23
Usuario Amigo (GB)from James Owen 15 1 2 25 Sep 26
Last Ammo (IRE)from Charlie Appleby · then Laura Hourigan 15 1 4 26 May 24
Metamorpheus (IRE)from Paul Nolan · then Andrew McNamara 14 0 1 1 Oct 25
Benavente (GB)then Kevin Thomas Coleman 13 0 5 12 Jul 23
Feud (GB)from Ralph Beckett · then Gerard O'Leary 12 2 3 18 Jan 26
Tuba (GB)then Fergal O'Brien 12 0 1 30 Aug 25
Abstract (IRE)from D K Weld · then Tony Carroll 12 0 3 5 Sep 22
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 69 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 34 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Clive Cox (4) and Andrew McNamara (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Eoin Christopher McCarthy (2) and Fergal O'Brien (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 2
Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
621367754111060
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderJack Kearney
10% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 0.86
RiderRWSR£1
Jack Kearney 41 4 9.8% +6.13
W J Lee 39 4 10.3% −6.50
Danny Mullins 35 7 20% +2.70
Ben Coen 34 0 0% −34.00
Nathan Crosse 31 1 3.2% −27.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2016→
81
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£1.22m
Prize money
2018
Best season · 16 wins
Azzuri (GB) — Rentokil Initial Handicap Chase (grade B) Killarney · Jul 2018 · Grade B
£29,500
Dianthus (IRE) — Woodlands 100 Club Madrid Handicap Naas · Mar 2018
£29,500
Morph Speed (IRE) — Laurels Pub And Restaurant Kingdom Gold Cup Handicap (Premier Handicap) Killarney · Aug 2021
£23,600
Notable horses
Cautious Approach (GB) Alans Pride (IRE) Spanish Temptress (IRE) Extrapolation (IRE) Beach Bar (IRE) Morph Speed (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Sea The Stars (IRE) 7.7% · 3–39
Progeny have won 15.7% of 9,943 runs since 2008 (1,111 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 18.9% from 1,503. Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 453. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.5% from 139.
Invincible Spirit (IRE) 9.1% · 3–33
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,823 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 13.4% of 1,331 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.8% from 133. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 20% from 100.
Mahler (GB) 21.1% · 4–19
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,840 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Morpheus (GB) 0% · 0–18
Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.
Golden Horn (GB) 0% · 0–17
Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,736 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 233.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 23 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 988 · newest first

The latest 50 of 988 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 23 December 2016 to 16 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Handicap10.5f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 3/1F
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Morgana Blue (GB)J: Donagh O'Connor SIS, Supporting Irish Racing Fillies Handicap10.5f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 66/1
09 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: Keithen Kennedy Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap12f · Standard · 5 ran 2nd 11/2
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Swing Street (GB)J: Nathan Crosse BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 33/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Concaire (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Killarney Student Raceday Handicap8f · Soft · 15 ran 12th 11/2
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Young Churchill (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle20f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 11th 50/1
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 9/2
25 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Usuario Amigo (GB)J: W. J. Lee Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 7/2
18 Sep 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Usuario Amigo (GB)J: W. J. Lee SIS, Proud Supporters Of Irish Racing Handicap8f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 6/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Camida Gold Champion Handicap10f · Yielding · 9 ran 7th 4/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Concaire (IRE)J: W. J. Lee Suir Blueway Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 9/2C
15 Sep 26 Punchestown (IRE) Swing Street (GB)J: Scott McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden9f · Good · 14 ran 9th 300/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Usuario Amigo (GB)J: Scott McCullagh Navan Handicap (Div II)8f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 9/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Concaire (IRE)J: W J Lee Navan Handicap (Div I)8f · Good · 16 ran 4th 6/1
02 Sep 26 Navan (IRE) Young Churchill (IRE)J: Mr A P Ryan Kilberry (Q.R.) Handicap16f · Good · 16 ran 6th 33/1
01 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Swing Street (GB)J: Scott McCullagh Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Yielding · 14 ran 11th 300/1
23 Aug 26 Naas (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: Andrew Slattery TRM BIOACTIVE Energy Boost Handicap10.5f · Good · 9 ran 5th 11/1
18 Aug 26 Roscommon (IRE) Swing Street (GB)J: W J Lee District Speciality Coffee Maiden12f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 9th 150/1
15 Aug 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Quatre Bras (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Red God Handicap10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 6th 10/1
05 Aug 26 Sligo (IRE) Young Churchill (IRE)J: Adam Grant Rockshore Cider Handicap13.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 10th 11/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Richard John O'Brien's strike rate?
Richard John O'Brien has won 28 of 405 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 23 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Richard John O'Brien do best at?
Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 8 wins from 78 runners (10.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Richard John O'Brien in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Richard John O'Brien's Fair A/E?
0.73, from 405 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 23 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).