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Horse profile

Fresh Speculation (GB)

8yo gelding · Trainer Henry Daly · Owner Mike Green Sally Beech
by Pether's Moon (IRE) out of Wilde Speculation (IRE) (Oscar)
15 runs · 10 courses · from May 2023
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Ffos Las & Leicester Off 239 days · 2nd of 6 Last raced off OR 117
KTB Profile

Fresh Speculation is 3 from 15 with all wins over 2m1f – 2m4f on turf. He won a Class 4 handicap hurdle at Ffos Las on heavy ground in Jan 2026 off 111, having taken a similar Leicester event on soft ground the previous month off 104. The gelding finished second of six, having raced prominently, at Ffos Las in Feb 2026 when last seen off his career-high mark of 117.

Based on 15 archived runs · run-style from 7 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance OR at career high
Official rating117At career-high mark
117 100–117

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 129 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ffos Las, 8 Jan 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 11 figures · best 129A · median 92
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Soft5111C922 · 111 / 101.5
Heavy4129A97.51 · —
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f7129A953 · 129 / 111
1m5f – 2m3105C89—
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 15 runs looked at, 4 have no figure: did not complete (2) · not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 15 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 130A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Ffos Las, 8 Jan 2026 Official rating 117 at the last run, 20 Feb 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Jumps 13 figures · best 135A · median 114
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
Heavy6130A1102 · 130 / 128
Soft5135A1212 · 127 / 124
Good to Soft1———
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 18 Oct 2025
2m1f – 2m4f8135A123.54 · 130 / 126.5
1m5f – 2m4117A101.5—
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 15 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 15 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style from 7 analysed runs

  • Prominent 3 (43%) · 2 wins
  • Led 2 (29%) · 0 wins
  • Midfield 1 (14%) · 0 wins
  • Held up 1 (14%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Pether's Moon (IRE)

Progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 901 runs since Jan 2008 (106 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm12216.7%+3.5—
Good3233811.8%−1.40 from 1
Good to Soft2573212.5%−0.70 from 3
Soft2113215.2%+22 from 5
Heavy831416.9%+3.71 from 6
Standard (AW)1516.7%−6.5—
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
6f – 7f200%−13.2—
1m – 1m1f100%−13.2—
1m2f – 1m4f1300%−13.2—
1m5f – 2m3404513.2%00 from 4
2m1f – 2m4f3224413.7%+0.53 from 9
2m5f – 3m1862714.5%+1.30 from 2
Over 3m3738.1%−5.1—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Wilde Speculation (IRE) (Oscar)

1 sibling in the archive, 0 winners.

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Idle Speculation (GB)20——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Heavy 6 1 17% −0.50
Soft 5 2 40% +8.50
Good to Soft 3 0 0% −3.00
Good 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 4 6 2 33% +8.00
Class 5 6 1 17% −1.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Ffos Las 4 2 50% +6.50
Bangor-on-Dee 2 0 0% −2.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Leicester 1 1 100% +7.50
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Stratford 1 0 0% −1.00
Hereford 1 0 0% −1.00
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00
Worcester 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f 9 3 33% +10.00
1m5f – 2m 4 0 0% −4.00
2m5f – 3m 2 0 0% −2.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Sam Twiston-Davies 4 1 25% +4.50
Daryl Jacob 3 0 0% −3.00
David Bass 2 2 100% +8.50
Alice Stevens 2 0 0% −2.00
Toby McCain-Mitchell 1 0 0% −1.00
Jonathan Burke 1 0 0% −1.00
Micheal Nolan 1 0 0% −1.00
Richard Patrick 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 2 1 50% +3.50
2025 4 1 25% +4.50
2024 5 1 20% +0.00
2023 4 0 0% −4.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 14 3 21% +5.00
NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
20 Feb 26+43d Ffos Las fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 10 Get 10 Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 6 ran Handy in the pack early - shared front spot 3 out and asked for effort - edged clear approaching final flight - locked together with winner up the run-in - couldn't find more and caught close to line 2/6 nk 11-11 117—126B Toby McCain-Mitchell 4/1
08 Jan 26+39d Ffos Las Stream All British Racing On DragonBet Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 20f · Heavy · 10 ran Prominent early - closed on the pace before 3 out - hit the top before 2 out with a mistake there - driven approaching last then stayed on strongly to win 1/10 12-1 111129A130A David Bass 9/2
30 Nov 25+33d Leicester Leicester Racecourse Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 20.5f · Soft · 9 ran Handy early - hit front after 3 out looking strong and asked for effort before the last - kept finding on the run-in to score 1/9 10-12 104111C127A Sam Twiston-Davies 15/2
28 Oct 25+187d Ffos Las DragonBet The Independent Online Bookmaker Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 13 ran Sat close to the pace early - dropped away after 4 out - hit the deck 3 out then pushed along - kept trying up the run-in to finish sixth 6/13 1¼ 12-0 10592B121A Sam Twiston-Davies 15/2
24 Apr 25+76d Bangor-on-Dee Horse PWR Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 11 ran Settled midfield early - asked for effort after three out - lost touch in a hurry approaching two out - eased down and pulled up PU/11 — 12-0 105—— Sam Twiston-Davies 18/5
07 Feb 25+38d Bangor-on-Dee Wrexham Lager UK's Oldest Lager Brewery Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 23f · Soft · 4 ran Went clear early - scrappy over fourth-last - pushed along and lost front two out - drifted right at final fence - held on for third without extra late 3/4 1 11-6 10686C113B Sam Twiston-Davies 5/4F
31 Dec 24+41d Uttoxeter 2025 Uttoxeter Annual Membership Now Available Handicap Hurdle Class 3 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Disputed the lead - hit hard at the 3rd last when about to be passed and fell out of contention - pulled up shortly after PU/8 — 10-12 106—— Jonathan Burke 5/2F
20 Nov 24+32d Ffos Las Katchar Racing Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 20f · Soft · 10 ran Sat behind pace early - driven into second two out and drifted left approaching last - battled on well to hit front inside final furlong for the win 1/10 12-0 10095A135A David Bass 4/1
19 Oct 24+189d Stratford Join Racing TV Now Female Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 9 ran Settled among the pack early - pushed along after 3 out - moved into 3rd drifting left approaching the line - stayed on without threatening the leaders 3/9 2¾ 11-9 100105C117A Alice Stevens 10/3
13 Apr 24+59d Chepstow On Course Values Online With DragonBet Novices' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 3/13 4¼ 11-9 100112B114A Alice Stevens 15/2
14 Feb 24+46d Hereford Vickers.Bet Proudly Supporting British Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Class 4 · 19.5f · Soft · 8 ran 3/8 5 11-5 10076C112A Daryl Jacob 5/2
30 Dec 23+21d Haydock Betfred TV EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 3 · 15.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5/6 7½ 11-0 —72A99B Daryl Jacob 20/1
09 Dec 23+31d Aintree BoyleSports Money Back 2nd Meeting Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 3 · 17f · Heavy · 11 ran 3/11 35 11-0 —90C101C Daryl Jacob 28/1
08 Nov 23+184d Chepstow Spectra Group 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Class 4 · 16f · Heavy · 12 ran 5/12 3¾ 11-4 ——103A Micheal Nolan 28/1
08 May 23 Worcester Join Our Bet Club At Vickers.Bet Open NH Flat Race (GBB Race) Class 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6/10 11 11-1 —89A100A Richard Patrick 10/1

Quick answers

How many races has Fresh Speculation (GB) won?
Fresh Speculation (GB) won 3 of 15 archived starts between 2023 and 2026, a strike rate of 20%. Placed 8 times in total (53.3% of starts).
Who trains Fresh Speculation (GB)?
Fresh Speculation (GB) is trained by Henry Daly, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 20 February 2026.
Who is Fresh Speculation (GB)'s sire?
Fresh Speculation (GB) is by Pether's Moon (IRE) out of Wilde Speculation (IRE), whose sire is Oscar.
What going does Fresh Speculation (GB) prefer?
Fresh Speculation (GB) has the best record on soft going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Fresh Speculation (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 117, from the run on 20 February 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Fresh Speculation (GB)'s sire's record?
Pether's Moon (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 901 runs since Jan 2008 (106 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Fresh Speculation (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Wilde Speculation (IRE), Fresh Speculation (GB) has 1 other produce in our archive, 0 of them winners. As at Oct 2026.

Record shown from May 2023. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Runs in other countries are not in it, and earlier runs are not available from our data provider. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.