Inciting Incident (IRE)
Inciting Incident (IRE) is 3 from 12. Won last time out at Goodwood (Class 4). All 3 wins have come over 6f – 7f. Last raced off a career-high mark of 73.
- 3–12Wins / Runs
- 25%Strike rate
- 5 (41.7%)Placed
- +1.00£1 level staken=12 at SP
- 1.63Fair A/E n=12 · 1.39 incl. margin
- 73Highest OR
- 46dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 9,322 runs since Jan 2008 (596 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 53 | 2 | 3.8% | −4.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 1,574 | 133 | 8.4% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Good | 1,951 | 150 | 7.7% | −0.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 912 | 74 | 8.1% | 0 | 1 from 2 |
| Soft | 1,101 | 94 | 8.5% | +0.4 | 1 from 1 |
| Heavy | 356 | 26 | 7.3% | −0.8 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3,375 | 280 | 8.3% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 2,279 | 222 | 9.7% | +1.6 | 0 from 7 |
| 6f – 7f | 4,250 | 356 | 8.4% | +0.3 | 3 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,578 | 99 | 6.3% | −1.8 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 700 | 44 | 6.3% | −1.8 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 368 | 23 | 6.3% | −1.8 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 116 | 9 | 7.8% | −0.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | +10.4 | — |
| Over 3m | 4 | 1 | 25% | +16.9 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 27 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
5 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Dusty Storm (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Dusty Storm (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dusty Storm (IRE) | 19 | 2 | 5f–5½f | Class 5 |
| What Could She Be (IRE) | 14 | 1 | 1m | Class 5 |
| Khitaamy (IRE) | 15 | 1 | 7f | Class 6 |
| Fakeittilyamakeit (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| Rapet (IRE) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 5 | 1 | 20% | +0.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | 2 | 1 | 50% | +3.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sandown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 3 | 60% | +8.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 2 | 2 | 100% | +6.00 |
| Graham Lee | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Graham Gibbons | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Robert Winston | 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.00 |
| Ted Durcan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| George Baker | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Eaves | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blinkers | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| None | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Hood + cheekpieces | 3 | 3 | 100% | +10.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8 | 3 | 38% | +5.00 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 · 8 runs | |||||||||
| 02 Sep 14+8d | Goodwood | Golf At Goodwood Handicap | 1/10 | 9-4 | 73 | 88A | Ryan Moore | 4/1 | |
| 25 Aug 14+38d | Epsom Downs | Caroline & Blossom Handicap | 1/5 | 9-5 | 73 | 90B | Ryan Moore | 2/1 | |
| 18 Jul 14+21d | Nottingham | Paul Smith Fashion Handicap | 1/12 | 9-3 | 65 | 95A | Robert Winston | 4/1 | |
| 27 Jun 14+23d | Newcastle | Betfred World Cup Enhanced Match Prices Handicap | 7/8 | ¾ | 8-13 | 67 | 63A | Graham Lee | 13/2 |
| 04 Jun 14+36d | Kempton (AW) | Betdaq Supporting The Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap | 7/10 | 1 | 9-6 | 69 | 69A | Ted Durcan | 14/1 |
| 29 Apr 14+32d | Nottingham | BDN Construction Handicap | 4/9 | nk | 9-7 | 70 | 80A | Graham Lee | 7/2F |
| 28 Mar 14+15d | Lingfield (AW) | 32Red.com Handicap | 3/7 | 2 | 9-4 | 70 | 72A | George Baker | 6/1 |
| 13 Mar 14+243d | Wolverhampton (AW) | 32red Handicap | 5/9 | nse | 9-2 | 70 | 75A | Graham Gibbons | 3/1 |
| 2013 · 4 runs | |||||||||
| 13 Jul 13+37d | Hamilton | Racing Uk On Sky 432 Maiden Auction Stakes | 5/7 | ½ | 8-13 | — | 67A | Tom Eaves | 14/1 |
| 06 Jun 13+28d | Sandown | West End Maiden Auction Stakes | 5/10 | 5 | 8-11 | — | 69A | Sean Levey | 9/2 |
| 09 May 13+22d | Chester | Liverpool One E.B.F. Maiden Stakes | 2/10 | 8 | 9-5 | — | 72A | Paul Hanagan | 11/4 |
| 17 Apr 13 | Beverley | Battlefield Stud Maiden Auction Stakes (Div 1) | 2/10 | hd | 8-13 | — | 96A | Graham Gibbons | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Inciting Incident won?
- Inciting Incident (IRE) won 3 of 12 archived starts between 2013 and 2014, a strike rate of 25%. Placed 5 times in total (41.7% of starts).
- Who trained Inciting Incident?
- Inciting Incident (IRE) was trained by Ed McMahon on the most recent run on record, at Goodwood on 2 September 2014.
- Who is Inciting Incident's sire?
- Inciting Incident (IRE) is by Camacho (GB) out of Halliwell House (GB), whose sire is Selkirk.
- What going does Inciting Incident prefer?
- Inciting Incident (IRE) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Inciting Incident's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 73, from the run on 2 September 2014. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Inciting Incident's sire's record?
- Camacho (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 8.1% of 9,322 runs since Jan 2008 (596 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Inciting Incident's siblings?
- Out of Halliwell House (GB), Inciting Incident (IRE) has 5 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Dusty Storm (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Dusty Storm (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m. As at Oct 2026.