What is Ed McMahon's strike rate?

Ed McMahon has won 182 of 1,484 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ed McMahon do best at?

Warwick by strike rate: 11 wins from 36 runners (30.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Ed McMahon?

Graham Gibbons, with 374 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (11.2%).

What is Ed McMahon's Fair A/E?

0.97, from 1,479 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ed McMahon

1,484 runners in the lifetime window · 183 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2017 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

182–1,484

Wins / Runs

12.3%

Strike rate

n=1,484

520 (35%)

Placed

0.97

Fair A/E

n=1,479 · 0.83 incl. margin

−357.63

£1 level stake

n=1,484 at SP · −24.1%

£1.81m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.97). In Group and Graded company the record reads 15% (95 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,484 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Oct 25.3% when favourite Graham Gibbons: 11.2% from 374 Group/Graded: 14.7% Sent off the favourite in 15% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Warwick (30.6%, n=36) and Chester (20.9%, n=43) — all clear of the yard's 12.3% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 8.8% (n=217, Fair A/E 0.89). Graham Gibbons rode 25% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (11.2%, A/E 0.90). The yard also read well on Soft going (17.5%, n=114). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 5.9% over 118 runners, 6.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.62 across 290 runners (7.9% strike, −158.63 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 15 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury (Jul 2010, £98,480). The stable star of the record was Noble Storm (USA) — 10 wins from 63 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.8%−3.5

n=217 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −55.05

New recruits · first run for the yard

12.5%+0.2

n=24 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −8.63

Debutants · first career start

10.7%−1.6

n=140 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −24.65

First-time headgear · true-first definition

9.1%−3.2

n=44 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −10.40

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

7.1%−5.2

n=14 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −9.50

When favourite

25.3%

n=217 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −54.21

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10.7%−1.6

n=84 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −10.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

14.7%+2.4

n=95 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −14.96

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Warwick 30.6% vs 12.3% · n=36

On last-time-out winners 22.3% vs 12.3% · n=157

At Chester 20.9% vs 12.3% · n=43

Off a break of 180+ days 5.9% vs 12.3% · n=118

In Class 4 7.9% vs 12.3% · n=290

On Soft going 17.5% vs 12.3% · n=114

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,481 182 12.3% −354.63

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 422 37 8.8% −184.67

Good to Firm 402 54 13.4% −92.14

Good 325 38 11.7% −61.43

Good to Soft 173 26 15% −1.34

Soft 114 20 17.5% +1.33

Firm 24 5 20.8% −7.38

Heavy 24 2 8.3% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 290 27 9.3% −116.95

Haydock 115 18 15.7% +10.41

Nottingham 93 16 17.2% +18.75

Leicester 80 7 8.8% −33.75

Doncaster 66 5 7.6% −17.17

Beverley 55 8 14.5% −20.55

Bath 49 6 12.2% −31.00

Southwell (AW) 47 4 8.5% −13.22

Chester 43 9 20.9% +4.25

Thirsk 43 4 9.3% −14.05

Kempton (AW) 40 3 7.5% −29.00

Windsor 37 6 16.2% +35.50

Warwick 36 11 30.6% +18.91

Newmarket 34 3 8.8% −18.50

York 34 3 8.8% −9.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 622 84 13.5% −99.86

Class 4 290 23 7.9% −158.63

Class 6 268 36 13.4% −44.30

Class 3 129 14 10.9% −36.79

Class 1 95 14 14.7% −14.96

Class 2 72 11 15.3% +4.91

Class 7 8 0 0% −8.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 252 65 25.8% 0.92 −50.96

2nd–3rd fav 391 69 17.6% 1.10 −10.17

4th–6th fav 462 39 8.4% 1.01 −57.50

7th+ in betting 379 9 2.4% 0.59 −239.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Noble Storm (USA) 63 10 23 10 Nov 16

Venutius (GB)then Charles Hills 40 7 20 16 Aug 16

Secret Look (GB)then Richard Phillips 40 6 11 5 Jul 16

Sakhee's Rose (GB)from Roger Charlton 34 2 9 26 Nov 16

Angelito (GB)then Natalie Lloyd-Beavis 31 2 14 9 Sep 15

Piddie's Power (GB)then Kevin Frost 30 2 11 7 Oct 13

Gold Club (GB)then Tom Clover 27 3 8 6 Jan 17

Arlecchino (IRE)then Gary Moore 25 1 7 29 Aug 14

Supermassive Muse (IRE) 25 2 7 4 Aug 10

Norwegian Dancer (UAE) 24 2 6 8 Nov 10

Bahamian Ballet (GB) 23 1 7 3 Jun 11

Rainbow Mirage (IRE) 23 2 8 4 Aug 10

The 60 most-raced of 183 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for John Holt (2); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

108158813121317141010

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderGraham Gibbons

25% of all rides
11.2% SR · A/E 0.90

RiderRWSR£1

Graham Gibbons 374 42 11.2% −119.84

Richard Mullen 230 36 15.7% −42.67

Sean Levey 102 10 9.8% −63.12

Stevie Donohoe 69 10 14.5% −12.40

Dale Swift 66 7 10.6% −12.77

Franny Norton 54 6 11.1% +20.00

Graham Lee 50 8 16% −5.13

Royston Ffrench 49 3 6.1% −36.25

Seb Sanders 32 4 12.5% −5.05

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

250

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.48m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 28 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Temple Meads (GB) — Weatherbys Super Sprint Newbury · Jul 2010 · Class 2

£98,480

Astrophysical Jet (GB) — Goffs Flying Five Stakes (group 3) Curragh · Aug 2010 · Group 3

£40,950

Temple Meads (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Newbury · Sep 2010 · Group 2

£37,468

Notable horses

Noble Storm (USA) Venutius (GB) Secret Look (GB) Pivotal's Princess (IRE) Artistic Jewel (IRE) Bahamian Ballet (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Sakhee's Secret (GB) 12.9% · 15–116

Progeny have won 8.8% of 3,866 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.3% from 772.

Yankee Gentleman (USA) 15.9% · 10–63

Progeny have won 11.9% of 176 runs since 2008 (5 horses).

Multiplex (GB) 12.3% · 7–57

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,180 runs since 2008 (291 horses).

Needwood Blade (GB) 11.8% · 6–51

Progeny have won 7.9% of 2,746 runs since 2008 (187 horses).

Bahamian Bounty (GB) 16.7% · 8–48

Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.

Hernando (FR) 7.3% · 3–41

Progeny have won 12.1% of 3,531 runs since 2008 (273 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 120.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,063 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,063 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 11 February 2005 to 26 January 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Jan 17 Southwell (AW) Mysterious Look (GB)J: Rob Hornby Betway Best Odds Guaranteed Plus HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 3rd 11/1

06 Jan 17 Kempton (AW) Gold Club (GB)J: Martin Dwyer Matchbook Betting Podcast Handicap (Div 2)Class 4 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 7th 4/1

22 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Emjayem (GB)J: Dale Swift Betway Sprint HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 6th 20/1

22 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) The Daley Express (IRE)J: Dale Swift 32Red Casino Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 5th 4/5F

13 Dec 16 Southwell (AW) Mysterious Look (GB)J: Graham Lee Betway Sprint HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 5/1J

10 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) The Daley Express (IRE)J: George Baker 32Red.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/8F

02 Dec 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Rocket Ronnie (IRE)J: Andrew Mullen Sun Bets On The App Store Classified Claiming Stakes (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 4/1

01 Dec 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Gold Club (GB)J: Dale Swift toteelfie Win A 50 Free Bet HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 7/1

26 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Sakhee's Rose (GB)J: Dale Swift Sun Bets On The App Store Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 12/1

26 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Lesanti (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan 32Red Casino Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 100/1

26 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) The Daley Express (IRE)J: Dale Swift 32Red Casino Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 9/1

25 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Mysterious Look (GB)J: Kevin Stott Betway HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 5/1

24 Nov 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Gold Club (GB)J: Sean Levey Bet totetrifecta HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 16/1

19 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Rocket Ronnie (IRE)J: Kevin Stott sunbets.co.uk Claiming StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 25/1

11 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Andalusite (GB)J: Kevin Stott Betway Sprint Distance HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 9/2

10 Nov 16 Southwell (AW) Noble Storm (USA)J: Rob Hornby Betway Sprint HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

01 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Rocket Ronnie (IRE)J: Rob Hornby Sun Bets On The App Store Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 9/2

01 Nov 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Moi Aussie (GB)J: Martin Dwyer sunbets.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 12/1

28 Oct 16 Newcastle (AW) Emjayem (GB)J: Dale Swift Arrange A Pinnacle Stable Visit At Wynyard HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 25/1

26 Oct 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Andalusite (GB)J: Joe Fanning Book Tickets At chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 7th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ed McMahon's strike rate?: Ed McMahon has won 182 of 1,484 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.3% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ed McMahon do best at?: Warwick by strike rate: 11 wins from 36 runners (30.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Ed McMahon?: Graham Gibbons, with 374 runners since 2008 — 25% of the total. That pairing has won 42 (11.2%).
What is Ed McMahon's Fair A/E?: 0.97, from 1,479 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.