Graham Gibbons
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 660 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.08). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 19% (621 rides).
The record is strongest at Lingfield (AW) (22.5%, n=89), clear of the rider's 12.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 19% (n=621, Fair A/E 1.11), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.4% (n=1,033, Fair A/E 0.96). David Barron supplied 18% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16% vs 12.4%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 20 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes at York (Aug 2015, £124,762). The standout partner of the record was Noble Storm (USA) — 6 wins from 23 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,419 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,419 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2005 to 7 December 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Graham Gibbons's strike rate?
- Graham Gibbons has won 736 of 5,913 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Graham Gibbons do best at?
- Redcar by strike rate: 43 wins from 271 rides (15.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Graham Gibbons ride most for?
- David Barron, with 1,091 rides since 2008 — 18% of the total. That pairing has won 175 (16%).
- What is Graham Gibbons's Fair A/E?
- 1.08, from 5,883 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.