3yo filly · Trainer James Fanshawe· Owner The Gredley Family
by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Wemyss Bay (GB) (Sadler's Wells)
10 runs · 8 courses · from Nov 2025
As at 18 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Goodwood, Yarmouth & Wolverhampton (AW)Ran 23 days ago · 8th of 10Last raced off OR 78
KTB Profile
Kelly Burn is a filly with three wins from 10 starts, all in handicaps. She won the Class 4 Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap Stakes at Goodwood over 1m2f – 1m4f on good to firm in Aug 2026 off 75, the Class 5 First Furnishings' Front Runners Handicap at Yarmouth over 1m5f – 2m on good to firm in Jun 2026 off 69, and the Class 5 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap at Wolverhampton (AW) over 1m2f – 1m4f on standard in May 2026 off 67. She has two turf wins from five starts and one all-weather win from five starts. She finished 8 of 10 at Newmarket in the Class 1 Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes in Sep 2026.
Based on 10 archived runs · run-style from 4 commented runs · updated 18 Oct 2026
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating78At career-high mark
7865–78
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed118the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ffos Las, 4 Jun 2026
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat 10 figures · best 118B · median 82.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
5
89C
82
5 · 89 / 82
Good to Firm
2
102C
79.5
2 · 102 / 79.5
Good to Soft
2
118B
91.5
2 · 118 / 91.5
Good
1
—
—
1 · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
5
118B
82
5 · 118 / 82
1m – 1m1f
3
85A
76
3 · 85 / 76
1m5f – 2m
2
102C
92.5
2 · 102 / 92.5
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
KTB Rating
Best recent KTB Rating69Bthe best of the last 3 rated runs · Goodwood, 28 Aug 2026Official rating 78at the last run, 24 Sep 2026
What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →
Flat 10 figures · best 75A · median 66.5
Going
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
Standard (AW)
5
75A
64
5 · 75 / 64
Good to Firm
2
69B
68
2 · 69 / 68
Good to Soft
2
72A
69.5
2 · 72 / 69.5
Good
1
—
—
1 · —
Distance
Runs
Best
Median
Since 18 Oct 2025
1m2f – 1m4f
5
75A
69
5 · 75 / 69
1m – 1m1f
3
66A
64
3 · 66 / 64
1m5f – 2m
2
67B
66.5
2 · 67 / 66.5
KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 10 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 4 analysed runs
Held up3 (75%)· 3 wins
Prominent1 (25%)· 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Sea The Moon (GER)
Progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 4,524 runs since Jan 2008 (500 horses).
Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 802.
Going
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Firm
10
1
10%
−2.1
—
Good to Firm
404
51
12.6%
+0.5
2 from 2
Good
1,048
128
12.2%
+0.1
0 from 1
Good to Soft
619
85
13.7%
+1.6
0 from 2
Soft
860
102
11.9%
−0.2
—
Heavy
316
39
12.3%
+0.2
—
Standard (AW)
1,267
140
11%
−1.1
1 from 5
Distance (all codes)
Runs
Wins
SR
vs sire
This horse
Under 6f
64
9
14.1%
+2
—
6f – 7f
684
68
9.9%
−2.2
—
1m – 1m1f
1,016
97
9.5%
−2.6
0 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f
1,527
197
12.9%
+0.8
2 from 5
1m5f – 2m
802
121
15.1%
+3
1 from 2
2m1f – 2m4f
349
49
14%
+1.9
—
2m5f – 3m
73
5
6.8%
−5.3
—
Over 3m
9
0
0%
−12.1
—
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 18 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Wemyss Bay (GB) (Sadler's Wells)
6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Allmankind (GB) (10 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m6½f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Allmankind (GB)).
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 16f · Good · 10 ranmid-pack early - lost touch with the pace from 3f out - dropped away rapidly and allowed to finish steadily well held
Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12f · Good To Firm · 6 ranHeld up eagerly in the pack - squeezed for space and knocked about 2f out - moved left to find room and pushed along inside the final 2f - responded well to fight back into contention entering the last furlong - battled to the line - got up by a whisker
First Furnishings' Front Runners HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 4 ranSettled behind the front group - short of space approaching 2f out - angled right and pushed along - hit the front inside the final furlong - pulled well ahead in the last 110yds - won going away
New Thomas Arms HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 9 ranHandy early with the pace - pressed for the lead 2f out - dropped to third approaching the final furlong - faded near the finish to come home fifth
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 5 ranSettled just behind pace and pulling hard early - pushed along a furlong out and finished with purpose - swept clear inside the final furlong to score
Free Bets On attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 7 ranTook a strong hold early - settled off the pace mid-pack - made progress into contention 3f out - driven approaching final furlong then finished well - unable to reel in winner
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Soft · 8 ranSettled in the pack - pushed along with two furlongs left - kept going without finding extra gear - finished fifth beaten 2.25 lengths
Kelly Burn (GB) won 3 of 10 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 30%. Placed 5 times in total (50% of starts).
Who trains Kelly Burn (GB)?
Kelly Burn (GB) is trained by James Fanshawe, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 24 September 2026.
Who is Kelly Burn (GB)'s sire?
Kelly Burn (GB) is by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Wemyss Bay (GB), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
What going does Kelly Burn (GB) prefer?
Kelly Burn (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Kelly Burn (GB)'s official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 78, from the run on 24 September 2026. That is also the highest on record.
What is Kelly Burn (GB)'s sire's record?
Sea The Moon (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.1% of 4,524 runs since Jan 2008 (500 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 802.
Who are Kelly Burn (GB)'s siblings?
Out of Wemyss Bay (GB), Kelly Burn (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Allmankind (GB) (10). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Allmankind (GB)). The wins came over 7f–2m6½f. As at Oct 2026.
Kelly Burn (GB)·3–10·SR 30%
KTB
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