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Horse profile

Kelly Burn (GB)

3yo filly · Trainer Dan Skelton · Owner The Gredley Family
by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Wemyss Bay (GB) (Sadler's Wells)
11 runs · 9 courses · from Nov 2025
As at 11 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Goodwood, Yarmouth & Wolverhampton (AW) New yard Headgear returns LTO Last run 3 Nov 2026 · 2nd of 7
KTB Profile

Kelly Burn is a filly with three wins from 11 starts, all in handicaps. She won at Wolverhampton over 1m2f – 1m4f on standard going in May 2026 off 67, at Yarmouth over 1m5f – 2m on good to firm in June 2026 off 69, and at Goodwood over 1m2f – 1m4f on good to firm in August 2026 off 75. She has two turf wins from six starts and one all-weather win from five. Her last run, at Warwick in Nov 2026, was her first for Dan Skelton and headgear returned when she finished 2 of 7.

Based on 11 archived runs · run-style from 11 commented runs since Nov 2025 · updated 11 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance OR at career high
Official rating78At career-high mark
78 65–78

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 118 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Ffos Las, 4 Jun 2026

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Jumps 1 figure · too few for a breakdown
Flat 10 figures · best 118B · median 82.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 11 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)589C824 runs · 89 / 83.5
Good to Firm2102C79.52 runs · 102 / 79.5
Good to Soft2118B91.52 runs · 118 / 91.5
Good1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 11 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f5118B825 runs · 118 / 82
1m – 1m1f385A762 runs · 85 / 74
1m5f – 2m2102C92.52 runs · 102 / 92.5

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 11 figures from 11 runs · as at 11 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating 69B the best of the last 3 rated runs · Goodwood, 28 Aug 2026 Official rating 78 at the last run, 24 Sep 2026

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 10 figures · best 75A · median 66.5
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 11 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)575A644 runs · 75 / 63
Good to Firm269B682 runs · 69 / 68
Good to Soft272A69.52 runs · 72 / 69.5
Good1——1 run · —
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 11 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f575A695 runs · 75 / 69
1m – 1m1f366A642 runs · 66 / 57.5
1m5f – 2m267B66.52 runs · 67 / 66.5

Of 11 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: no runner of known ability in the race — the level cannot be solved (1).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 11 runs · as at 11 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

The forward record. KTB’s figures on this horse since 3 Nov 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 3 Nov 2026. Each pick was the figure’s choice before the off, settled against the result the next morning; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races since 5 Oct 2026.

Run style from 11 analysed runs since Nov 2025

  • Prominent 6 (55%) · 2 wins
  • Mid-division 5 (45%) · 1 win

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Sea The Moon (GER)

Progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,590 runs since Apr 2018 (505 horses).

Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 815.

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Firm10110%−2—
Good to Firm4065112.6%+0.62 from 2
Good1,06213012.2%+0.20 from 2
Good to Soft6278513.6%+1.60 from 2
Soft87810311.7%−0.3—
Heavy3244313.3%+1.3—
Standard (AW)1,28314010.9%−1.11 from 5
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Under 6f64914.1%+2.1—
6f – 7f6916910%−2—
1m – 1m1f1,036989.5%−2.50 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f1,54319812.8%+0.82 from 5
1m5f – 2m81512315.1%+3.11 from 3
2m1f – 2m4f3585114.2%+2.2—
2m5f – 3m7456.8%−5.2—
Over 3m900%−12—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2018 · as at 10 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Wemyss Bay (GB) (Sadler's Wells)

6 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Allmankind (GB) (10 wins).

The wins came over 7f–2m6½f; the highest grade won is Grade 1 (Allmankind (GB)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
Allmankind (GB)30101m2f–2m6½fGrade 1
Beach Break (GB)5161m4f–2m4fClass 3
Wemyss Point (GB)3952m3½f–2m5½fClass 3
Opec (GB)1232m–2m½fListed
Cable News (GB)417fClass 5
Environment Ally (GB)30——

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Standard (AW) 5 1 20% −2.25
Good 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Firm 2 2 100% +6.75
Good to Soft 2 0 0% −2.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 6 2 33% +0.00
Class 4 3 1 33% +2.50
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 3 1 33% −0.25
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Newmarket 1 0 0% −1.00
Goodwood 1 1 100% +4.50
Yarmouth 1 1 100% +2.25
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00
Doncaster 1 0 0% −1.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Kempton (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f 5 2 40% +3.25
1m5f – 2m 3 1 33% +0.25
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Daniel Muscutt 4 0 0% −4.00
Jack Doughty 2 0 0% −2.00
Harry Skelton 1 0 0% −1.00
Ashley Lewis 1 1 100% +4.50
Cieren Fallon 1 1 100% +2.25
Hollie Doyle 1 1 100% +1.75
Rowan Scott 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 7 3 43% +4.50
Hood 4 0 0% −4.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2026 9 3 33% +2.50
2025 2 0 0% −2.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Flat 10 3 30% +1.50
Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2026 · 9 runs
03 Nov 26+40d Warwick Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race) Class 4 · 2m · Good · 7 ran Raced freely early - up with the front rank - close to the winner before a big blunder 2 out - ridden and three lengths adrift approaching the last - stayed on at one speed for 2nd 2/7 4¼ 10-7 —98A— Harry Skelton 13/8J
24 Sep 26+27d Newmarket Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Class 1 · 2m · Good · 10 ran mid-pack early - lost touch with the pace from 3f out - dropped away rapidly and allowed to finish steadily well held 8/10 12 8-5 7883C66C Jack Doughty 33/1
28 Aug 26+63d Goodwood Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Class 4 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 6 ran Held up eagerly in the pack - squeezed for space and knocked about 2f out - moved left to find room and pushed along inside the final 2f - responded well to fight back into contention entering the last furlong - battled to the line - got up by a whisker 1/6 9-0 7557B69B Ashley Lewis 9/2
26 Jun 26+22d Yarmouth First Furnishings' Front Runners Handicap Class 5 · 1m6f · Good To Firm · 4 ran Settled behind the front group - short of space approaching 2f out - angled right and pushed along - hit the front inside the final furlong - pulled well ahead in the last 110yds - won going away 1/4 9-6 69102C67B Cieren Fallon 9/4
04 Jun 26+17d Ffos Las New Thomas Arms Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Good To Soft · 9 ran Handy early with the pace - pressed for the lead 2f out - dropped to third approaching the final furlong - faded near the finish to come home fifth 5/9 ½ 9-8 69118B67A Daniel Muscutt 13/8F
18 May 26+42d Wolverhampton (AW) Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Standard · 5 ran Settled just behind pace and pulling hard early - pushed along a furlong out and finished with purpose - swept clear inside the final furlong to score 1/5 8-7 6789C60B Hollie Doyle 7/4
06 Apr 26+8d Wolverhampton (AW) Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Class 6 · 1m4f · Standard · 7 ran Took a strong hold early - settled off the pace mid-pack - made progress into contention 3f out - driven approaching final furlong then finished well - unable to reel in winner 2/7 2¼ 9-9 6582A75A Daniel Muscutt EvensF
29 Mar 26+34d Doncaster William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Class 5 · 1m2f · Good To Soft · 8 ran Settled in the pack - pushed along with two furlongs left - kept going without finding extra gear - finished fifth beaten 2.25 lengths 5/8 ¾ 9-0 6565A72A Daniel Muscutt 12/1
23 Feb 26+89d Wolverhampton (AW) Daily Profit Boosts At betmgm.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Class 4 · 1m½f · Standard · 9 ran Settled in the pack early - urged forward approaching 3f out - moved into third with 2f left - kept on to finish third 3/9 4½ 8-9 —85A66A Jack Doughty 66/1
2025 · 2 runs
26 Nov 25+21d Southwell (AW) Free Tips Daily On AtTheRaces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 14 ran Settled close to the pace early - pushed along with 3f left - dropped away inside the final furlong - finished well held in 9th 9/14 2 9-2 —63C49C Rowan Scott 28/1
05 Nov 25 Kempton (AW) Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Class 5 · 1m · Standard To Slow · 13 ran Sat close to the pace early - pressed for effort a furlong out - flattened out through the closing stages - finished sixth 6/13 hd 9-2 —76B64A Daniel Muscutt 80/1

Quick answers

How many races has Kelly Burn won?
Kelly Burn (GB) won 3 of 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026, a strike rate of 27.3%. Placed 6 times in total (54.5% of starts).
Who trains Kelly Burn?
Kelly Burn (GB) is trained by Dan Skelton, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 3 November 2026.
Who is Kelly Burn's sire?
Kelly Burn (GB) is by Sea The Moon (GER) out of Wemyss Bay (GB), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
What going does Kelly Burn prefer?
Kelly Burn (GB) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 5 starts (20%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
What is Kelly Burn's official rating?
Kelly Burn (GB)'s highest official rating on record is 78.
What is Kelly Burn's sire's record?
Sea The Moon (GER)'s progeny in our archive have won 12% of 4,590 runs since Apr 2018 (505 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 15.1% from 815.
Who are Kelly Burn's siblings?
Out of Wemyss Bay (GB), Kelly Burn (GB) has 6 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Allmankind (GB) (10). Highest grade won: Grade 1 (Allmankind (GB)). The wins came over 7f–2m6½f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from November 2025. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.