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Horse profile

Last Chance Paddy (USA)

6yo gelding (at last run, Sep 2020) · Last trainer Sarah-Jayne Davies · Last owner Summertime Racing
by Paddy O'prado (USA) out of Mizzcan'tbewrong (USA) (Mizzen Mast)
23 runs · 13 courses · from Mar 2017
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
No run recorded since 21 Sep 2020 — 2,235 days ago. Our archive can't say whether the horse is still in training.
Last run Sep 2020 Last raced off OR 69
KTB Profile

Last Chance Paddy (USA) is yet to win from 23 starts, though has placed twice. Best effort: 3rd of 9 at Newton Abbot (Jul 2020). Last raced off 69, 17lb below the career-high mark.

Based on 23 archived runs · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance OR ↓ 17lb off peak
Official rating69↓ 17lb off peak
69 45–86

KTB Speed and Rating

KTB Speed

Best recent Speed 118 the best of the last 3 graded (A or B) runs · Newton Abbot, 24 Jul 2020

How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 99B · median 86
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)699B91—
Good to Firm476A59—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f491C83.5—
1m5f – 2m499B91.5—
1m – 1m1f368C48—
Jumps 9 figures · best 118A · median 72
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Good8118A71—
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
2m1f – 2m4f4118A80—
1m5f – 2m491C68—
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 23 runs looked at, 3 have no figure: did not complete (2) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (1).

KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 20 figures from 23 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

KTB Rating

Best recent KTB Rating (flat) 47C the best of the last 3 rated runs · Wolverhampton (AW), 6 Nov 2019 Official rating 45 at the last flat run, 13 Sep 2020

Best recent KTB Rating (jumps) 84A the best of the last 3 rated runs · Newton Abbot, 24 Jul 2020 Official rating 69 at the last jumps run, 21 Sep 2020

What the horse achieved in each race, in pounds on the official-rating scale, from the weight carried, the lengths beaten and the race's own level solved across the archive — never the market, never the official rating as a starting point. The headline is the best of the horse's last three rated runs on that code — its best recent day. The KTB Rating on a racecard is a different reading of the same figures: the level the horse has been running to, an average of up to its last six runs with the latest counting most, so the two can differ. A, B or C on a run is how much known form was in that race. What this means →

Flat 11 figures · best 68A · median 48
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Standard (AW)663A47.5—
Good to Firm468A50.5—
Good1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m2f – 1m4f468A56.5—
1m5f – 2m456A47.5—
1m – 1m1f359A45—
Jumps 10 figures · best 84A · median 80
GoingRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
Good884A80.5—
Soft1———
Good to Soft1———
DistanceRunsBestMedianSince 5 Nov 2025
1m5f – 2m583C81—
2m1f – 2m4f484A80—
2m5f – 3m1———

Of 23 runs looked at, 2 have no figure: did not complete (or a non-runner row) (2).

KTB Rating v1 · batch 3 Oct 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 21 figures from 23 runs · as at 4 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast

Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.

Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.

Pedigree intelligence

Sire
Paddy O'prado (USA)

Progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 158 runs since Jun 2015 (5 horses).

GoingRunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
Good to Firm1200%−6.30 from 4
Good4712.1%−4.20 from 10
Good to Soft1500%−6.30 from 1
Soft46510.9%+4.60 from 2
Heavy24416.7%+10.4—
Standard (AW)1400%−6.30 from 6
Distance (all codes)RunsWinsSRvs sireThis horse
6f – 7f700%−6.3—
1m – 1m1f1300%−6.30 from 3
1m2f – 1m4f2627.7%+1.40 from 4
1m5f – 2m5858.6%+2.30 from 11
2m1f – 2m4f2813.6%−2.70 from 4
2m5f – 3m2328.7%+2.40 from 1
Over 3m300%−6.3—

Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2015 · as at 4 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast

Dam
Mizzcan'tbewrong (USA) (Mizzen Mast)

1 sibling in the archive, 1 winner — best of them From Eden (USA) (4 wins).

The wins came over 2m–3m½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (From Eden (USA)).

ProduceRunsWinsWin tripsBest grade
From Eden (USA)5042m–3m½fClass 3

Record by conditions

GoingRunsWinsSR£1
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Firm 4 0 0% −4.00
Soft 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

ClassRunsWinsSR£1
Class 5 13 0 0% −13.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00
Class 4 5 0 0% −5.00

CourseRunsWinsSR£1
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Southwell (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00
Wolverhampton (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00
Ludlow 2 0 0% −2.00
Catterick 2 0 0% −2.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Bath 1 0 0% −1.00
Newton Abbot 1 0 0% −1.00
Uttoxeter 1 0 0% −1.00
Bangor-on-Dee 1 0 0% −1.00
Newcastle (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Thirsk 1 0 0% −1.00
Hamilton 1 0 0% −1.00

DistanceRunsWinsSR£1
1m5f – 2m 11 0 0% −11.00
1m2f – 1m4f 4 0 0% −4.00
2m1f – 2m4f 4 0 0% −4.00
1m – 1m1f 3 0 0% −3.00
2m5f – 3m 1 0 0% −1.00

JockeyRunsWinsSR£1
Charlie Hammond 5 0 0% −5.00
Neil Farley 3 0 0% −3.00
Jamie Bargary 2 0 0% −2.00
Tabitha Worsley 2 0 0% −2.00
Callum Hutchinson 1 0 0% −1.00
Martin Dwyer 1 0 0% −1.00
James Bowen 1 0 0% −1.00
Brian Hughes 1 0 0% −1.00
Ben Godfrey 1 0 0% −1.00
Stevie Donohoe 1 0 0% −1.00
Duran Fentiman 1 0 0% −1.00
David Allan 1 0 0% −1.00
Mr William Easterby 1 0 0% −1.00
Franny Norton 1 0 0% −1.00
Ben Curtis 1 0 0% −1.00

HeadgearRunsWinsSR£1
None 15 0 0% −15.00
Cheekpieces 5 0 0% −5.00
Blinkers 2 0 0% −2.00
Visor 1 0 0% −1.00

SeasonRunsWinsSR£1
2020 4 0 0% −4.00
2019 11 0 0% −11.00
2018 5 0 0% −5.00
2017 3 0 0% −3.00

TypeRunsWinsSR£1
Hurdle 12 0 0% −12.00
Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.

Form

DateCourseRace PosBtn Wgt ORSpdKTB Jockey SP
2020 · 4 runs
21 Sep 20+8d Warwick Biffa Waste Services Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 1) Class 5 · 2m · Good · 11 ran PU/11 — 10-0 69—— Jamie Bargary 33/1
13 Sep 20+25d Bath Follow At The Races On Twitter Apprentice Handicap Class 6 · 1m3½f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9/9 7 8-6 4570C35C Callum Hutchinson 40/1
19 Aug 20+26d Stratford Visit racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle Class 4 · 2m½f · Soft · 13 ran PU/13 — 10-0 69—— Jamie Bargary 50/1
24 Jul 20+261d Newton Abbot oldgoldracing.com Get Your Heart Racing Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Class 5 · 2m1f · Good · 9 ran 3/9 6 9-11 69118A84A Charlie Hammond 14/1
2019 · 11 runs
06 Nov 19+18d Wolverhampton (AW) Betway Casino Handicap Class 6 · 1m6f · Standard · 12 ran 10/12 2½ 8-9 4789C47C Martin Dwyer 80/1
19 Oct 19+38d Stratford Kevin Watson Lady Riders' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m½f · Soft · 8 ran 5/8 2 9-9 69—60A Tabitha Worsley 14/1
11 Sep 19+20d Uttoxeter Amazing Staff At caladen.com Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m · Good · 12 ran 10/12 7 10-0 7264B70A James Bowen 20/1
22 Aug 19+20d Stratford Coventry & Warwickshire Chamber Of Commerce Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div 2) Class 5 · 2m2½f · Good · 9 ran 3/9 10 10-0 7470A80A Brian Hughes 7/1
02 Aug 19+19d Bangor-on-Dee R W Hough & Sons Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m7f · Good · 11 ran 10/11 27 10-2 7668C65C Tabitha Worsley 16/1
14 Jul 19+26d Stratford Birmingham Live Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m2½f · Good · 11 ran 6/11 8 10-2 8173C76C Ben Godfrey 22/1
18 Jun 19+17d Stratford Every Race Live On Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Class 5 · 2m2½f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 7/10 1½ 10-13 8687C80A Charlie Hammond 25/1
01 Jun 19+20d Stratford Sadler's Brewery Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 2m½f · Good · 6 ran 5/6 ¾ 10-9 —72C83C Charlie Hammond 50/1
12 May 19+19d Ludlow Scott & Newman Centenary Estima Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 2m · Good · 6 ran 5/6 21 10-11 —43C81C Charlie Hammond 100/1
23 Apr 19+62d Ludlow Jean Williams Memorial Novices' Hurdle Class 4 · 2m · Good · 8 ran 7/8 ¾ 10-9 —91C83C Charlie Hammond 12/1
20 Feb 19+134d Wolverhampton (AW) Betway Live Casino Handicap Class 6 · 1m6f · Standard · 10 ran 9/10 4½ 8-13 5294B47A Stevie Donohoe 66/1
2018 · 5 runs
09 Oct 18+8d Newcastle (AW) 188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Handicap Class 6 · 1m4½f · Standard · 13 ran 11/13 12 9-0 5591C50C Duran Fentiman 25/1
01 Oct 18+20d Catterick Watch More With Racing UK Extra Handicap (Div 1) Class 6 · 1m4f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 4/12 1¼ 9-5 5576A68A David Allan 15/2
11 Sep 18+201d Catterick Racing Again Saturday 22nd September Handicap (Gentleman Amateur Riders) Class 5 · 1m6f · Good · 10 ran 8/10 1¼ 10-4 5886A56A Mr William Easterby 25/1
22 Feb 18+35d Southwell (AW) Betway Stayers Handicap Class 4 · 1m6f · Standard · 8 ran 7/8 2½ 8-6 6299B48A Franny Norton 20/1
18 Jan 18+250d Southwell (AW) Betway Casino Handicap Class 5 · 1m4f · Standard · 9 ran 6/9 1 8-12 6391A63A Ben Curtis 11/1
2017 · 3 runs
13 May 17+6d Thirsk Jw 4x4 Northallerton Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 1m · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8/9 8 9-1 —38C42C Neil Farley 16/1
07 May 17+59d Hamilton totepool Supporting #MHAW17 8th-14th May 2107 Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 1m½f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 5/11 ½ 9-1 —48A59A Neil Farley 33/1
09 Mar 17 Southwell (AW) Sunbets.co.uk Median Auction Maiden Stakes Class 5 · 1m · Standard · 7 ran 4/7 10 8-10 —68C45C Neil Farley 7/1

Quick answers

How many races has Last Chance Paddy won?
Last Chance Paddy (USA) has yet to win, from 23 archived starts between 2017 and 2020. Placed 2 times in total (8.7% of starts).
Who trained Last Chance Paddy?
Last Chance Paddy (USA) was trained by Sarah-Jayne Davies on the most recent run on record, at Warwick on 21 September 2020.
Who is Last Chance Paddy's sire?
Last Chance Paddy (USA) is by Paddy O'prado (USA) out of Mizzcan'tbewrong (USA), whose sire is Mizzen Mast.
What is Last Chance Paddy's official rating?
The most recent official rating on record is 69, from the run on 21 September 2020. The highest on record is 86.
What is Last Chance Paddy's sire's record?
Paddy O'prado (USA)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.3% of 158 runs since Jun 2015 (5 horses), Flat and jumps together.
Who are Last Chance Paddy's siblings?
Out of Mizzcan'tbewrong (USA), Last Chance Paddy (USA) has 1 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: From Eden (USA) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (From Eden (USA)). The wins came over 2m–3m½f. As at Nov 2026.

Record shown from March 2017. Our archive holds racing in Great Britain, Ireland and France from January 2005. Any runs before that, or in other countries, are not in it. In-running comments are available from 2024 onward.