What is Seamus Mullins's strike rate?

Seamus Mullins has won 79 of 914 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Seamus Mullins do best at?

Newton Abbot by strike rate: 10 wins from 73 runners (13.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Seamus Mullins?

Micheal Nolan, with 307 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (10.1%).

What is Seamus Mullins's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 908 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Seamus Mullins

914 runners in the last 5 seasons · 88 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 100 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

79–914

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=914

220 (24%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=908 · 0.86 incl. margin

−284.56

£1 level stake

n=914 at SP · −31.1%

£1.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

11%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 180 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99).

Deterministic profile computed from 914 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–Aug 25% when favourite Micheal Nolan: 10.1% from 307 Sends off the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 3.2% (n=154, Fair A/E 0.52). Micheal Nolan rides 34% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (10.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well beyond 3m (17.7%, n=141) and in Class 3 (14.8%, n=115). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 54 runners, 8.6pts below the baseline. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase at Ascot (Oct 2006, £61,970). The stable star of the record: Tommie Beau (IRE) — 15 wins from 54 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–Aug.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

3.2%−5.4

n=154 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −68.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.6

n=19 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −19.00

Debutants · first career start

9.3%+0.7

n=43 · A/E 1.91 · £1 +6.50

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4%−4.6

n=25 · A/E 0.74 · £1 +1.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

9.4%+0.8

n=32 · A/E 1.37 · £1 +1.50

When favourite

25%

n=44 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −10.13

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.9%−0.7

n=303 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −85.16

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.6

n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Beyond 3m 17.7% vs 8.6% · n=141

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 8.6% · n=54

On last-time-out winners 16% vs 8.6% · n=75

In Class 3 14.8% vs 8.6% · n=115

In Chase races 13.6% vs 8.6% · n=279

With James Best 14.8% vs 8.6% · n=81

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 463 30 6.5% −213.56

Chase 279 38 13.6% −21.38

Flat 104 6 5.8% −39.62

NH Flat 68 5 7.4% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 403 42 10.4% −67.93

Good to Soft 209 11 5.3% −108.17

Soft 158 9 5.7% −88.34

Good to Firm 50 5 10% +11.50

Heavy 46 7 15.2% −14.00

Standard (AW) 45 4 8.9% −27.62

Firm 3 1 33.3% +10.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Plumpton 102 11 10.8% −39.84

Fontwell 98 9 9.2% −20.67

Wincanton 76 5 6.6% −38.25

Newton Abbot 73 10 13.7% +8.38

Exeter 56 6 10.7% −20.42

Stratford 50 5 10% −23.75

Fakenham 42 5 11.9% +5.50

Taunton 33 1 3% −26.00

Hereford 27 3 11.1% +0.00

Lingfield 27 0 0% −27.00

Salisbury 25 1 4% +9.00

Cartmel 22 5 22.7% +3.33

Newbury 20 0 0% −20.00

Kempton (AW) 19 1 5.3% −15.50

Chepstow 18 0 0% −18.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 399 31 7.8% −117.54

Class 4 286 21 7.3% −118.72

Class 3 115 17 14.8% −31.01

Class 6 53 5 9.4% −22.62

Class 2 47 5 10.6% +19.33

Class 1 14 0 0% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 57 15 26.3% 0.97 −9.92

2nd–3rd fav 167 36 21.6% 1.22 +3.36

4th–6th fav 347 25 7.2% 0.96 −18.00

7th+ in betting 343 3 0.9% 0.34 −260.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

83.7% completed · 742 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 279 80.3% 8 4 42 0 1

Hurdle 463 85.7% 8 8 49 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Tommie Beau (IRE)then Jeff Mullins 42 11 19 25 May 26

Wilderness (GB)from J P Murtagh 37 1 6 20 Oct 25

Miss Fedora (IRE)then Nick Scholfield 36 4 7 13 Feb 26

Basilette (IRE)then Jeff Mullins 33 5 12 12 Jul 26

Sheldon (IRE) 31 5 12 14 Apr 26

Baby Sham (GB)from Stuart Williams 28 2 4 21 Oct 24

Moroder (IRE) 27 5 8 27 May 26

Vin Rouge (IRE)from Jamie Osborne 26 4 9 20 Apr 25

I See You Well (FR)from John Joseph Hanlon 26 3 6 10 Mar 25

Romanor (GB)from Ed Walker 25 3 6 13 Jul 25

Kentford Mallard (GB) 25 3 10 8 Mar 25

Masonbrook Meadow (IRE)from Daniel James Murphy 24 1 6 26 Jun 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 88 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gordon Elliott (2); 43 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Jeff Mullins (11) and Nick Scholfield (2); 45 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

75713101812103865

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMicheal Nolan

34% of all rides
10.1% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Micheal Nolan 307 31 10.1% −134.39

Daniel Sansom 178 10 5.6% −87.00

James Best 81 12 14.8% +51.91

George Downing 71 5 7% −9.50

Sean Houlihan 38 1 2.6% −28.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

452

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.23m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 39 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

See You Sometime (GB) — United House Gold Cup Handicap Chase Ascot · Oct 2006 · Class 2

£61,970

Chesterfield (IRE) — QTS Scottish Champion Hurdle (Grade 2 Limited Handicap) Ayr · Apr 2017 · Grade 2

£59,798

Moroder (IRE) — Virgin Bet Grimthorpe Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Doncaster · Mar 2023 · Class 2

£36,421

Notable horses

Tommie Beau (IRE) Jarlath (GB) Kentford Heiress (GB) Romanor (GB) I See You Well (FR) Moroder (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Brian Boru (GB) 26.2% · 11–42

Progeny have won 11% of 4,122 runs since 2008 (285 horses).

Doyen (IRE) 12.2% · 5–41

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,349 runs since 2008 (605 horses).

Sulamani (IRE) 9.8% · 4–41

Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.

Cityscape (GB) 2.7% · 1–37

Progeny have won 9% of 2,989 runs since 2008 (213 horses).

Helmet (AUS) 11.1% · 4–36

Progeny have won 9.4% of 4,851 runs since 2008 (351 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.8% from 148.

Dylan Thomas (IRE) 14.3% · 5–35

Progeny have won 10.5% of 7,487 runs since 2008 (533 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 17.7% from 192.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 5,311 · newest first

The latest 50 of 5,311 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 12 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

12 Jul 26 Stratford Basilette (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 7/2

03 Jul 26 Newton Abbot Hurst Hill (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom St. Austell Brewery Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 5/1

30 Jun 26 Stratford Western Soldier (GER)J: Callum Pritchard Davisons Law Moving You Forward Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran PU 15/2

30 Jun 26 Stratford Balboa (GB)J: Callum Pritchard SolidCAM UK Partner Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 15/2

29 Jun 26 Kempton (AW) Balgowan (IRE)J: George Downing Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 16f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 2nd 7/4F

29 Jun 26 Stratford Basilette (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom Racing Again Tomorrow Evening Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 4th 15/2

28 Jun 26 Cartmel Path Of Stars (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Burlington Stone Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 2nd 8/1

26 Jun 26 Cartmel Masonbrook Meadow (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Hadwins Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 6th 10/1

21 Jun 26 Brighton Skyolaire (GB)J: George Downing fairplaybet.co.uk Bet 20 Pound Get 20 Pound Free Bets Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 22/1

21 Jun 26 Brighton West Hill Rosie (GB)J: George Downing Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 33/1

13 Jun 26 Bath Basilette (IRE)J: George Downing Support Ben Saunders Foundation HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

12 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Hurst Hill (IRE)J: Daniel Sansom William Hill Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 26.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 5/1

11 Jun 26 Worcester Western Soldier (GER)J: Callum Pritchard Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 11/2

05 Jun 26 Bath Skyolaire (GB)J: George Downing Bath University HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 6th 20/1

30 May 26 Stratford Masonbrook Meadow (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 22f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 7th 9/2

27 May 26 Newton Abbot Moroder (IRE)J: James Best Hugh Michelmore Memorial Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 4 ran PU 9/1

25 May 26 Cartmel Tommie Beau (IRE)J: Benjamin Macey Hugh Cavendish Veterans' Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 29.5f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 13/8F

25 May 26 Cartmel Path Of Stars (FR)J: Benjamin Macey Johnny & Tony Connell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 5 · 22f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/2

24 May 26 Fontwell Kentford Legacy (GB)J: Daniel Sansom Land & Power Mares' Open Maiden NH Flat Race (GBB Race)Class 5 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 22/1

24 May 26 Fontwell Chartwell Jock (GB)J: Daniel Sansom V2 Radio Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 3/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Mullins's strike rate?: Seamus Mullins has won 79 of 914 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Seamus Mullins do best at?: Newton Abbot by strike rate: 10 wins from 73 runners (13.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Seamus Mullins?: Micheal Nolan, with 307 runners since 2022 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 31 (10.1%).
What is Seamus Mullins's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 908 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.