Mighty Nebula (IRE)
Mighty Nebula won two of 13 starts, both on the all-weather. He took a Class 5 maiden at Kempton over 1m to 1m1f on standard going in Apr 2024 and a Class 4 handicap at Chelmsford City over 1m2f to 1m4f on standard going in Dec 2024 off an official rating of 81. The gelding, by Saxon Warrior out of a Storm Cat mare, reached a highest ever mark of 88. He finished 10 of 10 at Chelmsford City in Mar 2025 on his first run in first-time headgear.
- 2–13Wins / Runs
- 15.4%Strike rate
- 4 (30.8%)Placed
- −6.13£1 level staken=13 at SP
- 1.09Fair A/E n=13 · 0.94 incl. margin
- 88Highest OR
- 58dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 126
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 126A | 98 | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Good | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 21 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 126A | 100 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 98A | 85 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 13 figures from 13 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 8 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Prominent 5 (63%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 1 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 1 (13%) · 1 win
- Held up 1 (13%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,884 runs since Jan 2008 (359 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 932. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 5 | 2 | 40% | +28.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 373 | 47 | 12.6% | +1.1 | — |
| Good | 692 | 65 | 9.4% | −2.1 | 0 from 1 |
| Good to Soft | 333 | 34 | 10.2% | −1.3 | — |
| Soft | 414 | 37 | 8.9% | −2.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 135 | 8 | 5.9% | −5.6 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 932 | 139 | 14.9% | +3.4 | 2 from 11 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 69 | 3 | 4.3% | −7.2 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 884 | 96 | 10.9% | −0.6 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 883 | 104 | 11.8% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 794 | 103 | 13% | +1.5 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 189 | 22 | 11.6% | +0.1 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 64 | 4 | 6.3% | −5.2 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1 | 0 | 0% | −11.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 21 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them King's Gambit (IRE) (2 wins).
The wins came over 6f–1m2f; the highest grade won is Class 2 (King's Gambit (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Gambit (IRE) | 17 | 2 | 1m–1m2f | Class 2 |
| Dr Ali (IRE) | 27 | 2 | 6f | Class 6 |
| Al Hareth (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Countess De Vega (IRE) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 11 | 2 | 18% | −4.13 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Good | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Class 4 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.12 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 4 | 1 | 25% | −0.25 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newmarket | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.12 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 8 | 1 | 13% | −4.25 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.88 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Egan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Marco Ghiani | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Neil Callan | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kaiya Fraser | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.75 |
| Rob Hornby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Keeley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Doyle | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.12 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 2 | 17% | −5.13 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2024 | 9 | 2 | 22% | −2.13 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 25+12d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Racing Value At bet365 Handicap (GBB Plus Race) Sat close to the front group on the rail - urged forward with 2f left - lost ground inside the final furlong | 10/10 | nk | 8-11 | 83 | 88A | 65A | David Egan | 33/1 |
| 01 Mar 25+43d | Newcastle (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled behind the pace - pushed along 2f out - knocked back and unable to find more inside final furlong - finished seventh | 7/7 | ½ | 9-5 | 84 | 126A | 75A | Kaiya Fraser | 15/2 |
| 17 Jan 25+36d | Newcastle (AW) | Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap (GBB Race) Held a spot around midfield wide of rivals - urged for effort with 2f left - found nothing when asked - dropped away final furlong to finish seventh | 7/9 | 1¾ | 8-10 | 84 | 100A | 72A | Marco Ghiani | 14/1 |
| 12 Dec 24+21d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Went straight to front early - settled just behind the pace before pushed into command inside the last furlong - stayed on to prevail | 1/9 | 10-1 | 81 | 101A | 92A | Sean Levey | 11/4J | |
| 21 Nov 24+19d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap Settled at the back early - never troubled the leading group - finished 7th beaten 5 lengths | 7/11 | 2¼ | 9-13 | 84 | 100A | 82A | Marco Ghiani | 33/1 |
| 02 Nov 24+65d | Newmarket | Dusseldorf's Henkel 167th German Oaks Handicap Up with the pace - ridden and dropped away over 2f out - faded into 9th | 9/9 | 2½ | 9-10 | 86 | 46C | 61C | Rob Hornby | 80/1 |
| 29 Aug 24+28d | Southwell (AW) | tote.co.uk Who'll Take The Crown Racing League Race 41 Handicap (Trainers Registered To Racing League) Sat close to the pace early - roused for effort over 2f out - lost momentum under pressure inside final furlong to finish 5th | 5/12 | 1¼ | 9-9 | 87 | 85A | 84A | Neil Callan | 11/2 |
| 01 Aug 24+25d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Tote.co.uk Linda Perratt Gie It Laldy Racing League Race 12 Handicap (Trainers Registered To Racing League) Faltered at the break - eager and prominent early - driven out from 2f out but only maintained one gear to finish 4th beaten 3 lengths | 4/12 | 2 | 9-10 | 88 | 85A | 93A | Neil Callan | 7/2J |
| 07 Jul 24+31d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap | 2/9 | 1½ | 9-8 | 87 | 97A | 83A | Silvestre De Sousa | 11/4F |
| 06 Jun 24+40d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Leading Environmental Solutions Handicap | 4/7 | 1 | 9-4 | 87 | 102A | 80A | Silvestre De Sousa | 7/4F |
| 27 Apr 24+24d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 3/8 | hd | 9-13 | — | 98A | 97A | Aidan Keeley | 9/2 |
| 03 Apr 24+349d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Boosts In More Races Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2) | 1/11 | 10-2 | — | 87A | 103A | James Doyle | 85/40 | |
| 20 Apr 23 | Newmarket | Bet365 Wood Ditton Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/8 | 4 | 9-7 | — | 74A | 69A | David Egan | 9/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Mighty Nebula (IRE) won?
- Mighty Nebula (IRE) won 2 of 13 archived starts between 2023 and 2025, a strike rate of 15.4%. Placed 4 times in total (30.8% of starts).
- Who trained Mighty Nebula (IRE)?
- Mighty Nebula (IRE) was trained by Stuart Williams on the most recent run on record, at Chelmsford City (AW) on 13 March 2025.
- Who is Mighty Nebula (IRE)'s sire?
- Mighty Nebula (IRE) is by Saxon Warrior (JPN) out of Pure Symmetry (USA), whose sire is Storm Cat.
- What going does Mighty Nebula (IRE) prefer?
- Mighty Nebula (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 2 wins from 11 starts (18.2%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Mighty Nebula (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 83, from the run on 13 March 2025. The highest on record is 88.
- What is Mighty Nebula (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Saxon Warrior (JPN)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.5% of 2,884 runs since Jan 2008 (359 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 14.9% from 932. Weakest on heavy going: 5.9% from 135.
- Who are Mighty Nebula (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Pure Symmetry (USA), Mighty Nebula (IRE) has 4 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: King's Gambit (IRE) (2). Highest grade won: Class 2 (King's Gambit (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m2f. As at Oct 2026.