What is Stuart Williams's strike rate?

Stuart Williams has won 240 of 2,078 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stuart Williams do best at?

Brighton by strike rate: 17 wins from 76 runners (22.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Stuart Williams?

Marco Ghiani, with 586 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (14.7%).

Is Stuart Williams in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Stuart Williams's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,070 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Stuart Williams

2,078 runners in the last 5 seasons · 234 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 2.7% of 475 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 22 Oct 2026.

Last runner yesterday 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

240–2,078

Wins / Runs

11.5%

Strike rate

n=2,078

581 (28%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,070 · 0.91 incl. margin

−337.74

£1 level stake

n=2,077 at SP · −16.3%

£3.27m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.6%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 420 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 2,078 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Nov–Feb 32.3% when favourite Marco Ghiani: 14.7% from 586 Claiming riders: 12% Sends off the favourite in 10% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Brighton (22.4%, n=76), clear of the yard's 11.5% baseline. It is weakest at Sandown (0% over 37 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 4% (n=100, Fair A/E 0.85). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 10.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.15 and +9.79 to a £1 stake over 250 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Marco Ghiani rides 28% of the entries and edges the yard's average (14.7% vs 11.5%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (23.3%, n=146). 12 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the totescoop6 Heritage Handicap at Ascot (Jul 2016, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Pactolus (IRE) — 14 wins from 95 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Nov–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 11.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

10.8%−0.7

n=250 · A/E 1.15 · £1 +9.79

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.5%−4.0

n=93 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −54.92

Debutants · first career start

4%−7.5

n=100 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −31.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.6%−5.9

n=90 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −34.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.1%−6.4

n=39 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −32.25

When favourite

32.3%

n=217 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −30.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12%+0.5

n=458 · A/E 1.15 · £1 −83.94

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.2%−1.3

n=59 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +21.21

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 11.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 23.3% vs 11.5% · n=146

At Brighton 22.4% vs 11.5% · n=76

With Olivia Haines 23.2% vs 11.5% · n=56

At Sandown 0% vs 11.5% · n=37

On last-time-out winners 19.1% vs 11.5% · n=235

At Goodwood 0% vs 11.5% · n=32

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 2,077 239 11.5% −339.99

Hurdle 1 1 100% +2.25

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,112 141 12.7% −297.89

Good to Firm 436 52 11.9% −13.64

Good 307 28 9.1% +58.33

Good to Soft 108 11 10.2% −12.87

Soft 90 5 5.6% −59.67

Heavy 16 2 12.5% −5.00

Firm 9 1 11.1% −7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Chelmsford City (AW) 347 48 13.8% −45.51

Kempton (AW) 233 23 9.9% −68.41

Wolverhampton (AW) 209 24 11.5% −103.09

Lingfield (AW) 166 30 18.1% −44.71

Newmarket 133 18 13.5% −14.99

Yarmouth 130 9 6.9% −9.70

Southwell (AW) 126 15 11.9% −12.17

Windsor 115 15 13% +125.16

Newmarket 100 8 8% +31.25

Brighton 76 17 22.4% +36.53

Ascot 55 2 3.6% −31.00

Epsom 44 4 9.1% −14.00

Sandown 37 0 0% −37.00

Goodwood 32 0 0% −32.00

Newcastle (AW) 31 1 3.2% −24.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 618 87 14.1% −71.51

Class 4 566 53 9.4% −42.13

Class 6 430 65 15.1% −67.80

Class 3 208 13 6.3% −104.30

Class 2 197 16 8.1% −73.21

Class 1 59 6 10.2% +21.21

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 255 75 29.4% 0.99 −49.35

2nd–3rd fav 422 86 20.4% 1.22 +3.78

4th–6th fav 684 57 8.3% 1.00 −138.17

7th+ in betting 716 22 3.1% 0.95 −154.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Revolutionise (IRE)from Roger Varian 60 6 19 27 Feb 26

Existent (GB)from John & Thady Gosden 57 3 16 11 Jun 26

Got No Dollars (IRE)from Richard Hughes 40 5 14 28 May 25

Merrimack (GB)from Simon & Ed Crisford 39 6 16 5 Oct 26

Lord Rapscallion (IRE)from J P Murtagh 39 6 11 18 May 25

Rebel Path (FR)from A Fabre 38 4 11 6 Oct 26

Expert Agent (GB)from Kevin Philippart De Foy 36 5 7 9 Oct 26

Diomed Spirit (GB)then Chris Gordon 35 6 8 26 May 26

Quinault (GER)from Charlie Appleby 33 11 18 22 Aug 26

Where's Freddy (IRE) 29 5 10 20 Aug 26

Eminency (IRE)from Clive Cox 28 3 10 27 Jul 26

Kracking (GB)from Clive Cox 28 3 10 16 Oct 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 234 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 31 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John & Thady Gosden (3) and Clive Cox (2); 29 had their first archived run for this yard.

18 have since run for another yard, most often for Chris Gordon (2); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 13

Only 13 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

151491110811121371316

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderMarco Ghiani

28% of all rides
14.7% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Marco Ghiani 586 86 14.7% +41.43

Luke Catton 161 16 9.9% −62.35

Sean Levey 146 16 11% −21.30

Rossa Ryan 124 18 14.5% −33.00

Jason Hart 68 13 19.1% +3.15

Olivia Haines 56 13 23.2% +54.38

Daniel Muscutt 51 5 9.8% −26.05

Jack Doughty 44 6 13.6% −12.42

Callum Shepherd 43 1 2.3% −38.50

Pat Cosgrave 43 8 18.6% +12.79

Jack Dace 41 7 17.1% +14.00

Hector Crouch 39 2 5.1% −14.27

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

894

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.23m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 74 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Royal Birth (GB) — totescoop6 Heritage Handicap Ascot · Jul 2016 · Class 2

£62,250

Quinault (GER) — Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Criterion Stakes (Group 3) York · Jun 2025 · Group 3

£56,710

Azleet (GB) — Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Newmarket · Apr 2026 · Group 3

£53,875

Notable horses

Pactolus (IRE) Royal Birth (GB) Tone The Barone (GB) Shamshon (IRE) Lunar Deity (GB) Quinault (GER)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Lope De Vega (IRE) 12.4% · 20–161

Progeny have won 13.8% of 12,155 runs since 2008 (1,099 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 953.

Kingman (GB) 7.3% · 8–110

Progeny have won 14.6% of 7,474 runs since 2008 (775 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.1% from 959. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 9.1% from 121.

Showcasing (GB) 11% · 12–109

Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,591 runs since 2008 (997 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.6% from 108.

Oasis Dream (GB) 19.2% · 19–99

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,002 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Expert Eye (GB) 9.1% · 6–66

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,190 runs since 2008 (196 horses).

Muhaarar (GB) 11.5% · 7–61

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,786 runs since 2008 (412 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 7,735 · newest first

The latest 50 of 7,735 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 21 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Zambezi Shark (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Nursery Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 66/1

21 Oct 26 Newmarket Vega's Mirage (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam-Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 40/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Middleton View (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan Brandford Restaurants & Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 8 ran 4th 12/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Loleeta (GB)J: Chloe Lyons Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 80/1

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Diomed Duke (GB)J: Olivia Haines Infobond Turnkey & Personnel Services Handicap StakesClass 4 · 5f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Holi Scarlett (IRE)J: Jack Dace bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 11th 40/1

19 Oct 26 Bath Adalida (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Big Stage Hire Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 9/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Time To Climb (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 11/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Cherry (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 100/30J

13 Oct 26 Leicester Humam (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Happy 80th Reg Ling Handicap StakesClass 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 11th 25/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Expert Agent (GB)J: Marco Ghiani HKJC World Pool Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 17/2

09 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Agent Rose (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 10 ran 9th 40/1

09 Oct 26 Newmarket Polyxena (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Godolphin Lifetime Care Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 11th 20/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Emtinan (IRE)J: Marco Ghiani Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 11f · Standard · 7 ran 2nd 3/1

07 Oct 26 Nottingham King Cherry (IRE)J: Chloe Lyons Construction Day 14th October Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 11th 5/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Rebel Path (FR)J: Olivia Haines Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 5th 13/2

06 Oct 26 Brighton Farouche (GB)J: Kaiya Fraser Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF "Confined" Restricted Maiden Stakes(for Horses In Band D Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 50/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Merrimack (GB)J: Chloe Lyons Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) (Div II)Class 4 · 6f · Standard / Slow · 9 ran 7th 20/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Moontune (GB)J: Kieran Shoemark Price Bailey LLP Norwich Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 2nd 9/1

03 Oct 26 Ascot Maelstrom (GB)J: Jack Dace Ascot Iron Stand Membership Handicap StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Stuart Williams's strike rate?: Stuart Williams has won 240 of 2,078 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 11.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Williams do best at?: Brighton by strike rate: 17 wins from 76 runners (22.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stuart Williams?: Marco Ghiani, with 586 runners since 2022 — 28% of the total. That pairing has won 86 (14.7%).
Is Stuart Williams in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 13 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stuart Williams's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,070 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.