Molten Sea (GB)
Molten Sea is a mare with four wins from 18 starts, three of them in handicaps off marks of 62, 64 and 66. All four wins came on turf, three of them over 1m5f – 2m on good or good to soft going and one over 1m2f – 1m4f on good. She won at Musselburgh twice, at Kempton and at Nottingham, most recently in the Virgin Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle at Kempton in Mar 2026. She finished third of eight at Worcester in Jun 2026, last raced off a career-high mark of 117.
- 4–18Wins / Runs
- 22.2%Strike rate
- 9 (50%)Placed
- −5.30£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 1.03Fair A/E n=16 · 1.03 incl. margin
- 117Highest OR
- 28dBetween runs (median)longest 191 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 104
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 2 | 104A | 99 | 2 runs · 104 / 99 |
| Good to Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | 1 run · — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 4 | 104A | 95.5 | 4 runs · 104 / 95.5 |
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 6 | 121A | 85 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 101A | 80 | — |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 99A | 96 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 95A | 95 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 9 | 121A | 95 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 93C | 80 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 18 figures from 18 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 15 analysed runs since Sep 2024
- Prominent 10 (67%) · 2 wins
- Mid-division 2 (13%) · 0 wins
- Led 2 (13%) · 2 wins
- Held up 1 (7%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14% of 2,362 runs since Apr 2023 (325 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | +19.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 469 | 71 | 15.1% | +1.1 | — |
| Good | 624 | 83 | 13.3% | −0.7 | 3 from 8 |
| Good to Soft | 265 | 37 | 14% | 0 | 1 from 4 |
| Soft | 244 | 29 | 11.9% | −2.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Heavy | 63 | 11 | 17.5% | +3.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 688 | 96 | 14% | 0 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 117 | 11 | 9.4% | −4.6 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 926 | 134 | 14.5% | +0.5 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 720 | 105 | 14.6% | +0.6 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 482 | 67 | 13.9% | −0.1 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 94 | 13 | 13.8% | −0.2 | 3 from 13 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 23 | 0 | 0% | −14 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Apr 2023 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
4 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Medieval Gold (GB) (3 wins).
The wins came over 1m–2m7½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Medieval Gold (GB)).
Family form: Medieval Gold (GB) won at Hexham, 10 Oct 2026.
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medieval Gold (GB) | 18 | 3 | 2m–2m7½f | Class 3 |
| Morning Poem (GB) | 9 | 2 | 1m–1m2f | Class 4 |
| Hi Ya Mal (GB) | 8 | 1 | 1m4f | Class 5 |
| Moksha (GB) | 1 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 8 | 3 | 38% | +2.08 |
| Good to Soft | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.38 |
| Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 4 | 11 | 1 | 9% | −8.00 |
| Class 5 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +0.33 |
| Class 6 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.37 |
| Class 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| York | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Newbury | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Musselburgh | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.37 |
| Worcester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chepstow | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Hereford | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m5f – 2m | 13 | 3 | 23% | −3.05 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.25 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cieren Fallon | 5 | 1 | 20% | −0.67 |
| Jonathan Burke | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.00 |
| Tom Marquand | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Callum Rodriguez | 2 | 2 | 100% | +3.37 |
| Liam Harrison | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Tom Broughton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Colin Keane | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sean D Bowen | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Adam Farragher | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Saffie Osborne | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14% | −2.67 |
| 2024 | 7 | 2 | 29% | −1.63 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat | 14 | 3 | 21% | −4.30 |
| Hurdle | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Jun 26+56d | Worcester | Bepartofit Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Up with the leading duo - ridden and untidy 2 out - never able to land a blow | 3/8 | 11 | 11-2 | 117 | 104A | 119A | Liam Harrison | 9/2 |
| 11 Apr 26+28d | Chepstow | Tiptop Duel Flush Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled up with pace early - stumbled at 1st - eager and edged in front approaching 2nd - drew alongside before 3 out - overtaken 2 out - jumped last unbalanced then faded up the run-in - finished second | 2/9 | 4½ | 11-2 | — | 74A | 125A | Tom Broughton | 9/5 |
| 14 Mar 26+20d | Kempton | Virgin Bet Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled close to the pace - hit the front at the 5th - roused approaching two out - drew away before the last for an easy win | 1/7 | 11-0 | — | 94A | 128B | Jonathan Burke | 2/1F | |
| 22 Feb 26+134d | Hereford | DragonBet The Roar Before Is Coming Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) Settled midfield - hesitant over third obstacle - pushed along two out and stayed on at unchanged effort to finish fifth | 5/13 | 3½ | 11-6 | — | 97B | 106A | Jonathan Burke | 22/1 |
| 2025 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Oct 25+35d | York | Coral Racing Club Stayers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled close to the pace - pushed along and drifted left approaching 2f out - dropped away soon after - eventually well held in 10th | 10/16 | ½ | 9-1 | 72 | 76C | 70A | Tom Marquand | 6/1 |
| 06 Sep 25+43d | Kempton (AW) | Try Unibet's New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled in the pack early - moved through to briefly lead approaching 6 furlongs after being asked for effort 4f out - faded from over 2f out to finish well held | 8/9 | 16 | 9-12 | 73 | 46C | 65C | Colin Keane | 16/5 |
| 25 Jul 25+16d | York | Elevator Company Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled just behind the pace - pushed along with 3f left - unable to go with leaders from 2f out and finished without further response | 6/12 | 1½ | 9-3 | 74 | 96B | 72A | Cieren Fallon | 3/1F |
| 09 Jul 25+25d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Settled with the pace - moved into third with 2f left - pressed for effort inside final furlong and stayed on well to finish second beaten three quarters of a length | 2/8 | ¾ | 9-4 | 73 | 101A | 78A | Tom Marquand | 3/1 |
| 14 Jun 25+13d | Chester | Going Is Good Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Sat behind front group early - urged forward approaching 3f out - hit front around 2f out - overtaken with a furlong left - fought back and closed hard through the last furlong but denied by a short margin | 2/9 | hd | 8-13 | 70 | 95A | 84A | Cieren Fallon | 11/2 |
| 01 Jun 25+16d | Nottingham | Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap Set the pace from the off - urged forward with two furlongs left - driven out inside the final furlong - kept finding more to win comfortably | 1/8 | 9-1 | 66 | 121A | 72A | Cieren Fallon | 10/3J | |
| 16 May 25+191d | Newbury | Coolmore Auguste Rodin Handicap Sat handy on inner - driven and drifted left approaching 2f out - dropped away inside final furlongs - finished 9th | 9/13 | 2½ | 9-3 | 66 | 93C | 65A | Cieren Fallon | 13/2 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 06 Nov 24+18d | Musselburgh | Join Racing TV Now Handicap Sat behind pace-setter on rail - pushed along with 2f left - hit front inside final furlong to score | 1/8 | 9-9 | 64 | 99A | 74A | Callum Rodriguez | 13/8F | |
| 19 Oct 24+23d | Catterick | Go Racing In Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Handicap Held up towards the back early - found room shifting left approaching 2f out and made progress - pressed for effort inside final furlong to move into second - unable to threaten winner at the line | 2/10 | 6½ | 9-4 | 65 | 95A | 75A | Sean D Bowen | 11/4F |
| 26 Sep 24+12d | Southwell (AW) | Get Raceday Ready Fillies' Handicap Sat close to the pace early - pushed along with 3f left - lost ground inside the final furlong to finish sixth | 6/9 | 1¼ | 9-6 | 65 | 80A | 62A | Cieren Fallon | 9/4F |
| 14 Sep 24+85d | Musselburgh | Scots Association Cup Handicap Made the running - nudged forward 4f out - surrendered advantage inside 3f out - drifted right under pressure and marginally baulked a competitor 2f out - fought back to strike the front close home | 1/7 | 9-11 | 62 | 87A | 78A | Callum Rodriguez | 7/4F | |
| 21 Jun 24+34d | Goodwood | William Hill Epic Boost Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) | 4/9 | 15 | 8-9 | — | 83C | 48C | Adam Farragher | 7/1 |
| 18 May 24+29d | Newmarket | Darley Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) | 6/6 | 1¼ | 9-2 | — | 48A | 59B | Saffie Osborne | 16/1 |
| 19 Apr 24 | Newbury | Dreweatts Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) | 8/14 | ¾ | 9-2 | — | 58C | 64A | Daniel Tudhope | 14/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Molten Sea won?
- Molten Sea (GB) won 4 of 18 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 22.2%. Placed 9 times in total (50% of starts).
- Who trains Molten Sea?
- Molten Sea (GB) is trained by Fergal O'Brien, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 6 June 2026.
- Who is Molten Sea's sire?
- Molten Sea (GB) is by Too Darn Hot (GB) out of Mill Springs (GB), whose sire is Shirocco.
- What going does Molten Sea prefer?
- Molten Sea (GB) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 8 starts (37.5%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Molten Sea's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 117, from the run on 6 June 2026. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Molten Sea's sire's record?
- Too Darn Hot (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14% of 2,362 runs since Apr 2023 (325 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 9.4% from 117.
- Who are Molten Sea's siblings?
- Out of Mill Springs (GB), Molten Sea (GB) has 4 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Medieval Gold (GB) (3). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Medieval Gold (GB)). The wins came over 1m–2m7½f. As at Nov 2026.