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Jockey profile

Tom Broughton

405 rides in the last 5 seasons · 154 individual horses
As at 2 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)
from 1 Jan 2022
51–405
Wins / Runs
12.6%
Strike rate
n=405
131 (32%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=404 · 0.85 incl. margin
−65.69
£1 level stake
n=405 at SP · −16.2%
£564k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
8.7%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 80 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (55 rides). Rides mostly for Fergal O'Brien — 42% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 405 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 2 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 12.7% 37% when favourite Fergal O'Brien: 18.8% from 170 First rides: 15% LTO winners: 21.8% Claiming: 12.7% Rides the favourite in 11% of races
The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.8% (n=55, Fair A/E 0.96), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3% (n=33, Fair A/E 0.49). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 15% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.31 and +2.17 to a £1 stake over 153 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Fergal O'Brien supplies 42% of the rides and beats the rider's average (18.8% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Soft going — 4.3% over 47 rides, 8.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.66 across 111 rides (7.2% strike, −56.89 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
15%+2.4
n=153 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.17
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
21.8%+9.2
n=55 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −14.61
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
12.7%+0.1
n=102 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −9.91
When favourite
37%
n=46 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −5.52
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.7%+0.1
n=354 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −54.86
Big fields · 14+ runners
3%−9.6
n=33 · A/E 0.49 · £1 −21.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.6
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Nick Kent 3.9% vs 12.6% · n=77
On last-time-out winners 21.8% vs 12.6% · n=55
With new recruits 22.9% vs 12.6% · n=35
On Soft going 4.3% vs 12.6% · n=47
With Fergal O'Brien 18.8% vs 12.6% · n=170
Over 1m5f – 2m 7.2% vs 12.6% · n=111
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 248 31 12.5% −59.52
Chase 137 19 13.9% +10.83
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Flat 4 1 25% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 216 29 13.4% −20.84
Good to Soft 112 15 13.4% −8.35
Soft 47 2 4.3% −31.50
Good to Firm 14 4 28.6% +1.00
Heavy 14 1 7.1% −4.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Market Rasen 50 4 8% −26.50
Worcester 34 2 5.9% −3.38
Newton Abbot 31 5 16.1% −20.90
Uttoxeter 23 2 8.7% −16.50
Stratford 21 5 23.8% +11.00
Southwell 19 7 36.8% +14.60
Hereford 18 0 0% −18.00
Taunton 15 1 6.7% −9.50
Huntingdon 14 2 14.3% −6.75
Warwick 13 4 30.8% +19.50
Cheltenham 13 3 23.1% +48.00
Chepstow 13 0 0% −13.00
Ludlow 11 1 9.1% −8.25
Aintree 10 1 10% −7.12
Fakenham 10 0 0% −10.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 178 23 12.9% −41.02
Class 5 168 21 12.5% −36.00
Class 3 34 4 11.8% +6.00
Class 2 13 1 7.7% +10.00
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 6 3 2 66.7% +4.33

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 52 19 36.5% 1.06 −5.14
2nd–3rd fav 100 17 17% 0.93 −14.55
4th–6th fav 157 11 7% 0.88 −11.00
7th+ in betting 96 4 4.2% 1.26 −35.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.9% completed · 385 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 137 83.2% 4 4 15 0 0
Hurdle 248 93.5% 2 1 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Great D'ange (FR) 13 0 3 18 Sep 26
Chief Black Robe (IRE) 13 4 4 19 Jul 26
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) 12 2 5 22 Aug 24
Bannister (FR) 10 0 0 29 Oct 26
Klervia (FR) 10 0 2 19 Jun 26
Mix Of Clover (GB) 8 2 3 15 Sep 26
Gilbertina (GB) 8 0 3 16 May 26
Just Her Type (IRE) 8 2 6 17 Feb 26
Diamond Koda (IRE) 7 1 5 30 Oct 26
Gateau De Miel (FR) 7 2 2 26 Jul 26
Feet On The Ground (IRE) 7 0 2 7 Jul 26
No No Fizz (IRE) 7 2 3 7 May 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 154 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 8
Only 8 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0816101610122717201212
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardFergal O'Brien
42% of all rides
18.8% SR · A/E 1.16
TrainerRWSR£1
Fergal O'Brien 170 32 18.8% −15.14
Nick Kent 77 3 3.9% −60.75
Barry Brennan 44 3 6.8% −11.50
Max Comley 37 5 13.5% −9.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→
54
Archived wins
£607k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 19 wins
Leloopa (IRE) — Ladbrokes Herring Queen Series Final Mares' Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Kelso · Mar 2025 · Class 2
£51,440
Chic Name (FR) — Heineken UK Highland National Handicap Chase Perth · Apr 2018 · Class 3
£15,335
Leloopa (IRE) — Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Cheltenham · Oct 2025 · Class 3
£10,562
Notable horses
Chief Black Robe (IRE) Cheltenam De Vaige (FR) Leloopa (IRE) Jack Hyde (IRE) Getaway King (IRE) Blue Sans (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 22.7% · 5–22
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,967 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 20% · 3–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 5,869 runs since 2013 (684 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
El Salvador (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 13.5% of 356 runs since 2020 (51 horses). Strongest on Good going: 18.9% from 148.
Great Pretender (IRE) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 13% of 3,549 runs since 2010 (410 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 16.5% from 728. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 6.6% from 151.
Forestier (FR) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 8.8% of 454 runs since 2009 (44 horses).
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,685 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 2 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 491 · newest first

The latest 50 of 491 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 23 July 2014 to 1 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
01 Nov 26 Worcester Dexperado (FR)T: Nick Kent Copybet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Novices' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
01 Nov 26 Worcester Exiguus (GB)T: Nick Kent Copybet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 16 ran 12th 100/1
30 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Diamond Koda (IRE)T: Nick Kent Abode Estate Agents Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 15 ran 9th 11/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford Dunworley (IRE)T: Nick Kent J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 20/1
29 Oct 26 Stratford Bannister (FR)T: Nick Kent Blaze A Trail Stratford Hat-Trick Hero Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 4th 14/1
28 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Rock On Cowboy (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Passage House Hotel South Devon Gateway Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 6th 16/1
25 Oct 26 Market Rasen Klapton Boy (FR)T: Nick Kent £27 Race & Roast Package Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 4th 9/2
23 Oct 26 Cheltenham Fils De Roi (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Foundation Developments Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Challenger Two Mile Hurdle Series Qualifier)Class 3 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1
08 Oct 26 Market Rasen Bannister (FR)T: Nick Kent Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran 4th 9/1
25 Sep 26 Worcester Mojo Ego (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Fbc Manby Bowdler Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/4F
25 Sep 26 Worcester Gwash (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Pj Nicholls Kgm Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1
18 Sep 26 Newton Abbot Great D'Ange (FR)T: Alexander Gibbons Bayside Signs & Display Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 6th 18/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Mix Of Clover (GB)T: Alastair Ralph QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 22/1
15 Sep 26 Uttoxeter Gwash (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Ready Freddie Go Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 10/1
05 Sep 26 Stratford Mojo Ego (IRE)T: Fergal O'Brien Power Utilities Group Conditional Jockeys' Selling Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 7 ran 1st 3/1
04 Sep 26 Worcester Call Me Tara (GB)T: Fergal O'Brien Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 6th 28/1
23 Aug 26 Worcester Tintintin (FR)T: Fergal O'Brien Neu-Servo Best Repairs Hands Down Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 7th 14/1
23 Aug 26 Worcester Mix Of Clover (GB)T: Alastair Ralph Neu-Servo Rapid Response Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 7th 40/1
22 Aug 26 Newton Abbot Great D'Ange (FR)T: Alexander Gibbons Happy 80th Birthday John Lane Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 9/2
19 Aug 26 Worcester Bannister (FR)T: Nick Kent Copybet Follow Us On X Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 8 ran 4th 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 23 Oct 2026: fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Tom Broughton's strike rate?
Tom Broughton has won 51 of 405 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Broughton do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 5 wins from 31 rides (16.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Tom Broughton ride most for?
Fergal O'Brien, with 170 rides since 2022 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (18.8%).
Is Tom Broughton in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 8 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Tom Broughton's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 404 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 2 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).