New Bay Star (IRE)
New Bay Star is a maiden who has yet to win from 11 starts though he has placed twice. His best effort came when second of four at Kempton (AW) in Jan 2026. He usually leads or races prominently. His last run, at Southwell (AW) in Oct 2026, saw him finish seventh of nine in a Class 5 handicap off an official rating of 65, 9lb below his highest ever mark.
- 0–11Wins / Runs
- 0%Strike rate
- 2 (18.2%)Placed
- −11.00£1 level staken=11 at SP
- 0.00Fair A/E n=11 · 0.00 incl. margin
- 74Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 189 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 93
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 93A | 87 | 5 runs · 93 / 87 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 88A | 73 | — |
| Good | 2 | 95C | 94 | 2 runs · 95 / 94 |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 7 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 95C | 73 | 2 runs · 95 / 84 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 5 | 93C | 93 | 5 runs · 93 / 93 |
Of 11 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 10 figures from 11 runs · as at 3 Nov 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 10 analysed runs since Sep 2025
- Led 4 (40%) · 0 wins
- Prominent 3 (30%) · 0 wins
- Mid-division 2 (20%) · 0 wins
- Held up 1 (10%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses).
Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 8 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
| Good to Firm | 587 | 92 | 15.7% | +1.4 | — |
| Good | 996 | 140 | 14.1% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good to Soft | 472 | 70 | 14.8% | +0.5 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 629 | 81 | 12.9% | −1.4 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 183 | 27 | 14.8% | +0.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,125 | 161 | 14.3% | 0 | 0 from 5 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 102 | 11 | 10.8% | −3.5 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 1,186 | 183 | 15.4% | +1.1 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,285 | 165 | 12.8% | −1.5 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,096 | 165 | 15.1% | +0.8 | 0 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 272 | 40 | 14.7% | +0.4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 54 | 7 | 13% | −1.3 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 5 | 0 | 0% | −14.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jun 2020 · as at 7 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
6 siblings in the archive, 3 winners — best of them Lose Yourself (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 6f–1m; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Lose Yourself (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lose Yourself (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Astral Path (IRE) | 7 | 1 | 6f | — |
| King Path (IRE) | 3 | 1 | 1m | — |
| Hafez (IRE) | 11 | 0 | — | — |
| Heracleides (IRE) | 2 | 0 | — | — |
| Astral Sea (IRE) | 5 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Class 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Yarmouth | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway (IRE) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newcastle (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Redcar | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bath | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Dawson | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Billy Loughnane | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jack Mitchell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Jason Watson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alistair Rawlinson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Mr H C Swan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oliver Stammers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jason Hart | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 26 Oct 26+25d | Southwell (AW) | Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Handicap Stakes Prominent early - pushed along over 2f out and soon held - faded inside final furlong to finish 7th | 7/9 | 1½ | 9-0 | 65 | 73A | 52A | Jason Watson | 12/1 |
| 01 Oct 26+14d | Nottingham | Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes Missed the break - settled in the pack's middle - pushed along over 4f out - moved right over 1f out - stayed on without threatening - finished 7th | 7/14 | shd | 9-7 | 67 | 93C | 70A | Ray Dawson | 15/2 |
| 17 Sep 26+17d | Yarmouth | LA Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap Stakes Struck the front on the near rail - dropped away under pressure over 2f out - faded rapidly inside the final furlong to finish 10th | 10/14 | nk | 9-9 | 69 | 95C | 71A | Ray Dawson | 20/1 |
| 31 Aug 26+33d | Southwell (AW) | Winter Ladies Evening Sat 28th November Handicap Stakes Up with the pace from the off - hit the front over 2f out - ridden and lost the lead just past the furlong marker - dropped away to finish 6th | 6/7 | 7 | 9-5 | 72 | 93A | 56A | Alistair Rawlinson | 14/1 |
| 29 Jul 26+189d | Galway (IRE) | Visit Tote26 On Course Today (Q.R.) Maiden Set the pace early - encouraged and matched by a rival with 2 1/2f left - lost front spot 2f out and unable to fight back - 6th with a furlong to run before fading late | 11/18 | 1 | 11-1 | 74 | — | 63C | Mr H C Swan | 28/1 |
| 21 Jan 26+12d | Kempton (AW) | Bet 20 Get 20 With Unibet/EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Handy in the pack early - angled right and pushed along 2f out - hit the front soon after - held sway inside the final furlong - caught in the last strides | 2/4 | shd | 9-7 | 74 | 86C | 79B | Billy Loughnane | 3/1 |
| 09 Jan 26+29d | Newcastle (AW) | Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) Front - took strong hold - passed over 2f out and driven out - lost third gear inside the final furlong and fell back to third | 3/4 | 2½ | 9-7 | 74 | 93C | 69B | Oliver Stammers | 5/2 |
| 2025 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Dec 25+45d | Chelmsford City (AW) | Sky Bet Matchday Assist Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Went straight to front - dictated a slow gallop - driven and lost command 2f out then drifted right approaching final furlong - unable to find more and held for second | 2/8 | 1¼ | 9-7 | 74 | 87A | 80A | Billy Loughnane | 3/1 |
| 27 Oct 25+18d | Redcar | EBF 'Double Trigger' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Drifted right at the outset - driven up to share the front then urged hard 3f out - lost momentum in the closing furlong to finish fourth | 4/7 | 1 | 9-4 | — | 73A | 62A | Jason Hart | 17/2 |
| 09 Oct 25+21d | Bath | BetWright Bet The Wright Way EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1) Settled midfield early - pushed along and made ground over 2f out - stayed on well to grab 3rd on the line | 3/10 | 1½ | 9-7 | — | 88A | 83A | Jack Mitchell | 10/3 |
| 18 Sep 25 | Yarmouth | This Effective Winning Post Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Settled at back without fluency from the off - urged forward after 2f - driven approaching 2f out - given further encouragement in final 2f - crept past a couple late but well held in 6th | 6/11 | ¾ | 9-5 | — | 69A | 61A | Jack Mitchell | 8/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has New Bay Star won?
- New Bay Star (IRE) has yet to win, from 11 archived starts between 2025 and 2026. Placed 2 times in total (18.2% of starts).
- Who trains New Bay Star?
- New Bay Star (IRE) is trained by Michael Appleby, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 26 October 2026.
- Who is New Bay Star's sire?
- New Bay Star (IRE) is by New Bay (GB) out of Stellar Path (FR), whose sire is Astronomer Royal.
- What is New Bay Star's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 65, from the run on 26 October 2026. The highest on record is 74.
- What is New Bay Star's sire's record?
- New Bay (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 14.3% of 4,000 runs since Jun 2020 (426 horses), Flat and jumps together. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.8% from 102.
- Who are New Bay Star's siblings?
- Out of Stellar Path (FR), New Bay Star (IRE) has 6 other produce in our archive, 3 of them winners. Most wins: Lose Yourself (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Lose Yourself (IRE)). The wins came over 6f–1m. As at Nov 2026.