Reason To Believe (IRE)
Reason To Believe (IRE) is 2 from 18. Hasn't won since Sep 2011. Last raced off 56, 9lb below the career-high mark.
- 2–18Wins / Runs
- 11.1%Strike rate
- 4 (22.2%)Placed
- −1.00£1 level staken=18 at SP
- 0.94Fair A/E n=18 · 0.81 incl. margin
- 65Highest OR
- 25dBetween runs (median)longest 181 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
No KTB Speed figures for this horse. The engine scores GB and Irish racing from Oct 2016; runs elsewhere, or earlier, have no figure.
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 0 figures from 0 runs · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.5% of 1,325 runs since Jan 2008 (113 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | +0.2 | — |
| Good to Firm | 222 | 14 | 6.3% | −0.2 | 0 from 2 |
| Good | 371 | 25 | 6.7% | +0.2 | 0 from 3 |
| Good to Soft | 175 | 11 | 6.3% | −0.2 | 1 from 3 |
| Soft | 250 | 17 | 6.8% | +0.3 | 1 from 5 |
| Heavy | 115 | 9 | 7.8% | +1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Standard (AW) | 177 | 9 | 5.1% | −1.4 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 65 | 2 | 3.1% | −3.4 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 245 | 17 | 6.9% | +0.4 | 2 from 11 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 184 | 7 | 3.8% | −2.7 | 0 from 4 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 202 | 11 | 5.4% | −1.1 | 0 from 2 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 309 | 23 | 7.4% | +0.9 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 224 | 20 | 8.9% | +2.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 79 | 6 | 7.6% | +1.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 17 | 0 | 0% | −6.5 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 2 winners — best of them Winning Express (IRE) (3 wins).
The wins came over 5f–1m1½f; the highest grade won is Listed (Winning Express (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Express (IRE) | 10 | 3 | 5f–7f | Listed |
| Lady Arabella (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 1m1½f | Class 6 |
| Princess Mandy (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft | 5 | 1 | 20% | +3.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 1 | 33% | +6.00 |
| Good | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Heavy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 5 | 9 | 1 | 11% | +0.00 |
| Class 6 | 8 | 1 | 13% | +0.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.00 |
| Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 25% | +4.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Thirsk | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Southwell (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Beverley | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Catterick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 11 | 2 | 18% | +6.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Makin | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| P J McDonald | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Paul Hanagan | 2 | 1 | 50% | +6.00 |
| Patrick Donaghy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Katie Dowson | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| James Sullivan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jack Duern | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ian Brennan | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.00 |
| Seb Sanders | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 12 | 1 | 8% | −3.00 |
| Blinkers | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 17% | +2.00 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20% | +4.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 · 7 runs | |||||||||
| 24 Sep 12+49d | Hamilton | Try totequickpick If You Are Feeling Lucky Handicap (Div 1) | 5/9 | 1½ | 9-3 | 56 | 63A | Phillip Makin | 5/2F |
| 06 Aug 12+17d | Carlisle | Integral UK Handicap (Pro-Am Lady Riders' Race) | 9/16 | ¾ | 10-0 | 58 | 66A | Katie Dowson | 7/1 |
| 20 Jul 12+17d | Pontefract | Yorkshire Racing Summer Festival Handicap | 4/9 | nk | 8-11 | 60 | 73A | James Sullivan | 8/1 |
| 03 Jul 12+24d | Hamilton | Family Night With Reggie Yates Next Saturday Handicap | 7/11 | shd | 9-11 | 62 | 70A | Phillip Makin | 3/1F |
| 09 Jun 12+109d | Newcastle | Lighthouse Project Handicap | 5/11 | shd | 8-11 | 63 | 76A | P J McDonald | 9/1 |
| 21 Feb 12+22d | Southwell (AW) | Get Your Bet On At Bluesq.com Handicap | 6/6 | 4½ | 9-0 | 63 | 51C | Phillip Makin | 14/1 |
| 30 Jan 12+147d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap | 13/13 | nk | 9-4 | 63 | 50A | Phillip Makin | 14/1 |
| 2011 · 6 runs | |||||||||
| 05 Sep 11+24d | Newcastle | bet365 Handicap (Div 1) | 1/13 | 9-4 | 58 | 93A | Paul Hanagan | 7/1 | |
| 12 Aug 11+20d | Newcastle | Fastflow Handicap | 4/6 | 11 | 8-2 | 59 | 46C | Patrick Donaghy | 13/2 |
| 23 Jul 11+25d | Newcastle | Roflow Environmental Engineering Apprentice Handicap | 3/9 | 1¼ | 9-0 | 60 | 58A | Jack Duern | 11/2 |
| 28 Jun 11+45d | Hamilton | Weatherbys Bank Handicap | 6/8 | shd | 9-1 | 63 | 61A | P J McDonald | 10/1 |
| 14 May 11+38d | Thirsk | Sands End Handicap | 9/13 | 1 | 9-4 | 65 | 54A | Patrick Donaghy | 14/1 |
| 06 Apr 11+181d | Beverley | Whistlejackets Cafe Handicap | 9/13 | 1¼ | 9-4 | 65 | 60A | P J McDonald | 6/1 |
| 2010 · 5 runs | |||||||||
| 07 Oct 10+18d | Wolverhampton (AW) | betting.com 'How's Ya Father' Nursery (Div 1) | 3/12 | nk | 9-7 | 65 | 82A | Paul Hanagan | 6/4F |
| 19 Sep 10+50d | Hamilton | toteplacepot Nursery | 1/11 | 8-6 | 60 | 81A | Ian Brennan | 8/1 | |
| 31 Jul 10+10d | Thirsk | European Breeders' Fund Maiden Stakes | 6/13 | 3¼ | 9-3 | 60 | 65A | P J McDonald | 12/1 |
| 21 Jul 10+34d | Catterick | European Breeders' Fund Maiden Stakes | 4/10 | 6 | 9-3 | — | 68A | Phillip Makin | 13/2 |
| 17 Jun 10 | Ripon | E.b.f. Bet British With Totepool Maiden Stakes | 5/13 | ½ | 9-3 | — | 72A | Seb Sanders | 33/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Reason To Believe won?
- Reason To Believe (IRE) won 2 of 18 archived starts between 2010 and 2012, a strike rate of 11.1%. Placed 4 times in total (22.2% of starts).
- Who trained Reason To Believe?
- Reason To Believe (IRE) was trained by Ben Haslam on the most recent run on record, at Hamilton on 24 September 2012.
- Who is Reason To Believe's sire?
- Reason To Believe (IRE) is by Spartacus (IRE) out of Lady Fabiola (USA), whose sire is Open Forum.
- What going does Reason To Believe prefer?
- Reason To Believe (IRE) has the best record on good to soft going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Reason To Believe's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 56, from the run on 24 September 2012. The highest on record is 65.
- What is Reason To Believe's sire's record?
- Spartacus (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.5% of 1,325 runs since Jan 2008 (113 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Reason To Believe's siblings?
- Out of Lady Fabiola (USA), Reason To Believe (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 2 of them winners. Most wins: Winning Express (IRE) (3). Highest grade won: Listed (Winning Express (IRE)). The wins came over 5f–1m1½f. As at Nov 2026.