What is Patrick Donaghy's strike rate?

Patrick Donaghy has won 53 of 870 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Patrick Donaghy do best at?

Beverley by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Patrick Donaghy ride most for?

P C Haslam, with 108 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.1%).

What is Patrick Donaghy's Fair A/E?

0.76, from 866 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Patrick Donaghy

870 rides in the lifetime window · 465 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

53–870

Wins / Runs

6.1%

Strike rate

n=870

178 (21%)

Placed

0.76

Fair A/E

n=866 · 0.66 incl. margin

−438.32

£1 level stake

n=870 at SP · −50.4%

£261k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10.7%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 120 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.76). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (67 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 870 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Dec–Jan Fresh horses: 7.5% 27.5% when favourite P C Haslam: 11.1% from 108 LTO winners: 17.9% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Beverley (10.9%, n=46) and Wolverhampton (AW) (9.5%, n=116) — all clear of the rider's 6.1% baseline. It is weakest at Doncaster (0% over 31 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.9% (n=67, Fair A/E 1.03), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.1% (n=160, Fair A/E 0.58). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 4% strike, Fair A/E 0.61 and −253.37 to a £1 stake over 447 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. P C Haslam supplied 12% of the rides and beats the rider's average (11.1% vs 6.1%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. Seasonally, the rider fired Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4%−2.1

n=447 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −253.37

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.9%+11.8

n=67 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −10.30

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

7.5%+1.4

n=134 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −68.12

When favourite

27.5%

n=51 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −13.15

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.2%−0.9

n=789 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −444.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

3.1%−3.0

n=160 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −131.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 6.1% · n=67

With P C Haslam 11.1% vs 6.1% · n=108

At Doncaster 0% vs 6.1% · n=31

At Beverley 10.9% vs 6.1% · n=46

With Michael Dods 1.7% vs 6.1% · n=59

At Wolverhampton (AW) 9.5% vs 6.1% · n=116

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 869 53 6.1% −437.32

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 263 20 7.6% −104.79

Good to Firm 225 13 5.8% −120.54

Good 201 10 5% −107.37

Good to Soft 100 7 7% −37.37

Soft 50 1 2% −46.25

Firm 18 2 11.1% −9.00

Heavy 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 116 11 9.5% −34.01

Southwell (AW) 99 9 9.1% −22.78

Newcastle 64 3 4.7% −32.00

Catterick 59 3 5.1% −31.12

Redcar 58 3 5.2% −32.25

Hamilton 55 2 3.6% −25.00

Beverley 46 5 10.9% −20.29

Ayr 45 2 4.4% −17.00

Musselburgh 39 1 2.6% −36.62

Thirsk 39 1 2.6% −35.25

Ripon 31 2 6.5% −7.00

Doncaster 31 0 0% −31.00

Carlisle 28 5 17.9% +6.00

Pontefract 24 2 8.3% −15.25

Haydock 22 3 13.6% +1.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 353 23 6.5% −165.08

Class 5 340 25 7.4% −148.74

Class 4 126 4 3.2% −99.50

Class 3 25 0 0% −25.00

Class 2 15 1 6.7% +11.00

Class 7 11 0 0% −11.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 64 15 23.4% 0.86 −22.40

2nd–3rd fav 124 15 12.1% 0.78 −38.42

4th–6th fav 258 15 5.8% 0.76 −98.50

7th+ in betting 424 8 1.9% 0.59 −279.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

River Ardeche (GB) 16 1 5 23 Sep 11

Dubai Celebration (GB) 14 1 2 28 Jun 14

Lady Kildare (IRE) 13 3 7 22 Oct 11

Moral Issue (GB) 12 1 6 15 Oct 11

Dechiper (IRE) 12 1 3 28 May 10

Dance For Julie (IRE) 10 2 3 21 Sep 11

Destiny's Dancer (GB) 10 1 4 2 Aug 10

Just Five (IRE) 9 1 3 16 May 11

Powerful Pierre (GB) 9 0 5 14 Aug 10

Bid For Gold (GB) 8 2 3 13 Jun 11

Kensington (IRE) 8 0 3 11 Mar 09

Scottish Lake (GB) 7 0 3 11 Oct 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 465 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

135121055761209

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP C Haslam

12% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.05

TrainerRWSR£1

P C Haslam 108 12 11.1% −26.62

Jedd O'Keeffe 100 8 8% −26.62

Michael Dods 59 1 1.7% −49.00

Ben Haslam 51 5 9.8% −15.17

David Evans 33 3 9.1% +6.10

Ian Semple 32 2 6.3% −19.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£309k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 18 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tartatartufata (GB) — Ring In The New Year at Pontin's Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2008 · Class 2

£10,525

River Ardeche (GB) — Thank You Christine Handicap Southwell (AW) · Jan 2009 · Class 4

£5,181

Chookie Hamilton (GB) — Cleanevent Cumberland Plate Trial Handicap Carlisle · May 2009 · Class 4

£5,181

Notable horses

Dechiper (IRE) Lady Kildare (IRE) Riguez Dancer (GB) Dance For Julie (IRE) Bid For Gold (GB) Tartatartufata (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Compton Place (GB) 3.4% · 1–29

Progeny have won 8.5% of 8,347 runs since 2008 (515 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 11.5% from 165.

Dubai Destination (USA) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Redback (GB) 11.8% · 2–17

Progeny have won 7.6% of 2,888 runs since 2008 (249 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 3.9% from 181.

Elnadim (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 9.8% of 3,353 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.5% from 108. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.3% from 152.

Bertolini (USA) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Cape Cross (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,076 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,076 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 1 June 2005 to 9 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Oct 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Mcbirney (USA)T: Paul D'Arcy Betting Shop Solutions Powered By Betconstruct HandicapClass 6 · 9.5f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 25/1

06 Sep 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Bint Malyana (IRE)T: Paul D'Arcy Tile Choice Bilston Cannock & Walsall HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 18/1

15 Aug 14 Newmarket Mcbirney (USA)T: Paul D'Arcy 10 Free Bet At 32RedSport.com HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 12/1

15 Aug 14 Nottingham Little Miss Becky (GB)T: Giles Bravery Watch Racing Uk Anywhere Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 50/1

11 Aug 14 Wolverhampton (AW) Bint Malyana (IRE)T: Paul D'Arcy All New 32redsport.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 3/1J

07 Aug 14 Sandown Subtle Knife (GB)T: Giles Bravery Telegraph Hill HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 4th 14/1

05 Aug 14 Kempton (AW) Hamble (GB)T: Giles Bravery Play Roulette & Blackjack At Betvictor.com HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 14/1

28 Jun 14 Doncaster Dubai Celebration (GB)T: Julie Camacho Beaver 84 HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 12th 25/1

24 Jun 14 Brighton Hamble (GB)T: Giles Bravery Pipecenter.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 15/8F

19 Jun 14 Southwell (AW) Subtle Knife (GB)T: Giles Bravery 32Red Casino HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 8/1

05 Jun 14 Lingfield (AW) Bison Grass (GB)T: Giles Bravery 32Red.com Handicap (AWT)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 33/1

05 Jun 14 Lingfield Hamble (GB)T: Giles Bravery 32Red Free 10 Bonus HandicapClass 6 · 11.5f · Good · 13 ran 1st 7/1

04 Jun 14 Kempton (AW) Global Leader (IRE)T: Paul D'Arcy Cash Out On The Betdaq + App HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 2nd 7/4F

03 Jun 14 Brighton Subtle Knife (GB)T: Giles Bravery Janes' Solicitors Fillies' HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 4th 15/2

20 May 14 Yarmouth Hamble (GB)T: Giles Bravery Injured Jockeys Fund HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 2nd 11/4

20 May 14 Yarmouth Gentlemen (GB)T: Phil McEntee Your Wedding At Great Yarmouth Racecourse Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Firm · 15 ran RR 100/1

19 May 14 Southwell (AW) Spirit Rider (USA)T: Giles Bravery Quicksilverslots Play Your Favourite 500 Jackpot HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 14/1

16 May 14 York Subtle Knife (GB)T: Giles Bravery EBF Stallions Breeding Winners ripleycollection.com Fillies' HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 33/1

15 May 14 Newmarket Bison Grass (GB)T: Giles Bravery Carrs BMW HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 18 ran 15th 25/1

02 May 14 Musselburgh Global Leader (IRE)T: Paul D'Arcy Baillie Gifford HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 15/8F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Donaghy's strike rate?: Patrick Donaghy has won 53 of 870 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Donaghy do best at?: Beverley by strike rate: 5 wins from 46 rides (10.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick Donaghy ride most for?: P C Haslam, with 108 rides since 2008 — 12% of the total. That pairing has won 12 (11.1%).
What is Patrick Donaghy's Fair A/E?: 0.76, from 866 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.