What is Ian Brennan's strike rate?

Ian Brennan has won 115 of 1,457 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ian Brennan do best at?

Newcastle by strike rate: 10 wins from 75 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Ian Brennan ride most for?

John Quinn, with 399 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (11%).

What is Ian Brennan's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 1,452 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Ian Brennan

1,457 rides in the lifetime window · 719 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2016 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

115–1,457

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=1,457

360 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=1,452 · 0.79 incl. margin

−424.44

£1 level stake

n=1,457 at SP · −29.1%

£1.06m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 160 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (129 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,457 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 23.3% when favourite John Quinn: 11% from 399 First rides: 8.8% LTO winners: 21.7% Claiming: 8.1% Rode the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Newcastle (13.3%, n=75) and Musselburgh (12.9%, n=62) — all clear of the rider's 7.9% baseline. It is weakest at York (2.5% over 40 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.7% (n=129, Fair A/E 1.53), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.6% (n=453, Fair A/E 0.83). John Quinn supplied 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11% vs 7.9%, A/E 1.03) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well in Class 3 (12.7%, n=71). One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Bettor.com Rockingham Handicap at Curragh (Jul 2012, £50,400). The standout partner of the record was Bubbly Bellini (IRE) — 6 wins from 25 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

8.8%+0.9

n=715 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −107.02

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

21.7%+13.8

n=129 · A/E 1.53 · £1 +79.38

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

6.5%−1.4

n=200 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −82.00

When favourite

23.3%

n=86 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −5.34

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.1%+0.2

n=1,094 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −268.29

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.6%−3.3

n=453 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −253.42

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

33.3%+25.4

n=3 · A/E 2.19 · £1 +2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 21.7% vs 7.9% · n=129

At Newcastle 13.3% vs 7.9% · n=75

At Musselburgh 12.9% vs 7.9% · n=62

At Thirsk 3% vs 7.9% · n=66

In Class 3 12.7% vs 7.9% · n=71

At York 2.5% vs 7.9% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 378 29 7.7% −137.12

Good 336 28 8.3% −97.13

Soft 252 16 6.3% −117.25

Standard (AW) 250 17 6.8% −94.92

Good to Soft 158 18 11.4% +5.48

Heavy 67 7 10.4% +32.50

Firm 16 0 0% −16.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 176 9 5.1% −81.50

Catterick 106 10 9.4% −46.50

Beverley 88 9 10.2% −29.00

Newcastle 75 10 13.3% +25.88

Redcar 73 6 8.2% −1.35

Thirsk 66 2 3% −17.00

Musselburgh 62 8 12.9% −13.25

Hamilton 53 3 5.7% −35.38

Curragh 48 2 4.2% −29.50

Ayr 47 4 8.5% −19.50

Doncaster 44 4 9.1% −16.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 44 5 11.4% −14.92

York 40 1 2.5% −33.00

Pontefract 37 3 8.1% −10.00

Leopardstown 34 2 5.9% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 330 32 9.7% −50.42

Class 6 254 20 7.9% −95.85

Class 4 195 19 9.7% −67.75

Class 3 71 9 12.7% +12.25

Class 2 68 4 5.9% −19.00

Class 1 3 1 33.3% +2.00

Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 107 22 20.6% 0.88 −18.34

2nd–3rd fav 243 41 16.9% 1.12 −14.60

4th–6th fav 434 34 7.8% 1.01 −92.50

7th+ in betting 673 18 2.7% 0.74 −299.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Toufan Express (GB) 32 3 11 4 Oct 13

Bubbly Bellini (IRE) 25 6 10 10 Oct 15

Glenmuir (IRE) 24 2 7 3 Nov 10

Cookie Crumbles (IRE) 19 0 6 21 Aug 13

Violent Velocity (IRE) 17 3 8 7 Jul 14

Solar Spirit (IRE) 15 1 4 18 Apr 15

Gold Falcon (IRE) 15 1 2 27 Sep 13

Beau Michael (GB) 15 2 4 9 Sep 13

Northern Flyer (GER) 15 3 7 18 Mar 11

Alubari (GB) 14 0 0 4 Oct 13

Face Value (GB) 13 3 4 20 Sep 13

Golan Heights (IRE) 12 0 2 4 Oct 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 719 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1099967898956

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJohn Quinn

27% of all rides
11% SR · A/E 1.03

TrainerRWSR£1

John Quinn 399 44 11% −60.15

Adrian McGuinness 292 20 6.8% −85.17

Jim Goldie 42 3 7.1% −23.00

Ollie Pears 37 2 5.4% −26.75

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

116

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.07m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 36 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Bubbly Bellini (IRE) — Bettor.com Rockingham Handicap Curragh · Jul 2012

£50,400

Face Value (GB) — Leopardstown November Handicap Leopardstown · Nov 2012

£36,000

Moonlightnavigator (USA) — totequadpot Royal Mile Handicap Musselburgh · Apr 2015 · Class 2

£32,345

Notable horses

Bubbly Bellini (IRE) Toufan Express (GB) Violent Velocity (IRE) Northern Flyer (GER) Face Value (GB) Zaplamation (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Fraam (GB) 13.5% · 5–37

Progeny have won 9.3% of 2,027 runs since 2008 (136 horses).

Medicean (GB) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).

Elusive City (USA) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 9.7% of 8,429 runs since 2008 (636 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 6.4% from 1,123.

Josr Algarhoud (IRE) 6.9% · 2–29

Progeny have won 8.4% of 1,548 runs since 2008 (146 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 10% of 19,711 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 195.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,863 runs since 2008 (1,574 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 844.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,479 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,479 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 11 May 2007 to 8 June 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

08 Jun 16 Beverley Big Larry (IRE)T: Nigel Tinkler Skidby Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran SU 50/1

28 May 16 Catterick Woody Bay (GB)T: Mark Walford Toteexacta Pick The 1st And 2nd HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Good · 14 ran 9th 14/1

24 Apr 16 Musselburgh Jan Smuts (IRE)T: Wilf Storey Totetrifecta HandicapClass 5 · 16f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 22/1

23 Apr 16 Ripon Misu Moneypenny (GB)T: Scott Dixon Traditional Family Funday Sunday 15th May HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 16/1

20 Apr 16 Catterick Nonagon (GB)T: Wilf Storey 2016 Catterick Twelve Furlong Series Handicap (Qualifier) (Div 2)Class 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 16/1

06 Apr 16 Catterick Mr Sundowner (USA)T: Wilf Storey Easter Family Day HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 13 ran 11th 8/1

25 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Corroyer (IRE)T: John Quinn bet365 EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 7/1

15 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Tred Softly (IRE)T: John Quinn Ladbrokes Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 40/1

03 Mar 16 Chelmsford City (AW) More Kudos (USA)T: John Quinn Toteswinger HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 8/1

02 Mar 16 Wolverhampton (AW) Project Bluebook (FR)T: John Quinn Best Odds Guaranteed At Coral Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 5/6F

25 Feb 16 Chelmsford City (AW) Grand Meister (GB)T: John Quinn toteplacepot Available At All UK Meetings HandicapClass 4 · 14f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 5/2

19 Oct 15 Pontefract Catastrophe (GB)T: John Quinn Bet toteplacepot NurseryClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 22/1

16 Oct 15 Haydock Forced Family Fun (GB)T: John Quinn ApolloBet Worldwide Lotteries HandicapClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 9th 14/1

10 Oct 15 York Bubbly Bellini (IRE)T: Adrian McGuinness Coral Sprint Trophy (Handicap)Class 2 · 6f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 12th 20/1

09 Oct 15 York Woody Bay (GB)T: Mark Walford Stan James Bet On Your Mobile HandicapClass 2 · 8.5f · Soft · 13 ran 10th 12/1

08 Oct 15 Ayr Mr Sundowner (USA)T: Wilf Storey Caledonia Best HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 6/1

08 Oct 15 Ayr Haymarket (GB)T: R Mike Smith Guinness Golden Ale HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 8/1

06 Oct 15 Catterick Saturn Lace (IRE)T: John Quinn Watch On 3 Devices racinguk.com/anywhere NurseryClass 3 · 7f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 11/1

06 Oct 15 Catterick Spirit of Zebedee (IRE)T: John Quinn Bhest Racing To School Nursery (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 3/1F

06 Oct 15 Catterick Smart Mover (IRE)T: John Quinn Bhest Racing To School Nursery (Div 1)Class 6 · 6f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ian Brennan's strike rate?: Ian Brennan has won 115 of 1,457 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ian Brennan do best at?: Newcastle by strike rate: 10 wins from 75 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Ian Brennan ride most for?: John Quinn, with 399 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 44 (11%).
What is Ian Brennan's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 1,452 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.