Phillip Makin
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 530 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 12% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 21% (643 rides).
The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (19.8%, n=405), clear of the rider's 12.4% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 20.5% (n=643, Fair A/E 1.16), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.5% (n=1,053, Fair A/E 1.09). Kevin Ryan supplied 15% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (14.3%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (20.2%, n=445). 21 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the DBS Premier Yearling Stakes at York (Aug 2012, £147,737). The standout partner of the record was Tiger Reigns (GB) — 7 wins from 21 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Jan–Feb.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 7,581 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 7,581 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 25 August 2018.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Phillip Makin's strike rate?
- Phillip Makin has won 726 of 5,851 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.4% (as at 29 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Phillip Makin do best at?
- Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 80 wins from 405 rides (19.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Phillip Makin ride most for?
- Kevin Ryan, with 874 rides since 2008 — 15% of the total. That pairing has won 125 (14.3%).
- What is Phillip Makin's Fair A/E?
- 1.00, from 5,808 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.