Horse profile
Rumba Bay (GB)
by Havana Grey (GB) out of Nellie Ellis (IRE) (Compton Place)
24 runs · 15 courses · from Jun 2024
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: GB, Ireland & France · 2005–present, updated daily
3 wins · Salisbury, Wolverhampton (AW) & Chelmsford City (AW)
Headgear returns LTO
Last run 10 Feb 2026 · 5th of 8
Last raced off OR 51
KTB Profile
Rumba Bay is a 3 from 24 filly with all wins at Class 6 level over 6f – 7f. She won handicaps at Chelmsford City on Standard in Feb 2025 off 51, at Wolverhampton on Standard in Mar 2025 off 55 and at Salisbury on Good to Firm in May 2025 off 58. All three wins came from the front or mid-division. She finished 5 of 8 at Lingfield on AW in Feb 2026 off an official rating of 51, 15lb below her highest ever mark of 66, with headgear returning.
Based on 24 archived runs · run-style from 21 commented runs since Aug 2024 · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance
All wins at Class 6
OR ↓ 15lb off peak
- 3–24Wins / Runs
- 12.5%Strike rate
- 4 (16.7%)Placed
- −13.30£1 level staken=24 at SP
- 1.23Fair A/E n=24 · 1.04 incl. margin
- 66Highest OR
- 21dBetween runs (median)longest 98 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
Official rating51↓ 15lb off peak
51
51–66
KTB Speed and Rating
KTB Speed
Best recent Speed 79
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
Flat
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 108A | 79 | 4 runs · 79 / 74.5 |
| Good | 6 | 103A | 61.5 | — |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 108A | 91 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 92A | 77 | — |
| Heavy | 1 | — | — | — |
| Soft | 1 | — | — | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 17 | 108A | 79 | 4 runs · 79 / 74.5 |
| Under 6f | 6 | 83A | 68 | — |
Of 24 runs looked at, 1 has no figure: not enough races on the card to set the day (under 4) (1).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 23 figures from 24 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style from 21 analysed runs since Aug 2024
- Held up 9 (43%) · 1 win
- Mid-division 7 (33%) · 1 win
- Prominent 4 (19%) · 1 win
- Led 1 (5%) · 0 wins
Pedigree intelligence
Sire
Progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 4,595 runs since Mar 2022 (419 horses).
Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 422.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | +14.1 | — |
| Good to Firm | 924 | 144 | 15.6% | +2.4 | 1 from 3 |
| Good | 1,103 | 148 | 13.4% | +0.2 | 0 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 420 | 44 | 10.5% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 443 | 55 | 12.4% | −0.8 | 0 from 1 |
| Heavy | 92 | 7 | 7.6% | −5.6 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 1,591 | 204 | 12.8% | −0.4 | 2 from 10 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 1,376 | 219 | 15.9% | +2.7 | 0 from 6 |
| 6f – 7f | 2,681 | 330 | 12.3% | −0.9 | 3 from 18 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 422 | 42 | 10% | −3.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 105 | 17 | 16.2% | +3 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 8 | 0 | 0% | −13.2 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −13.2 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Mar 2022 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
Dam
Nellie Ellis (IRE) (Compton Place)
8 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Rockesbury (GB) (6 wins).
The wins came over 5f–7½f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Rockesbury (GB)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rockesbury (GB) | 75 | 6 | 6f–7½f | Class 4 |
| Moyola (GB) | 29 | 3 | 5f–6f | Class 4 |
| Acquisitor (GB) | 18 | 3 | 7f–7½f | Class 4 |
| Showbizzy (GB) | 14 | 2 | 5f–5½f | Class 5 |
| Amor Kethley (GB) | 18 | 1 | 6f | Class 6 |
| Bobby Dalton (GB) | 10 | 0 | — | — |
| Ballinroe (GB) | 4 | 0 | — | — |
| I Call The Shots (GB) | 3 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (AW) | 10 | 2 | 20% | −1.92 |
| Good | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Good to Firm | 3 | 1 | 33% | −0.38 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Soft | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 6 | 15 | 3 | 20% | −4.30 |
| Class 5 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lingfield (AW) | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Wolverhampton (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.75 |
| Naas | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Down Royal | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Lingfield | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leicester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Salisbury | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.62 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pontefract | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chelmsford City (AW) | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.33 |
| Gowran Park | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Navan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 18 | 3 | 17% | −7.30 |
| Under 6f | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rossa Ryan | 7 | 2 | 29% | +1.08 |
| Chris Hayes | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| Sean Levey | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.62 |
| Richard Kingscote | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Miss Amy Tucker | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Pat Cosgrave | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Phoebe Edwards | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| J F Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| P J McDonald | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Charles Bishop | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Leigh Roche | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 17 | 3 | 18% | −6.30 |
| Tongue tie | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Visor | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Hood + tongue tie | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Blinkers | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2025 | 13 | 3 | 23% | −2.30 |
| 2024 | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
| Date | Course | Race | Pos | Btn | Wgt | OR | Spd | KTB | Jockey | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · 4 runs | ||||||||||
| 10 Feb 26+13d | Lingfield (AW) | Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM Handicap Raced up with the pace fighting for control early - still involved with the front group approaching 2 out - lost placings a furlong out - dropped away close home finishing fifth | 5/8 | 1¾ | 9-5 | 51 | 72A | 62A | Rossa Ryan | 12/1 |
| 28 Jan 26+4d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet More Extra Place Races Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Went straight to the front - pressed for effort before being passed inside the final furlong - lost ground in the closing stages - finished 5th | 5/9 | 1 | 10-2 | 53 | 79A | 60A | Miss Amy Tucker | 10/1 |
| 24 Jan 26+7d | Lingfield (AW) | BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Handicap (Div 2) Held a central position early - lost touch with pace two furlongs out and slipped towards the back inside the final furlong and a half - responded late to edge past one rival close home | 6/7 | ½ | 9-7 | 53 | 62A | 62A | Sean Levey | 8/1 |
| 17 Jan 26+98d | Lingfield (AW) | Midnite Are Upping The Betting Game Handicap (Div 1) Settled in the pack - pressed the front group approaching final furlong - lost momentum inside the last and faded to finish 4th | 4/8 | hd | 9-4 | 55 | 77A | 62A | Pat Cosgrave | 16/1 |
| 2025 · 13 runs | ||||||||||
| 11 Oct 25+46d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Arc Weekend On Sky Sports Racing Handicap Held up rearmost - unable to challenge throughout - well held in 8th | 8/10 | 1¼ | 8-13 | 57 | 83A | 48A | Phoebe Edwards | 10/1 |
| 26 Aug 25+22d | Lingfield (AW) | Download The At The Races App Handicap Fretting before the off - settled midfield then improved into contention as the field straightened - pushed along and lost momentum inside the final furlong | 6/9 | ½ | 9-8 | 59 | 79A | 61A | Rossa Ryan | 6/1 |
| 04 Aug 25+12d | Lingfield | Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Held a midfield position - asked for effort with 2f left - unable to find any extra - finished sixth | 6/11 | ½ | 9-8 | 61 | — | 72A | Rossa Ryan | 12/1 |
| 23 Jul 25+34d | Leicester | Kube - Leicester's Premier Exhibition Venue Handicap Sluggish start - settled towards the back - progress made two out - faded inside final furlong to finish 5th | 5/10 | 2¾ | 9-6 | 62 | 83A | 68A | Richard Kingscote | 7/1 |
| 19 Jun 25+21d | Wetherby | Join Racing TV Now Fillies' Handicap Wide and towards the rear early - driven approaching halfway then drifted left off balance - stayed on inside the closing furlong to finish fourth | 4/6 | nk | 9-3 | 63 | 81A | 60B | J F Egan | 3/1 |
| 29 May 25+14d | Ripon | North East Gunners Cup Handicap Settled midfield - angled right and asked for effort 2f out - into 4th but unable to close final furlong | 4/8 | 1¾ | 9-3 | 63 | 92A | 69A | P J McDonald | 7/1 |
| 15 May 25+16d | Salisbury | Salisbury Annual Badgeholders Handicap Slow to break - settled in the pack - began to close ground with over two furlongs left - shifted right and driven up into second inside the final two furlongs - asked for more to hit the front close home and stayed on to win | 1/11 | 9-7 | 58 | 108A | 72A | Sean Levey | 13/8F | |
| 29 Apr 25+15d | Nottingham | PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Handicap Held up towards the back - progress from 2f out and pushed along approaching the furlong pole - briefly shared the advantage - overtaken and unable to find more inside the final 110yds | 4/10 | ½ | 9-9 | 58 | 91A | 76A | Rossa Ryan | 9/2 |
| 14 Apr 25+27d | Pontefract | Mr Terry Earley Dual Celebration Handicap Settled close to the pace early - pressed for effort with 2f remaining - dropped away in the closing stages to finish sixth | 6/12 | 1¾ | 9-7 | 58 | 103A | 65A | Richard Kingscote | 10/3 |
| 18 Mar 25+20d | Wolverhampton (AW) | BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap Sat close to the front pack early - moved strongly on the outside inside the final furlong to hit the front with 150 yards left - kept going to win | 1/11 | 9-9 | 55 | 108A | 76A | Rossa Ryan | 11/4F | |
| 26 Feb 25+13d | Kempton (AW) | Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap (Div 2) Held up towards the back - pushed along with a furlong left - finished strongly in the closing stages but not quite able to challenge | 3/9 | ¾ | 9-7 | 55 | 88A | 61A | Rossa Ryan | 4/1 |
| 13 Feb 25+24d | Chelmsford City (AW) | 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Handicap (Div 2) Settled towards the back - moved wide approaching final two furlongs - made ground and drifted left inside the last two furlongs - hit the front in the closing stages to score going away | 1/7 | 9-6 | 51 | 88A | 62A | Rossa Ryan | 10/3C | |
| 20 Jan 25+91d | Wolverhampton (AW) | Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div 1) Chased pace early - hit front just past halfway - shaken up and edged out approaching final 2f - dropped away in the closing stages to finish sixth | 6/8 | nk | 9-7 | 53 | 79A | 51A | Charles Bishop | 17/2 |
| 2024 · 7 runs | ||||||||||
| 21 Oct 24+21d | Gowran Park | Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap (47-65) Settled around midfield - dropped towards rear inside final two furlongs - faded late to finish well beaten | 14/16 | hd | 9-4 | 57 | 68C | 43C | Chris Hayes | 40/1 |
| 30 Sep 24+11d | Down Royal | Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap Held up towards back - urged forward with two furlongs left - asked for more soon after and unable to quicken from a furlong out - finished seventh beaten under five lengths | 7/10 | ½ | 9-1 | 61 | 70A | 58A | Chris Hayes | 40/1 |
| 19 Sep 24+25d | Naas | TRM Calphormin Nursery Handicap Settled towards the rear of the far flank bunch - niggled from 2f out - unable to make any impact from just over 1f out and faded to finish 13th | 13/14 | 1 | 9-3 | 66 | 66C | 45A | Chris Hayes | 50/1 |
| 25 Aug 24+37d | Naas | Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Held up early struggling against the bridle - improved into the pack - pushed along with 2f left - lost ground late to finish 10th | 10/12 | 1¼ | 9-4 | — | 62A | 67A | Leigh Roche | 200/1 |
| 19 Jul 24+13d | Down Royal | Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden | 7/7 | 4½ | 9-2 | — | 49C | 40C | Chris Hayes | 50/1 |
| 06 Jul 24+28d | Naas | Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden | 13/13 | 3¾ | 9-2 | — | 57C | 30A | Chris Hayes | 100/1 |
| 08 Jun 24 | Navan | Lynn Lodge Stud Irish EBF Maiden | 15/16 | 4¾ | 9-2 | — | 41C | 28C | Chris Hayes | 28/1 |
Quick answers
- How many races has Rumba Bay won?
- Rumba Bay (GB) won 3 of 24 archived starts between 2024 and 2026, a strike rate of 12.5%. Placed 4 times in total (16.7% of starts).
- Who trains Rumba Bay?
- Rumba Bay (GB) is trained by David Evans, who saddled the horse on its most recent run on 10 February 2026.
- Who is Rumba Bay's sire?
- Rumba Bay (GB) is by Havana Grey (GB) out of Nellie Ellis (IRE), whose sire is Compton Place.
- What going does Rumba Bay prefer?
- Rumba Bay (GB) has the best record on good to firm going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Rumba Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 51, from the run on 10 February 2026. The highest on record is 66.
- What is Rumba Bay's sire's record?
- Havana Grey (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 13.2% of 4,595 runs since Mar 2022 (419 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 16.2% from 105. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 422.
- Who are Rumba Bay's siblings?
- Out of Nellie Ellis (IRE), Rumba Bay (GB) has 8 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Rockesbury (GB) (6). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Rockesbury (GB)). The wins came over 5f–7½f. As at Nov 2026.