Sheer Chance (IRE)
Sheer Chance won one of 17 starts, the success coming at Dundalk over 1m – 1m1f on standard going in Nov 2022 off an official rating of 69. She was beaten on turf in all 14 starts. The filly, by Fulbright out of a Sadler's Wells mare, last ran at Dundalk in Dec 2022 when eighth of 14 off 77.
Progeny in our archive
As a dam, Sheer Chance (IRE) has 1 produce in the archive, 1 winner — most wins Sheer Beauty (IRE) (1 win).
The wins came over 5f; the highest grade won is Class 5 (Sheer Beauty (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheer Beauty (IRE) | 4 | 1 | 5f | Class 5 |
- 1–17Wins / Runs
- 5.9%Strike rate
- 5 (29.4%)Placed
- −4.00£1 level staken=17 at SP
- 0.71Fair A/E n=17 · 0.58 incl. margin
- 82Highest OR
- 53dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 98
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 97A | 89 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 98B | 89 | — |
| Heavy | 3 | 82A | 81 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 93C | 91 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 95A | 67.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 28 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 98B | 92 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 84C | 81 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 97A | 89 | — |
| Under 6f | 1 | — | — | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 17 figures from 17 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 6.7% of 628 runs since Jan 2008 (52 horses).
Strongest on standard (aw) going: 9.8% from 214.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 1 | 0 | 0% | −6.7 | — |
| Good to Firm | 41 | 1 | 2.4% | −4.3 | — |
| Good | 157 | 11 | 7% | +0.3 | 0 from 7 |
| Good to Soft | 50 | 2 | 4% | −2.7 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 111 | 6 | 5.4% | −1.3 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 54 | 1 | 1.9% | −4.8 | 0 from 3 |
| Standard (AW) | 214 | 21 | 9.8% | +3.1 | 1 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 105 | 6 | 5.7% | −1 | 0 from 1 |
| 6f – 7f | 214 | 13 | 6.1% | −0.6 | 0 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 162 | 15 | 9.3% | +2.6 | 1 from 8 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 89 | 5 | 5.6% | −1.1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 37 | 1 | 2.7% | −4 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | +4.4 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 3 | 0 | 0% | −6.7 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 28 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
9 siblings in the archive, 6 winners — best of them Atlas (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 7f–2m4f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Rock Relief (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas (IRE) | 100 | 4 | 7f–1m | — |
| Rock Relief (IRE) | 50 | 3 | 2m–2m4f | Class 3 |
| When Not Iff (IRE) | 9 | 2 | 7f | — |
| Gladiator King (IRE) | 24 | 1 | 2m | — |
| Ceaseless (IRE) | 8 | 1 | 7f | Class 4 |
| Mozetta (IRE) | 12 | 1 | 1m2½f | — |
| Sheer Bluff (IRE) | 12 | 0 | — | — |
| Sheer Delight (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
| Grand Officer (IRE) | 6 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 7 | 0 | 0% | −7.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Heavy | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk (AW) | 3 | 1 | 33% | +10.00 |
| Gowran Park | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Leopardstown | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Killarney | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Down Royal | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Naas | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Galway | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Sligo | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m – 1m1f | 8 | 1 | 13% | +5.00 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Under 6f | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Shane Crosse | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| Mikey Sheehy | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Declan McDonogh | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Conor Stone-Walsh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Alan Persse | 1 | 1 | 100% | +12.00 |
| Edward Greatrex | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 1 | 14% | +6.00 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
| 2020 | 5 | 0 | 0% | −5.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Sheer Chance won?
- Sheer Chance (IRE) won 1 of 17 archived starts between 2020 and 2022, a strike rate of 5.9%. Placed 5 times in total (29.4% of starts).
- Who trained Sheer Chance?
- Sheer Chance (IRE) was trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien on the most recent run on record, at Dundalk (AW) on 7 December 2022.
- Who is Sheer Chance's sire?
- Sheer Chance (IRE) is by Fulbright (GB) out of Sheer Bliss (IRE), whose sire is Sadler's Wells.
- What going does Sheer Chance prefer?
- Sheer Chance (IRE) has the best record on standard (aw) going: 1 win from 3 starts (33.3%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Sheer Chance's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 77, from the run on 7 December 2022. The highest on record is 82.
- What is Sheer Chance's sire's record?
- Fulbright (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 6.7% of 628 runs since Jan 2008 (52 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on standard (aw) going: 9.8% from 214.
- Who are Sheer Chance's siblings?
- Out of Sheer Bliss (IRE), Sheer Chance (IRE) has 9 other produce in our archive, 6 of them winners. Most wins: Atlas (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Rock Relief (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–2m4f. As at Oct 2026.
- Has Sheer Chance produced winners?
- As a dam, Sheer Chance (IRE) has 1 produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Sheer Beauty (IRE) (1). Highest grade won: Class 5 (Sheer Beauty (IRE)). The wins came over 5f. As at Oct 2026.