Shoal Bay (IRE)
Shoal Bay won five of 30 starts on turf between Oct 2017 and May 2023. All five wins came on good or faster ground, with three of them over 2m1f – 2m4f in handicaps. He gained his highest-rated success at Ludlow in Oct 2020 when winning a Class 3 handicap chase off 130. The gelding, who was aged 10 at his last run in May 2023, finished fifth of eight in a Class 5 hunters chase at Cartmel.
- 5–30Wins / Runs
- 16.7%Strike rate
- 7 (23.3%)Placed
- −0.75£1 level staken=30 at SP
- 1.26Fair A/E n=30 · 1.11 incl. margin
- 139Highest OR
- 32dBetween runs (median)longest 357 d
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 94
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was. What this means →
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 16 | 141C | 92 | — |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 105A | 99.5 | — |
| Soft | 2 | 93C | 76 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 105A | 103 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 5 Nov 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 10 | 141C | 93.5 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 113A | 87.5 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 5 | 105A | 100 | — |
| Over 3m | 1 | — | — | — |
Of 30 runs looked at, 8 have no figure: did not complete (6) · obstacles omitted — the race ran a shortened course (2).
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 22 figures from 30 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since Jan 2011 (363 horses).
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good to Firm | 124 | 14 | 11.3% | −0.9 | 2 from 2 |
| Good | 1,752 | 220 | 12.6% | +0.4 | 3 from 22 |
| Good to Soft | 980 | 121 | 12.3% | +0.1 | 0 from 3 |
| Soft | 1,792 | 194 | 10.8% | −1.4 | 0 from 2 |
| Heavy | 967 | 137 | 14.2% | +2 | 0 from 1 |
| Standard (AW) | 33 | 1 | 3% | −9.2 | — |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6f – 7f | 2 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 19 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 14 | 0 | 0% | −12.2 | — |
| 1m5f – 2m | 1,213 | 146 | 12% | −0.2 | 1 from 6 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 1,898 | 243 | 12.8% | +0.6 | 3 from 6 |
| 2m5f – 3m | 1,967 | 229 | 11.6% | −0.6 | 1 from 14 |
| Over 3m | 535 | 69 | 12.9% | +0.7 | 0 from 4 |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2011 · as at 5 Nov 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
3 siblings in the archive, 1 winner — best of them Caddyhill (IRE) (4 wins).
The wins came over 1m7½f–2m3f; the highest grade won is Class 4 (Caddyhill (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caddyhill (IRE) | 25 | 4 | 1m7½f–2m3f | Class 4 |
| Wild Caprice (IRE) | 29 | 0 | — | — |
| Daydream Island (IRE) | 27 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 22 | 3 | 14% | −2.00 |
| Good to Soft | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Firm | 2 | 2 | 100% | +7.25 |
| Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Heavy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 15 | 2 | 13% | +0.00 |
| Class 4 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +5.00 |
| Class 2 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Class 6 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.25 |
| Stratford | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Southwell | 3 | 1 | 33% | +5.00 |
| Kempton | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ludlow | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Taunton | 2 | 1 | 50% | +5.00 |
| Cartmel | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fontwell | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ayr | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Haydock | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Wincanton | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m5f – 3m | 14 | 1 | 7% | −7.00 |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 6 | 3 | 50% | +14.00 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 6 | 1 | 17% | −3.75 |
| Over 3m | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 6 | 2 | 33% | +9.00 |
| Tom Scudamore | 5 | 1 | 20% | +2.00 |
| Harry Cobden | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| Tom O'Brien | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Ben Godfrey | 3 | 1 | 33% | +2.00 |
| Sean Bowen | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Mr Oliver Boyden | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Fergus Gregory | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Aidan Coleman | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Paddy Brennan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Richard Johnson | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
| Headgear | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongue tie + cheekpieces | 10 | 1 | 10% | −3.00 |
| Tongue tie | 8 | 0 | 0% | −8.00 |
| Tongue tie + blinkers | 7 | 2 | 29% | +6.00 |
| None | 4 | 2 | 50% | +5.25 |
| Blinkers + cheekpieces | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0% | −4.00 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| 2020 | 5 | 2 | 40% | +10.00 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 13% | −3.00 |
| 2018 | 6 | 0 | 0% | −6.00 |
| 2017 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +6.25 |
| Type | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase | 17 | 3 | 18% | +3.00 |
| Hurdle | 12 | 1 | 8% | −5.00 |
| NH Flat | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.25 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Shoal Bay won?
- Shoal Bay (IRE) won 5 of 30 archived starts between 2017 and 2023, a strike rate of 16.7%. Placed 7 times in total (23.3% of starts).
- Who trained Shoal Bay?
- Shoal Bay (IRE) was trained by Olly Murphy on the most recent run on record, at Cartmel on 31 May 2023.
- Who is Shoal Bay's sire?
- Shoal Bay (IRE) is by Gold Well (GB) out of Ring Hill (GB), whose sire is Bering.
- What going does Shoal Bay prefer?
- Shoal Bay (IRE) has the best record on good going: 3 wins from 22 starts (13.6%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Shoal Bay's official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 118, from the run on 31 May 2023. The highest on record is 139.
- What is Shoal Bay's sire's record?
- Gold Well (GB)'s progeny in our archive have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since Jan 2011 (363 horses), Flat and jumps together.
- Who are Shoal Bay's siblings?
- Out of Ring Hill (GB), Shoal Bay (IRE) has 3 other produce in our archive, 1 of them a winner. Most wins: Caddyhill (IRE) (4). Highest grade won: Class 4 (Caddyhill (IRE)). The wins came over 1m7½f–2m3f. As at Nov 2026.