What is Olly Murphy's strike rate?

Olly Murphy has won 547 of 2,722 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Olly Murphy do best at?

Perth by strike rate: 52 wins from 165 runners (31.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Olly Murphy?

Sean Bowen, with 1,395 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 347 (24.9%).

Is Olly Murphy in form?

In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 25.9%. That is above the baseline of 20.1% since 2022.

What is Olly Murphy's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 2,711 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Olly Murphy

2,722 runners in the last 5 seasons · 424 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 6.8% of 779 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

In form — 7 winners last 14 days Last runner 2 days ago 96% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2022

547–2,722

Wins / Runs

20.1%

Strike rate

n=2,722

1,102 (41%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=2,711 · 0.92 incl. margin

−423.63

£1 level stake

n=2,719 at SP · −15.6%

£6.75m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

20%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 540 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 20% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.06). The yard is in form now — 7 winners in the last fortnight, above its own baseline.

Deterministic profile computed from 2,722 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Apr–May 43.8% when favourite Sean Bowen: 24.9% from 1,395 New recruits: 20.6% Sends off the favourite in 22% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Perth (31.5%, n=165), clear of the yard's 20.1% baseline. It is weakest at Cheltenham (8% over 87 runners) — the widest gap in the record. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 10.5% (n=114, Fair A/E 0.76). The market has consistently overbet debutants: 17% strike, Fair A/E 0.82 and −47.68 to a £1 stake over 171 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Right now the yard is firing: 7 winners from 27 runners in the last 14 days (25.9%, 5.8pts above the 20.1% baseline). Sean Bowen rides 51% of the entries and edges the yard's average (24.9% vs 20.1%, A/E 1.10) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly over 1m2f – 1m4f — 0% over 37 runners, 20.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard in Flat races: Fair A/E 0.68 across 108 runners (5.6% strike, −70.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 19 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle at Aintree (Apr 2024, £140,419). The stable star of the record: Thunder Rock (IRE) — 12 wins from 30 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.1% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

20%−0.1

n=716 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −49.15

New recruits · first run for the yard

20.6%+0.5

n=141 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −25.73

Debutants · first career start

17%−3.1

n=171 · A/E 0.82 · £1 −47.68

First-time headgear · true-first definition

17.8%−2.3

n=129 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −27.94

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

21.3%+1.2

n=80 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +20.26

When favourite

43.8%

n=609 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −28.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

16.8%−3.3

n=513 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −70.28

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

10.5%−9.6

n=114 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −57.34

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 20.1% · n=37

In Flat races 5.6% vs 20.1% · n=108

With David England 2.7% vs 20.1% · n=37

At Perth 31.5% vs 20.1% · n=165

At Cheltenham 8% vs 20.1% · n=87

With Kevin Brogan 8.2% vs 20.1% · n=85

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 1,827 384 21% −225.36

Chase 605 116 19.2% −115.72

NH Flat 182 41 22.5% −12.55

Flat 108 6 5.6% −70.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 864 177 20.5% −104.84

Good to Soft 859 165 19.2% −169.39

Soft 702 145 20.7% −120.85

Heavy 198 48 24.2% −4.15

Standard (AW) 76 7 9.2% −17.00

Good to Firm 23 5 21.7% −7.40

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Uttoxeter 276 58 21% −36.16

Market Rasen 178 46 25.8% −3.26

Perth 165 52 31.5% +32.22

Southwell 145 39 26.9% +13.06

Worcester 136 33 24.3% +17.25

Wetherby 118 31 26.3% +30.06

Huntingdon 115 23 20% −10.49

Warwick 101 20 19.8% +11.11

Aintree 97 9 9.3% −43.78

Leicester 89 20 22.5% −23.99

Cheltenham 87 7 8% −59.75

Ffos Las 75 20 26.7% +9.40

Chepstow 75 14 18.7% −8.93

Lingfield 68 19 27.9% +16.08

Stratford 67 14 20.9% −14.82

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 1,194 276 23.1% −196.75

Class 5 606 131 21.6% −2.73

Class 3 437 88 20.1% −89.14

Class 2 275 30 10.9% −92.42

Class 1 171 19 11.1% −24.34

Class 6 37 3 8.1% −16.25

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 674 283 42% 1.11 −36.05

2nd–3rd fav 942 188 20% 1.03 −104.08

4th–6th fav 717 62 8.6% 1.01 −83.50

7th+ in betting 386 11 2.8% 0.79 −200.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

88.8% completed · 2,432 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 605 81.2% 12 20 80 0 2

Hurdle 1,827 91.4% 22 10 121 5 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Secret Trix (GB) 35 7 17 25 Sep 26

Rock On Tommy (GB) 31 4 9 24 Jan 26

Rambo T (IRE) 28 8 13 10 Oct 26

Sure Touch (GB) 27 9 12 26 Sep 26

Thunder Rock (IRE) 25 9 12 15 Oct 26

The Wolf (FR)from Warren Greatrex 25 3 10 16 May 25

Ukantango (IRE) 23 5 8 15 Jul 26

Heard That (IRE) 22 3 8 12 May 26

Resplendent Grey (IRE) 21 7 12 25 Apr 26

Go Dante (GB) 21 5 6 24 Apr 26

Strong Leader (GB) 21 7 13 11 Apr 26

Act Of Authority (FR) 21 5 10 10 Apr 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 424 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 11 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alex Hales (2); 40 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Mike Sowersby (3) and Jake Thomas Coulson (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

In form

7 from 27 25.9% · +5.8pts vs baseline

Last 14 days25.9%

5-season base20.1%

Shown only when the 14-day window is large enough to mean anything (n≥15). A cold run renders the same card with a quiet badge — never hidden.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

192021232217191719241820

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSean Bowen

51% of all rides
24.9% SR · A/E 1.10

RiderRWSR£1

Sean Bowen 1,395 347 24.9% −107.44

Lewis Stones 190 29 15.3% −66.57

Fergus Gregory 164 23 14% −28.30

Aidan Coleman 134 25 18.7% −60.75

Lewis Saunders 123 27 22% +49.70

Kevin Brogan 85 7 8.2% −56.49

A P Heskin 57 11 19.3% −7.55

Dylan Johnston 50 13 26% +20.92

Gavin Sheehan 38 7 18.4% +10.75

David England 37 1 2.7% −28.00

James Bowen 36 5 13.9% −16.79

Beau Morgan 35 6 17.1% −11.84

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

907

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£9.84m

Prize money

2025

Best season · 148 wins

Strong Leader (GB) — JRL Group Liverpool Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race) Aintree · Apr 2024 · Grade 1

£140,419

Resplendent Grey (IRE) — bet365 Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Sandown · Apr 2025 · Class 1

£98,473

Hunters Call (IRE) — Racing Welfare Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Ascot · Dec 2017 · Grade 3

£85,425

Notable horses

Thunder Rock (IRE) Brewin'upastorm (IRE) Sure Touch (GB) Rambo T (IRE) Secret Trix (GB) Itchy Feet (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Kayf Tara (GB) 22.8% · 37–162

Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.

Yeats (IRE) 18.6% · 18–97

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Ocovango (GB) 22.9% · 22–96

Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,981 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.

Walk In The Park (IRE) 18.2% · 14–77

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,933 runs since 2008 (689 horses).

Westerner (GB) 15.9% · 11–69

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Milan (GB) 13.6% · 9–66

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,802 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,802 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 July 2017 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) The Pug (IRE)J: Luke Morris bettingsites.co.uk Handicap StakesClass 6 · 11f · Standard · 9 ran 2nd 5/1

19 Oct 26 Plumpton Latin (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Trottenden Farm Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Diamond Geezer (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 3/1

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Galway Reel (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 23f · Good · 8 ran 1st 8/11F

17 Oct 26 Newton Abbot Mister Ursus (IRE)J: Tom Hutsby Konsileo Local Award Winning Commercial Insurer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 3 · 17f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/4

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Hold The Throw (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Pertemps Network Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 2/1

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Passing Chance (GB)J: Lewis Saunders QuinnBet Mares' National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 1st 14/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Velvet Outlaw (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Racing Tv Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 4 ran 2nd 1/1F

15 Oct 26 Perth Kado Sacree (FR)J: Sean Bowen Racingtv, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 13/8F

15 Oct 26 Perth Berkenshtaaap (IRE)J: Kevin Brogan Racingtv, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div II) (gbb Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 7 ran 1st 5/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Orderoftheday (IRE)J: Sean Bowen RacingTV, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 100/30F

15 Oct 26 Perth Moyganny Phil (IRE)J: Robert Dunne RacingTV, Home Of Live Racing Handicap Steeple Chase (Div I) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Tap Tap Shamie (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Every Irish Race Live On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/4F

15 Oct 26 Perth Double Oban (GB)J: Kevin Brogan Every Irish Race Live On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 2nd 16/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Thunder Rock (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Follow @racingtv On Instagram Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 24f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/4

15 Oct 26 Perth Sears Crossing (IRE)J: Robert Dunne Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 6th 28/1

15 Oct 26 Perth Old Habits (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Soft · 9 ran 3rd 11/8F

15 Oct 26 Perth Hold The Serve (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Download The Free Racing TV App Now Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 4 ran 2nd 9/2

15 Oct 26 Perth Petersham Place (IRE)J: Sean Bowen Join Racing TV Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Soft · 8 ran 1st 3/1

14 Oct 26 Ffos Las Wandering Ego (IRE)J: Sean Bowen JCP Solicitors Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 16f · Soft · 5 ran 4th 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Olly Murphy's strike rate?: Olly Murphy has won 547 of 2,722 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 20.1% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Olly Murphy do best at?: Perth by strike rate: 52 wins from 165 runners (31.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Olly Murphy?: Sean Bowen, with 1,395 runners since 2022 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 347 (24.9%).
Is Olly Murphy in form?: In the last 14 days: 27 runners, 7 winners, a strike rate of 25.9%. That is above the baseline of 20.1% since 2022.
What is Olly Murphy's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 2,711 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.