Value Theory (IRE)
Value Theory (IRE) is 3 from 14. Hasn't won since Sep 2022. Last raced off a career-high mark of 97.
- 3–14Wins / Runs
- 21.4%Strike rate
- 6 (42.9%)Placed
- −3.25£1 level staken=14 at SP
- 1.38Fair A/E n=14 · 1.22 incl. margin
- 97Highest OR
- 40dAvg between runs
A/E compares actual wins with what starting prices implied. "Fair" strips the bookmaker margin from the expectation, so favourites and longshots are judged on the same footing — figures near 1.00 mean the market priced this horse about right.
KTB Speed and Rating
Best recent Speed 97
How fast the horse ran, as points against the day-corrected standard time for its course and distance: 100 is the median GB Class 4 handicap winner on that code; one point is 0.1% of the standard time. A, B or C is how much the day's card could tell us, not how good the run was.
| Going | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 103A | 97 | — |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 113C | 86.5 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 104A | 97 | — |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 84A | 83.5 | — |
| Distance | Runs | Best | Median | Since 15 Oct 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 104A | 97 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 101A | 83 | — |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 113C | 84 | — |
KTB Speed v1 · batch 15 Sep 2026 · GB & Irish racing only · 14 figures from 14 runs · as at 3 Oct 2026 · a record, not a forecast
Both figures are KTB's own, computed from the archive; no vendor rating enters either. Every run's figure is on its form line below with its grade. Grades measure how much the archive could see, never the merit of the run.
Run style is derived from in-running commentary, which our data provider does not supply for this horse's races.
Pedigree intelligence
Progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 4,536 runs since Jan 2008 (444 horses).
Strongest on heavy going: 17.3% from 278.
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | +6.8 | — |
| Good to Firm | 497 | 63 | 12.7% | +1.3 | 1 from 4 |
| Good | 1,155 | 138 | 11.9% | +0.5 | 2 from 5 |
| Good to Soft | 556 | 57 | 10.3% | −1.1 | 0 from 2 |
| Soft | 743 | 88 | 11.8% | +0.4 | — |
| Heavy | 278 | 48 | 17.3% | +5.9 | — |
| Standard (AW) | 1,296 | 122 | 9.4% | −2 | 0 from 3 |
| Distance (all codes) | Runs | Wins | SR | vs sire | This horse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6f | 140 | 14 | 10% | −1.4 | — |
| 6f – 7f | 947 | 107 | 11.3% | −0.1 | 1 from 5 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 1,201 | 149 | 12.4% | +1 | 0 from 3 |
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 1,290 | 150 | 11.6% | +0.2 | 2 from 6 |
| 1m5f – 2m | 590 | 64 | 10.8% | −0.6 | — |
| 2m1f – 2m4f | 237 | 22 | 9.3% | −2.1 | — |
| 2m5f – 3m | 95 | 6 | 6.3% | −5.1 | — |
| Over 3m | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | +5.3 | — |
Flat and jumps together (all codes) · since Jan 2008 · as at 14 Oct 2026 · rows under 30 runs muted · win % is the measure, a record not a forecast
7 siblings in the archive, 5 winners — best of them Alazwar (IRE) (8 wins).
The wins came over 7f–1m5½f; the highest grade won is Class 3 (Alazwar (IRE)).
| Produce | Runs | Wins | Win trips | Best grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alazwar (IRE) | 51 | 8 | 7f–1m5½f | Class 3 |
| Venetian (IRE) | 47 | 5 | 7f–1m1½f | Class 4 |
| Vermont (IRE) | 17 | 3 | 1m1½f–1m4½f | Class 6 |
| Vengeur Masque (IRE) | 6 | 2 | 1m4f–1m4½f | — |
| Virgin Island (GER) | 4 | 1 | 1m2f | — |
| Vera Drake (FR) | 13 | 0 | — | — |
| Veneziano (FR) | 48 | 0 | — | — |
Record by conditions
| Going | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good | 5 | 2 | 40% | +2.75 |
| Good to Firm | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
| Standard (AW) | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Good to Soft | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class 3 | 7 | 2 | 29% | +0.75 |
| Class 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Class 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Class 4 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.00 |
| Class 5 | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Course | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmarket | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.75 |
| Lingfield (AW) | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Goodwood | 2 | 0 | 0% | −2.00 |
| Ripon | 1 | 1 | 100% | +3.00 |
| Ascot | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Chester | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Musselburgh | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Kempton (AW) | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Distance | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m2f – 1m4f | 6 | 2 | 33% | +1.75 |
| 6f – 7f | 5 | 1 | 20% | −2.00 |
| 1m – 1m1f | 3 | 0 | 0% | −3.00 |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franny Norton | 5 | 1 | 20% | −1.00 |
| Joe Fanning | 3 | 1 | 33% | +0.00 |
| Daniel Muscutt | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.75 |
| Christophe-Patrice Lemaire | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| J F Egan | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Andrew Breslin | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Oisin Murphy | 1 | 0 | 0% | −1.00 |
| Season | Runs | Wins | SR | £1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20% | −2.25 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25% | −1.00 |
Splits include every sample, however small — muted rows are under 3 runs. A one-from-one record is a fact, not a trend: read the Runs column before the strike rate.
Form
Quick answers
- How many races has Value Theory (IRE) won?
- Value Theory (IRE) won 3 of 14 archived starts between 2021 and 2022, a strike rate of 21.4%. Placed 6 times in total (42.9% of starts).
- Who trained Value Theory (IRE)?
- Value Theory (IRE) was trained by Charlie & Mark Johnston on the most recent run on record, at Lingfield (AW) on 30 November 2022.
- Who is Value Theory (IRE)'s sire?
- Value Theory (IRE) is by Gleneagles (IRE) out of Venetian Beauty (USA), whose sire is Lear Fan.
- What going does Value Theory (IRE) prefer?
- Value Theory (IRE) has the best record on good going: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). Only going bands with at least three archived starts are read, so this is a direction rather than a settled preference.
- What is Value Theory (IRE)'s official rating?
- The most recent official rating on record is 97, from the run on 30 November 2022. That is also the highest on record.
- What is Value Theory (IRE)'s sire's record?
- Gleneagles (IRE)'s progeny in our archive have won 11.4% of 4,536 runs since Jan 2008 (444 horses), Flat and jumps together. Strongest on heavy going: 17.3% from 278.
- Who are Value Theory (IRE)'s siblings?
- Out of Venetian Beauty (USA), Value Theory (IRE) has 7 other produce in our archive, 5 of them winners. Most wins: Alazwar (IRE) (8). Highest grade won: Class 3 (Alazwar (IRE)). The wins came over 7f–1m5½f. As at Oct 2026.