Charlie & Mark Johnston
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 260 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 14% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). New recruits from other yards win at 20% first time out (106 runs).
It is weakest at York (3% over 33 runners) — the widest gap in the record. New recruits from other stables on their first run win at 19.8% (n=106, Fair A/E 1.58), but runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 9.1% (n=110, Fair A/E 0.83). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 17.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.53 and +2.23 to a £1 stake over 124 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Franny Norton rides 22% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (14.5%, A/E 1.05) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Criterium de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud (FR) (Oct 2022, £120,042). The stable star of the record: I'm A Gambler (IRE) — 6 wins from 14 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 13.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2022→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 1,275 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 1,275 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2022 to 31 December 2022.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Charlie & Mark Johnston's strike rate?
- Charlie & Mark Johnston has won 177 of 1,275 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Charlie & Mark Johnston do best at?
- Newmarket by strike rate: 10 wins from 42 runners (23.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for Charlie & Mark Johnston?
- Franny Norton, with 275 runners since 2022 — 22% of the total. That pairing has won 40 (14.5%).
- What is Charlie & Mark Johnston's Fair A/E?
- 0.99, from 1,264 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.