What is Alex Chadwick's strike rate?

Alex Chadwick has won 55 of 267 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 20.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alex Chadwick do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Alex Chadwick ride most for?

James Owen, with 222 rides since 2022 — 83% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (22.1%).

Is Alex Chadwick in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Alex Chadwick's Fair A/E?

1.11, from 267 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Alex Chadwick

267 rides in the last 5 seasons · 96 individual horses

As at 3 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 11 days ago 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2014→)

from 1 Jan 2022

55–267

Wins / Runs

20.6%

Strike rate

n=267

108 (40%)

Placed

1.11

Fair A/E

n=267 · 0.97 incl. margin

−54.11

£1 level stake

n=267 at SP · −20.3%

£427k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 21% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.11). First rides on a horse are a strength: 26% on the first captured pairing (93 rides). Rides mostly for James Owen — 83% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 267 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 3 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 40% when favourite James Owen: 22.1% from 222 First rides: 25.8% Claiming: 21.7% Rides the favourite in 22% of races

The read

First rides on a horse have been a positive signal at 25.8% (n=93, Fair A/E 1.41), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 12.8% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.90). James Owen supplies 83% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (22.1%, A/E 1.12) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well on Good to Soft going (27.6%, n=58) and in Class 4 (24.8%, n=117). The record reads poorly in Class 3 — 12.9% over 31 rides, 7.7pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Chase races: Fair A/E 0.83 across 69 rides (14.5% strike, −27.36 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 20.6% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

25.8%+5.2

n=93 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −6.53

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.9%−2.7

n=56 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −31.79

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

12.8%−7.8

n=39 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −14.62

When favourite

40%

n=60 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −4.74

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

21.7%+1.1

n=235 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −32.90

Big fields · 14+ runners

10.5%−10.1

n=19 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −8.40

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−20.6

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 20.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On Good to Soft going 27.6% vs 20.6% · n=58

In Class 3 12.9% vs 20.6% · n=31

In Chase races 14.5% vs 20.6% · n=69

On first rides for the horse 25.8% vs 20.6% · n=93

In Class 4 24.8% vs 20.6% · n=117

Off a 31-60-day break 25.5% vs 20.6% · n=47

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 190 43 22.6% −26.25

Chase 69 10 14.5% −27.36

NH Flat 7 1 14.3% −3.50

Flat 1 1 100% +3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 147 26 17.7% −48.57

Good to Soft 58 16 27.6% +5.28

Soft 46 10 21.7% −2.15

Heavy 8 1 12.5% −6.50

Good to Firm 7 1 14.3% −5.17

Standard (AW) 1 1 100% +3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fakenham 30 6 20% −0.75

Huntingdon 27 7 25.9% +4.50

Southwell 24 4 16.7% −12.04

Worcester 19 4 21.1% −7.10

Stratford 16 6 37.5% +2.68

Fontwell 14 5 35.7% −1.83

Plumpton 12 4 33.3% +4.58

Market Rasen 12 1 8.3% −8.00

Uttoxeter 12 3 25% −0.50

Cheltenham 11 0 0% −11.00

Warwick 11 1 9.1% −6.50

Leicester 7 1 14.3% −5.00

Wetherby 6 3 50% +10.10

Sedgefield 6 2 33.3% +2.25

Doncaster 6 1 16.7% −0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 117 29 24.8% −17.45

Class 5 99 21 21.2% −13.39

Class 3 31 4 12.9% −7.27

Class 2 15 0 0% −15.00

Class 6 3 1 33.3% +1.00

Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 69 26 37.7% 1.07 −6.99

2nd–3rd fav 96 24 25% 1.32 +11.88

4th–6th fav 69 5 7.2% 0.86 −26.00

7th+ in betting 33 0 0% 0.00 −33.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

89.2% completed · 259 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 69 78.3% 2 3 9 1 0

Hurdle 190 93.2% 2 1 9 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

My Gift To You (IRE) 14 4 7 23 Oct 26

Enthused (IRE) 13 4 7 11 Nov 25

The Big Lense (IRE) 13 2 6 7 Jul 24

Mermaids Cave (IRE) 10 4 5 28 Mar 26

Forget The Way (GB) 10 1 4 14 Oct 25

Honneur D'ajonc (FR) 9 2 5 21 May 25

One Big Bang (IRE) 8 3 6 10 Mar 26

Snapius (IRE) 7 1 2 22 May 26

Grozni (FR) 7 1 3 13 Mar 25

Star Legend (IRE) 6 1 2 1 Apr 25

Dream Diamond (IRE) 5 1 2 4 May 26

Scavengers Reign (IRE) 5 1 3 5 Feb 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 96 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

142612192228252731121533

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardJames Owen

83% of all rides
22.1% SR · A/E 1.12

TrainerRWSR£1

James Owen 222 49 22.1% −36.52

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2014→

Archived wins

£471k

Prize money

2025

Best season · 26 wins

One Big Bang (IRE) — Mick Sziler Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Haydock · Mar 2024 · Class 4

£9,242

Enthused (IRE) — Friends & Family Remembering Norman Sharpe Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Sep 2024 · Class 3

£9,242

Prince Quattro (IRE) — Unibet More Extra Places Everyday Handicap Hurdle Market Rasen · Jul 2025 · Class 4

£8,714

Notable horses

My Gift To You (IRE) Enthused (IRE) Mermaids Cave (IRE) One Big Bang (IRE) The Big Lense (IRE) Honneur D'ajonc (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Court Cave (IRE) 25% · 6–24

Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,949 runs since 2008 (552 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.8% from 937.

Diamond Boy (FR) 17.6% · 3–17

Progeny have won 12% of 2,288 runs since 2016 (287 horses).

Kingston Hill (GB) 28.6% · 4–14

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,648 runs since 2019 (204 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 5.4% from 168.

Zoffany (IRE) 30.8% · 4–13

Progeny have won 9.9% of 10,775 runs since 2015 (799 horses).

Getaway (GER) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,971 runs since 2016 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Masked Marvel (GB) 37.5% · 3–8

Progeny have won 15.5% of 1,632 runs since 2019 (266 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 20% from 285.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 3 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 373 · newest first

The latest 50 of 373 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2014 to 23 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

23 Oct 26 Cheltenham My Gift To You (IRE)T: James Owen Chapel Down Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 3 · 25f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 6th 25/1

07 Oct 26 Worcester Rob Farmer (GB)T: Tim Vaughan Step Into Luxury With Purple Granite National Hunt Flat Race (catgory 2 Elimination) (Conditional And Amateur Jockeys) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

24 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Versatile (IRE)T: James Owen Bridal Rooms Uttoxeter Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 9th 11/1

19 Jul 26 Stratford Lucy The Wire (IRE)T: James Owen Grace And Dotty Conditional Jockeys' Mares' Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 2nd 7/4F

05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Oneinthewell (IRE)T: James Owen Tom Halliday Memorial Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 10/3

09 Jun 26 Southwell Versatile (IRE)T: James Owen Vaughandale Construction 'Built To Last' Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 22/1

23 May 26 Cartmel My Gift To You (IRE)T: James Owen RF Miller & Co Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 25.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 10/1

22 May 26 Worcester Snapius (IRE)T: James Owen CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 4th 5/1

19 May 26 Huntingdon Versatile (IRE)T: James Owen Tattersalls Ireland May HIT & P2P Sale Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 15/2

04 May 26 Fakenham Dream Diamond (IRE)T: James Owen Chestnut Group Fakenham Grand Prix Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 12 ran UR 12/1

04 May 26 Fakenham Johnny's Belle (IRE)T: Barry John Murphy Heritage House Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 5th 80/1

23 Apr 26 Warwick Snapius (IRE)T: James Owen Molly Ollys Charity Partner Of The Year Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good · 9 ran 4th 6/1

19 Apr 26 Plumpton Versatile (IRE)T: James Owen Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 28/1

28 Mar 26 Uttoxeter Mermaids Cave (IRE)T: James Owen Doocey Group Mares' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 7 ran PU 7/2

24 Mar 26 Southwell Big Bert (IRE)T: James Owen Free Bets On attheraces.com Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 24.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 11/1

18 Mar 26 Huntingdon Dream Diamond (IRE)T: James Owen Weatherbys Design & Print Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 9/2

14 Mar 26 Fontwell A Mere Bagatelle (IRE)T: James Owen bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/2

10 Mar 26 Cheltenham One Big Bang (IRE)T: James Owen National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 30f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 3rd 11/1

05 Mar 26 Haydock Dream Diamond (IRE)T: James Owen Safer Gambling At CopyBet Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 7th 17/2

04 Mar 26 Catterick Mermaids Cave (IRE)T: James Owen Racing To School Claiming HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good · 8 ran 2nd 6/4F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 7 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 2 runs (won 0) · to 23 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Alex Chadwick's strike rate?: Alex Chadwick has won 55 of 267 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 20.6% (as at 3 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alex Chadwick do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 6 wins from 30 rides (20%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Alex Chadwick ride most for?: James Owen, with 222 rides since 2022 — 83% of the total. That pairing has won 49 (22.1%).
Is Alex Chadwick in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Alex Chadwick's Fair A/E?: 1.11, from 267 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.