What is Lucy Wadham's strike rate?

Lucy Wadham has won 104 of 695 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Lucy Wadham do best at?

Fakenham by strike rate: 21 wins from 73 runners (28.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Lucy Wadham?

Tom Cannon, with 203 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (19.2%).

Is Lucy Wadham in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Lucy Wadham's Fair A/E?

1.13, from 691 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Lucy Wadham

695 runners in the last 5 seasons · 81 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 3 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

104–695

Wins / Runs

15%

Strike rate

n=695

244 (35%)

Placed

1.13

Fair A/E

n=691 · 0.99 incl. margin

−82.66

£1 level stake

n=695 at SP · −11.9%

£1.67m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

19.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.13). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 20% (35 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 695 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Feb 44.2% when favourite Tom Cannon: 19.2% from 203 Sends off the favourite in 11% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Fakenham (28.8%, n=73), clear of the yard's 15% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a positive signal at 20% (n=35, Fair A/E 1.75), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 6.8% (n=133, Fair A/E 0.62). Tom Cannon rides 29% of the entries and edges the yard's average (19.2% vs 15%, A/E 1.41) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well over 1m2f – 1m4f (22.2%, n=45). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 1.8% over 55 runners, 13.2pts below the baseline. 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Midnite All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Distance Handicap at Newcastle (AW) (Apr 2026, £90,195). The stable star of the record: Eleazar (GER) — 10 wins from 34 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.8%−8.2

n=133 · A/E 0.62 · £1 −96.90

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−9.7

n=19 · A/E 0.52 · £1 −15.00

Debutants · first career start

9.4%−5.6

n=32 · A/E 0.64 · £1 −13.25

First-time headgear · true-first definition

20%+5.0

n=35 · A/E 1.75 · £1 −3.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

25%+10.0

n=16 · A/E 2.04 · £1 +24.98

When favourite

44.2%

n=77 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +19.01

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12%−3.0

n=75 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −34.52

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.9%−3.1

n=42 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −16.52

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Fakenham 28.8% vs 15% · n=73

Off a 61-180-day break 1.8% vs 15% · n=55

Over 1m – 1m1f 3.1% vs 15% · n=32

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 22.2% vs 15% · n=45

With Tom Cannon 19.2% vs 15% · n=203

In NH Flat races 9.4% vs 15% · n=53

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 334 49 14.7% −76.49

Chase 185 33 17.8% −7.55

Flat 123 17 13.8% +20.73

NH Flat 53 5 9.4% −19.35

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Soft 218 31 14.2% −61.20

Good 217 37 17.1% +8.81

Soft 160 18 11.3% −75.07

Standard (AW) 67 11 16.4% +17.30

Heavy 20 4 20% −4.50

Good to Firm 13 3 23.1% +32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fakenham 73 21 28.8% +17.73

Huntingdon 60 11 18.3% −6.16

Warwick 49 6 12.2% +9.25

Market Rasen 45 7 15.6% −6.00

Doncaster 39 6 15.4% −1.39

Sandown 33 4 12.1% −16.17

Newbury 32 3 9.4% −17.00

Cheltenham 27 4 14.8% +8.00

Wetherby 22 2 9.1% −15.00

Plumpton 21 1 4.8% −16.80

Kempton (AW) 21 4 19% +2.30

Uttoxeter 20 6 30% +26.25

Ludlow 19 3 15.8% −11.33

Lingfield 19 1 5.3% −17.38

Kempton 19 4 21.1% −4.64

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 244 37 15.2% −71.11

Class 5 169 25 14.8% −39.06

Class 3 146 21 14.4% +15.58

Class 2 72 13 18.1% +39.25

Class 1 51 5 9.8% −25.52

Class 6 13 3 23.1% −1.80

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 92 37 40.2% 1.29 +15.01

2nd–3rd fav 215 41 19.1% 1.06 −12.67

4th–6th fav 234 19 8.1% 1.00 −67.00

7th+ in betting 154 7 4.5% 1.25 −18.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.9% completed · 519 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 185 76.2% 3 1 40 0 0

Hurdle 334 85% 1 3 46 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Arqoob (IRE)from William Jarvis 39 7 17 3 Oct 26

Pretending (IRE)from Sir Mark Prescott Bt 26 4 12 23 Apr 26

Pearly Island (GB) 26 5 10 19 Apr 25

For Gina (GB) 25 4 12 12 Dec 25

Hurricane Bay (GB) 24 5 10 12 Jun 26

Terresita (IRE) 22 6 10 15 Feb 25

The Glen Rovers (GB)from T J Kent 19 6 7 29 Aug 26

Scene One (IRE) 19 3 8 13 May 25

Jax Junior (GB) 16 6 8 9 Apr 26

Corundum (GB) 16 1 5 24 Feb 26

Eclair De Guye (FR) 16 1 7 24 Apr 24

Zain Nights (GB)from Harry & Roger Charlton 15 5 7 10 May 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 81 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 14 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Sir Mark Prescott Bt (2); 46 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for Charlie Longsdon (2) and Dan Skelton (2); 47 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

17201017101615311116169

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderTom Cannon

29% of all rides
19.2% SR · A/E 1.41

RiderRWSR£1

Tom Cannon 203 39 19.2% +5.43

Bryony Frost 167 23 13.8% −49.72

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

464

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£5.38m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

The Glen Rovers (GB) — Midnite All-Weather Easter Classic Middle Distance Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Newcastle (AW) · Apr 2026 · Class 2

£90,195

United (GER) — C.McEvoy Auctioneers Champion 4yo Hurdle (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2005 · Grade 1

£68,200

Lady Tiana (GB) — bet365 Lancashire Oaks (Fillies' Group 2) Haydock · Jul 2015 · Group 2

£52,740

Notable horses

Eleazar (GER) Le Reve (IRE) Martello Sky (GB) United (GER) Potters Legend (GB) Arqoob (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Estidhkaar (IRE) 17.9% · 7–39

Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,586 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 227.

Jack Hobbs (GB) 24.2% · 8–33

Progeny have won 10.3% of 1,063 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 17.6% from 119.

Malinas (GER) 19.4% · 6–31

Progeny have won 14.2% of 3,938 runs since 2008 (419 horses).

Westerner (GB) 20.7% · 6–29

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Dark Angel (IRE) 26.9% · 7–26

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,876 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Make Believe (GB) 15.4% · 4–26

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,597 runs since 2008 (297 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,216 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,216 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Market Rasen Rialannah (IRE)J: Sean Quinlan Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 23f · Good · 5 ran 4th 11/2

16 Oct 26 Uttoxeter Cotton Socks (GB)J: Tom Cannon We Buy Cars On The Go Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 6th 11/2

03 Oct 26 Newmarket Arqoob (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Hkjc World Pool Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 20/1

13 Sep 26 Doncaster Arqoob (IRE)J: Harry Davies Betfred Mallard Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 2 · 14.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 22/1

10 Sep 26 Worcester Baltic (GB)J: Tom Cannon CopyBet Follow Us On X Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 7/2

29 Aug 26 Sandown The Glen Rovers (GB)J: William Buick Zyn Frontrunner Finish Handicap StakesClass 2 · 10f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 40/1

23 Aug 26 Worcester Baltic (GB)J: Tom Cannon Neu-Servo Phils Last Shift Maiden Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 28/1

22 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Arqoob (IRE)J: Callum Hutchinson Blackwell Earthmoving 70th Anniversary Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 14f · Good · 5 ran 1st 15/2

08 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Baltic (GB)J: Ashley Lewis William Hill Price Boosts Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 6th 11/1

01 Aug 26 Newmarket (July) Arqoob (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 1st 10/1

28 Jul 26 Yarmouth Baltic (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Good To Firm · 3 ran 2nd 7/2

25 Jul 26 York The Glen Rovers (GB)J: James Doyle Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 12/1

05 Jul 26 Southwell (AW) Baltic (GB)J: Jamie Spencer Free Race Replays On attheraces.com HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 14/1

03 Jul 26 Sandown Arqoob (IRE)J: James Doyle JRA Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 14f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

25 Jun 26 Newcastle (AW) The Glen Rovers (GB)J: Sean D Bowen JenningsBet In Scarborough Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 2 · 10f · Standard To Slow · 9 ran 9th 7/1

13 Jun 26 York Arqoob (IRE)J: Miss Brodie Hampson Queen Mother's Cup Handicap (Female Amateur Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 12f · Good · 9 ran 6th 8/1

12 Jun 26 Market Rasen Hurricane Bay (GB)J: Tom Cannon Bob And Babs Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 7/1

11 Jun 26 Yarmouth Baltic (GB)J: Sean D Bowen QuinnBet Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 11.5f · Soft · 6 ran 6th 50/1

10 Jun 26 Kempton (AW) Semele (GB)J: Daniel Muscutt Unibet Supports Safer Gambling HandicapClass 6 · 11f · Standard To Slow · 14 ran 8th 28/1

31 May 26 Fakenham Hurricane Bay (GB)J: Tom Cannon Prince Of Wales Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 21f · Good · 5 ran PU 2/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Lucy Wadham's strike rate?: Lucy Wadham has won 104 of 695 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 15% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Lucy Wadham do best at?: Fakenham by strike rate: 21 wins from 73 runners (28.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Lucy Wadham?: Tom Cannon, with 203 runners since 2022 — 29% of the total. That pairing has won 39 (19.2%).
Is Lucy Wadham in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Lucy Wadham's Fair A/E?: 1.13, from 691 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.