What is Antoine Subias's strike rate?

Antoine Subias has won 10 of 209 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Antoine Subias do best at?

Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Antoine Subias ride most for?

Francois Monfort, with 63 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.1%).

Is Antoine Subias in form?

Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Antoine Subias's Fair A/E?

0.78, from 207 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Antoine Subias

209 rides in the last 5 seasons · 135 individual horses

As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride 6 days ago 98% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2018→)

from 1 Jan 2022

10–209

Wins / Runs

4.8%

Strike rate

n=209

45 (22%)

Placed

0.78

Fair A/E

n=207 · 0.64 incl. margin

−123.80

£1 level stake

n=207 at SP · −59.8%

£227k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

1.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.78). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 10% off breaks of two months or more (60 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 209 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 10% Francois Monfort: 11.1% from 63 First rides: 5.3% Claiming: 8%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 10% (n=60, Fair A/E 1.58), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=71, Fair A/E 0.36). Francois Monfort supplies 30% of the rides and beats the rider's average (11.1% vs 4.8%, A/E 1.37) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.8% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.3%+0.5

n=133 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −60.60

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

16.7%+11.9

n=6 · A/E 1.27 · £1 −2.70

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

10%+5.2

n=60 · A/E 1.58 · £1 −0.70

When favourite

33.3%

n=6 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −1.30

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8%+3.2

n=100 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −27.20

Big fields · 14+ runners

1.4%−3.4

n=71 · A/E 0.36 · £1 −63.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−4.8

n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Francois Monfort 11.1% vs 4.8% · n=63

With debutants 0% vs 4.8% · n=37

When claiming 8% vs 4.8% · n=100

Off a 61-180-day break 7.7% vs 4.8% · n=39

Off a 15-30-day break 2.2% vs 4.8% · n=46

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 7% vs 4.8% · n=57

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 204 10 4.9% −118.80

Hurdle 3 0 0% −3.00

Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 76 5 6.6% −19.80

Soft 59 2 3.4% −45.70

Good to Soft 27 2 7.4% −13.70

Good 23 1 4.3% −21.60

Heavy 22 0 0% −22.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Deauville (AW) 60 3 5% −17.10

Saint-Cloud (FR) 32 2 6.3% −15.70

Chantilly 27 2 7.4% −13.70

Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) 18 0 0% −18.00

Longchamp (FR) 13 0 0% −13.00

Vichy (FR) 12 1 8.3% −8.70

Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) 8 2 25% +0.40

Saint-Malo (FR) 6 0 0% −6.00

Compiegne (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Craon (FR) 5 0 0% −5.00

Senonnes-Pouance (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Clairefontaine (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Dieppe (FR) 3 0 0% −3.00

Argentan (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Le Mans (FR) 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 21 0 0% −21.00

Class 1 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.08 −1.30

2nd–3rd fav 23 2 8.7% 0.54 −12.10

4th–6th fav 49 5 10.2% 1.32 −10.40

7th+ in betting 129 1 0.8% 0.29 −100.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Semeur (FR) 11 0 4 11 Aug 26

Rett Angel (FR) 6 1 3 8 Nov 24

Jaminus (GB) 4 0 0 30 Jul 26

Solas (FR) 4 1 1 29 May 25

Zaur (IRE) 4 1 1 26 Sep 24

Alnoory Star (IRE) 4 0 1 3 Sep 24

Goodeveningmrbond (IRE) 4 0 1 10 Aug 24

Maine De Biran (FR) 3 0 1 13 Oct 26

Semeur 3 0 0 11 Aug 26

Divine Chrisnat (FR) 3 0 1 14 Jun 26

Lily Ofthe Kingdon (FR) 3 0 0 24 Mar 25

Vice Captain (GB) 3 0 2 20 Sep 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 135 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 6

Only 6 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

0000604378014

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardFrancois Monfort

30% of all rides
11.1% SR · A/E 1.37

TrainerRWSR£1

Francois Monfort 63 7 11.1% +0.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2018→

Archived wins

£252k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 5 wins

Zaur (IRE) — Prix du Chateau de Fontaine Henry (Claimer) (4yo+) (All-Weather Track) (Polytrack) Deauville (FR) · Jul 2023

£11,504

French Diva (FR) — Prix de la Gaillarderie (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Mar 2021

£11,161

Rett Angel (FR) — Prix de Vaureal (Claimer) (2yo) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2024

£10,435

Notable horses

Rebel Angel (GB) Rett Angel (FR) French Diva (FR) Solas (FR) Zaur (IRE) Got Flight (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Planteur (IRE) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,514 runs since 2008 (158 horses).

Recorder (GB) 16.7% · 1–6

Progeny have won 5.6% of 900 runs since 2008 (124 horses).

Acclamation (GB) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 10% of 19,684 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

George Vancouver (USA) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 5.9% of 1,171 runs since 2008 (132 horses). Weakest on Good going: 2.4% from 124.

Land Force (IRE) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,452 runs since 2008 (155 horses).

Pedro The Great (USA) 0% · 0–5

Progeny have won 7.6% of 1,223 runs since 2008 (160 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 230 · newest first

The latest 50 of 230 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 14 December 2018 to 13 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Libela Des Bambous (FR)T: N Paysan Prix Roger Simon13.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Maine De Biran (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Pierre De La Bassetiere9.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Bugatti Desjy (FR)T: T Poche Prix Blanpain De Saint-mars17f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 5th 28/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Bygoudine (FR)T: J Planque Prix Yves Priouzeau9.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 33/1

13 Oct 26 Les Sables-d'Olonne (FR) Diamonds (FR)T: T Poche Prix Geores Batiot9.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 6/1

08 Oct 26 Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) Guapak (FR)T: N Paysan Prix Pierre ValentinClass 4 · 9.5f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 16/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Peluquero (FR)T: E Libaud Prix D'ecouche9.5f · Good · 13 ran 6th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Argentan (FR) Powder (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Philippe De Bourgoing14.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 33/1

28 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Kipchogua (FR)T: A Nail Prix Pigeon Tp Loire Anjou (Prix Yves Lalleman)12f · Very Soft · 13 ran 11th 100/1

27 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Miryacale (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Juge Tp (Prix Volney)8f · Very Soft · 12 ran 10th 66/1

21 Sep 26 Angers (FR) Private Daisy (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Brantome8f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 8/1

20 Sep 26 Fontainebleau (FR) Cherry Pie (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Radio Evasion (Prix De La Table Du Grand Maitre)11f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 16/1

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Mdidjo (FR)T: B Lefevre Prix Des Dragages Du Val De Loire15f · Good · 9 ran 9th 22/1

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Mavoila De Paix (FR)T: B Hardou Prix M.t.m. (Prix De La Blisiere)15f · Good · 8 ran 4th 17/2

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Spring Bank (FR)T: Gregoire Juillet Prix Du ChateauClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 12 ran 12th 40/1

19 Sep 26 Senonnes-Pouance (FR) Balina Gary (FR)T: D Cadot Prix De La Roche Aux FeesClass 4 · 10.5f · Good · 11 ran 4th 11/2

11 Sep 26 Le Mans (FR) Marquise Vera (FR)T: Stephane Chevalier Prix Bernard ChausseClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 15 ran 3rd 9/1

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Twenty Seven Jet (FR)T: J R Moine Prix # Race And CareClass 4 · 11f · Heavy · 16 ran 14th 22/1

05 Sep 26 Craon (FR) Miryacale (FR)T: E Libaud Prix Carpenter (Prix Du Lude)8f · Heavy · 9 ran 9th 40/1

04 Sep 26 Le Lion-D'Angers (FR) Kipchogua (FR)T: A Nail Prix Du Petit Port15f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Antoine Subias's strike rate?: Antoine Subias has won 10 of 209 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 4.8% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Antoine Subias do best at?: Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 32 rides (6.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Antoine Subias ride most for?: Francois Monfort, with 63 rides since 2022 — 30% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (11.1%).
Is Antoine Subias in form?: Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 6 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Antoine Subias's Fair A/E?: 0.78, from 207 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.