What is David Cottin's strike rate?

David Cottin has won 289 of 1,700 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does David Cottin do best at?

Pau by strike rate: 29 wins from 56 rides (51.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does David Cottin ride most for?

F-M Cottin, with 224 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (12.5%).

What is David Cottin's Fair A/E?

1.03, from 1,479 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

David Cottin

1,700 rides in the lifetime window · 859 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Jun 2017 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

289–1,700

Wins / Runs

17%

Strike rate

n=1,700

584 (34%)

Placed

1.03

Fair A/E

n=1,479 · 0.94 incl. margin

−140.41

£1 level stake

n=1,579 at SP · −8.9%

£15.8m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

21.4%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 170 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.03). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 26% (261 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,700 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Nov–Jan 33.9% when favourite F-M Cottin: 12.5% from 224 LTO winners: 26.1% Rode the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Pau (51.8%, n=56), clear of the rider's 17% baseline. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.1% (n=261, Fair A/E 1.09), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 10% (n=440, Fair A/E 1.04). F-M Cottin supplied 13% of the rides and sits below the rider's average (12.5% vs 17%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly off a 0-7-day break — 5.9% over 34 rides, 11.1pts below the baseline. 82 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix La Haye Jousselin at Auteuil (FR) (Nov 2010, £207,080). The standout partner of the record was Gemix (FR) — 7 wins from 18 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Nov–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

16.6%−0.4

n=856 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −33.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

26.1%+9.1

n=261 · A/E 1.09 · £1 +13.37

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16.8%−0.2

n=501 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −102.80

When favourite

33.9%

n=304 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −1.81

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

0%−17.0

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Big fields · 14+ runners

10%−7.0

n=440 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −38.88

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

15.9%−1.1

n=515 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −94.11

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Pau 51.8% vs 17% · n=56

With G Macaire 32% vs 17% · n=103

On last-time-out winners 26.1% vs 17% · n=261

With J Bertran De Balanda 5.1% vs 17% · n=39

Off a 0-7-day break 5.9% vs 17% · n=34

With C&D winners 21.7% vs 17% · n=447

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 916 147 16% −86.93

Chase 767 136 17.7% −58.68

Flat 17 6 35.3% +5.20

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 1,117 185 16.6% −167.23

Heavy 530 92 17.4% +31.52

Good to Soft 25 6 24% +2.70

Good 16 3 18.8% −7.00

Standard (AW) 10 3 30% +0.60

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Auteuil (FR) 1,186 187 15.8% −141.51

Enghien (FR) 333 41 12.3% −70.90

Pau 56 29 51.8% +56.30

Compiegne 25 9 36% +8.60

Cagnes-Sur-Mer 17 6 35.3% +23.00

Clairefontaine 13 2 15.4% −11.00

Le Lion-D'Angers 10 3 30% +7.20

Lyon Parilly 10 3 30% +0.90

Dieppe 9 2 22.2% −0.70

Cheltenham 7 0 0% −7.00

Toulouse 5 0 0% −3.00

Fontainebleau 4 2 50% −0.60

Vichy 4 0 0% −3.00

Craon (FR) 4 0 0% −4.00

Argentan 2 1 50% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 516 82 15.9% −95.11

Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 317 106 33.4% 0.92 −4.31

2nd–3rd fav 456 95 20.8% 1.23 +36.30

4th–6th fav 486 36 7.4% 0.92 −122.00

7th+ in betting 320 12 3.8% 0.98 −50.40

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

75.8% completed · 1,683 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 767 77.2% 32 2 139 0 2

Hurdle 916 74.6% 31 0 181 0 21

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Gemix (FR) 18 7 16 1 Nov 14

Rubi Ball (FR) 17 7 11 8 Oct 12

Shannon Rock (FR) 16 1 8 8 Nov 15

Palmier (FR) 14 3 6 20 May 12

Mavireenne (FR) 12 4 5 10 May 12

Perly De Clermont (FR) 11 5 7 15 Jun 16

Wetak (FR) 11 2 4 17 Oct 14

Blue Dragon (FR) 10 5 8 11 Jun 17

Parigny (FR) 10 1 1 29 Mar 14

King's Socks (FR) 9 2 7 12 Jun 16

Trempolin (FR) 9 1 3 13 Nov 13

Tidara Angel (IRE) 9 4 4 21 Nov 12

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 859 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 5 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

533315182011141415121928

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardF-M Cottin

13% of all rides
12.5% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

F-M Cottin 224 28 12.5% −15.40

G Cherel 184 30 16.3% −11.43

J Ortet 139 28 20.1% −42.78

G Macaire 103 33 32% −8.50

N Bertran De Balanda 80 18 22.5% −1.10

P Cottin 69 16 23.2% +16.00

Robert Collet 57 6 10.5% −8.90

P Peltier 51 8 15.7% −16.30

Emmanuel Clayeux 48 10 20.8% +6.40

Artus Adeline De Boisbrunet 48 7 14.6% −7.20

J-P Gallorini 47 7 14.9% −9.20

Yannick Fouin 41 8 19.5% −11.40

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

296

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£15.9m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 52 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rubi Ball (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2010 · Grade 1

£207,080

Rubi Ball (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2011 · Grade 1

£201,724

Shannon Rock (FR) — Prix La Haye Jousselin (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Nov 2013 · Grade 1

£201,220

Notable horses

Gemix (FR) Rubi Ball (FR) Saint Palois (FR) Long Run (FR) Perly De Clermont (FR) Blue Dragon (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Saint Des Saints (FR) 30.8% · 20–65

Progeny have won 15% of 5,352 runs since 2008 (643 horses).

Poliglote (GB) 27.3% · 15–55

Progeny have won 15.6% of 4,224 runs since 2008 (417 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.8% from 234. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 19% from 691. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.1% from 196.

Kapgarde (FR) 13.3% · 6–45

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,618 runs since 2008 (724 horses).

Turgeon (USA) 6.7% · 3–45

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,187 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.9% from 267.

Martaline (GB) 20.5% · 8–39

Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,345 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.

Califet (FR) 27.8% · 10–36

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,793 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,718 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,718 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 8 October 2006 to 11 June 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

11 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Blue Dragon (FR)T: G Cherel Grande Course de Haies d'Auteuil (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)25.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 13/10F

05 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Complicated (FR)T: J-Y Artu Prix Quo Vadis (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 16 ran 6th 17/5F

05 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Liberatore (FR)T: Mme I Gallorini Prix Miror (Hurdle) () (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran PU 51/10

05 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Pyromane (FR)T: Mme P Butel Prix du Boulonnais (Chase) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 8 ran 2nd 9/10F

05 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Baraka De Thaix (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Jean Victor (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 123/10

05 Jun 17 Auteuil (FR) Ellen Des Mottes (FR)T: J-P Gallorini Prix Bois Rouaud (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)15f · Very Soft · 8 ran 3rd 9/5

31 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Prince Donegal (FR)T: J-Y Artu Prix Beaumanoir (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)17.5f · Soft · 16 ran PU 13/1

31 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Demopolis (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Rocking Chair (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)15f · Soft · 13 ran 1st 17/2

26 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Hippomene (FR)T: Mme I Gallorini Prix Melinoir (Hurdle) (Conditions) (5yo+) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 13 ran 3rd 29/10

21 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Dica De Thaix (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Ferdinand Dufaure (Chase) (4yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 10 ran 5th 31/10

21 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Ma Chere Amie (FR)T: D Sourdeau De Beauregard Prix d'Arles (Hurdle) () (4-5yo Fillies & Mares) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 10 ran F 122/10

21 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Mali Borgia (FR)T: P Cottin Grand Steeple-Chase de Paris (Chase) (5yo ) (Turf)30f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 119/10

21 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Doujani (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Ex Voto (Hurdle) (Conditions) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 17 ran 3rd 7/2

21 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Ajas (FR)T: P Cottin Prix Stanley (Hurdle) () (3yo Colts & Geldings) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 9 ran PU 11/10F

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Izzo (GER)T: Carina Fey Prix After Foot RMC - Prix Questarabad (Hurdle) (4yo) (Turf)19.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran 3rd 6/1

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Baraka De Thaix (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Pot d'Or (Chase) (Handicap) (5yo+) (Turf)18.5f · Very Soft · 14 ran 1st 17/2

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Protekapril (FR)T: G Cherel Prix les Grandes Gueules du Sport - Prix la Barka (Hurdle) (5yo+) (Turf)21.5f · Very Soft · 10 ran 4th 111/10

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Goddess Freja (FR)T: P Cottin Prix le Parisien - Prix le Guales de Mezaubran (Hurdle) (Listed Handicap) (4yo) (Turf)18f · Very Soft · 15 ran PU 30/1

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Crack De Reve (FR)T: G Cherel Prix Radio Brunet (Prix Aristote) (Chase) (Conditions) (5yo) (Turf)22f · Very Soft · 7 ran 2nd 9/10F

20 May 17 Auteuil (FR) Speyside (FR)T: G Cherel Prix du Nivernais (Hurdle) (Conditions) (3yo Fillies) (Turf)17.5f · Very Soft · 11 ran PU 44/5

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Cottin's strike rate?: David Cottin has won 289 of 1,700 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 17% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Cottin do best at?: Pau by strike rate: 29 wins from 56 rides (51.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does David Cottin ride most for?: F-M Cottin, with 224 rides since 2008 — 13% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (12.5%).
What is David Cottin's Fair A/E?: 1.03, from 1,479 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.