No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
20–135
Wins / Runs
14.8%
Strike rate
n=135
26 (19%)
Placed
1.32
Fair A/E
n=120 · 1.19 incl. margin
+1.70
£1 level stake
n=131 at SP · +1.3%
£725k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
29.2%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 10 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 15% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.32). Debutants are a strength: 17% on first career starts (36 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 135 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceDavid Cottin: 23.2% from 69
The read
It is weakest at Auteuil (FR) (10.3% over 87 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. David Cottin rode 51% of the entries and beats the yard's average (23.2% vs 14.8%, A/E 1.60) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly over 2m1f – 2m4f — 9.3% over 75 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Grand Prix de Pau-Biraben Foie Gras Chase) at Pau (FR) (Jan 2014, £60,000).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 14.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
12.5%−2.3
n=48 · A/E 1.60 · £1 +11.90
New recruits · first run for the yard
14.3%−0.5
n=21 · A/E 2.44 · £1 +14.70
Debutants · first career start
16.7%+1.9
n=36 · A/E 1.34 · £1 +5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
8.3%−6.5
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−14.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
20%
n=10 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −4.60
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−14.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
19.2%+4.4
n=26 · A/E 0.83 · £1 +2.70
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With David Cottin23.2% vs 14.8% · n=69
Over 2m1f – 2m4f9.3% vs 14.8% · n=75
At Auteuil (FR)10.3% vs 14.8% · n=87
On Heavy going17.5% vs 14.8% · n=40
In Hurdle races13.2% vs 14.8% · n=53 · A/E 1.52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Chase771215.6%+12.10
Hurdle53713.2%−8.50
Flat5120%−1.90
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Soft871213.8%+0.90
Heavy40717.5%−0.70
Good to Soft5120%+4.50
Good300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Auteuil (FR)87910.3%−17.50
Enghien (FR)1616.3%−11.90
Pau14750%+13.40
Le Lion-D'Angers (FR)4125%−0.30
Dieppe300%−2.00
Craon3133.3%+5.50
Saint-Cloud (FR)200%−2.00
Saint-Galmier100%−1.00
Cheltenham100%−1.00
Fontainebleau100%−1.00
Nantes (FR)100%−1.00
Vittel100%—
Compiegne (FR)11100%+20.50
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 126519.2%+2.70
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite11218.2%0.39−5.60
2nd–3rd fav291137.9%2.05+18.10
4th–6th fav3638.3%1.19+3.30
7th+ in betting5523.6%1.29−14.10
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f7579.3%−30.80
2m5f – 3m31516.1%+5.80
Over 3m18527.8%+11.80
1m5f – 2m9333.3%+16.90
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20109111.1%+0.50
201117317.6%+9.20
20121218.3%−11.00
201319526.3%+0.50
20148225%+9.20
20151400%−14.00
20163213.1%−27.90
201724729.2%+35.20
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1815.6%−12.20
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners40512.5%−4.70
11-13 runners3013.3%−16.00
17+ runners1915.3%−13.20
14-16 runners18316.7%+27.40
5-7 runners16531.3%−0.50
2-4 runners12541.7%+8.70
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
All 57 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 57 horses listed, 21 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Delzangles (2) and Mme Pia Brandt (2); 36 had their first archived run for this yard.
15 have since run for another yard, most often for D Cottin (10); 42 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
5010016220500801333
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
21
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£732k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 7 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Kalmonto (FR) — Grand Prix de Pau-Biraben Foie Gras (Prix Andre Labarrere) Chase) Pau (FR) · Jan 2014 · Grade 3
£60,000
Mali Borgia (FR) — Prix Robert de Clermont-Tonnerre (Chase) (5yo+) (Turf) Auteuil (FR) · Mar 2017 · Grade 3
£59,615
Rochmi Du Mont (FR) — Grand Prix de Pau - Biraben Foie Gras (Andre Labarrere) Pau · Jan 2013 · Grade 3
Progeny have won 8.9% of 1,241 runs since 2008 (143 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 4.6% from 197. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 125.
Invincible Spirit (IRE)33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,807 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Passing Sale (FR)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.3% of 666 runs since 2008 (91 horses).
Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,797 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.
Adnaan (IRE)0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.4% of 135 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 140 · newest first
The latest 50 of 140 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 June 2005 to 3 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is P Cottin's strike rate?
P Cottin has won 20 of 135 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 14.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does P Cottin do best at?
Auteuil (FR) by strike rate: 9 wins from 87 runners (10.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for P Cottin?
David Cottin, with 69 runners since 2008 — 51% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (23.2%).
What is P Cottin's Fair A/E?
1.32, from 120 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
P Cottin·SR 14.8%·A/E 1.32
KTB
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