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Jockey profile

Davy Bonilla

1,156 rides in the lifetime window · 553 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Apr 2016 100% of rides on the flat
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
165–1,156
Wins / Runs
14.3%
Strike rate
n=1,156
322 (28%)
Placed
1.18
n=835 · 1.09 incl. margin
+116.63
£1 level stake
n=882 at SP · +13.2%
£5.86m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 130 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 14% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,156 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr 32.5% when favourite F Head: 20.9% from 301 Rode the favourite in 7% of races
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 7.6% (n=445, Fair A/E 1.20). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 13.4% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.47 and +80.70 to a £1 stake over 299 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 15.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −31.62 to a £1 stake over 172 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. F Head supplied 26% of the rides and beats the rider's average (20.9% vs 14.3%, A/E 1.16) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well off a break of 180+ days (19.6%, n=107) and on Heavy going (18.6%, n=140). The market has also underrated the rider off a 31-60-day break: Fair A/E 1.30 across 231 rides (18.2% strike, +88.48 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a 61-180-day break — 9.9% over 192 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. 62 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Prix du Haras de Fresnay-le-Buffard - Jacques le Marois at Deauville (FR) (Aug 2008, £252,088). The standout partner of the record was Marchand D'Or (FR) — 11 wins from 34 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 14.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.7%−1.6
n=527 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −3.70
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
15.1%+0.8
n=172 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −31.62
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
13.4%−0.9
n=299 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +80.70
When favourite
32.5%
n=80 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +12.63
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0%−14.3
n=2 · A/E — · £1 —
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.6%−6.7
n=445 · A/E 1.20 · £1 +16.05
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
13.9%−0.4
n=302 · A/E 1.28 · £1 +102.83

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 14.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With F Head 20.9% vs 14.3% · n=301
Off a break of 180+ days 19.6% vs 14.3% · n=107
Off a 61-180-day break 9.9% vs 14.3% · n=192
On Heavy going 18.6% vs 14.3% · n=140
Off a 31-60-day break 18.2% vs 14.3% · n=231
With debutants 10.4% vs 14.3% · n=183
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 1,155 165 14.3% +116.63
NH Flat 1 0 0% —

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 343 41 12% −32.50
Soft 283 43 15.2% +77.15
Good to Soft 231 37 16% +30.28
Standard (AW) 152 16 10.5% −12.30
Heavy 140 26 18.6% +57.80
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% −5.00
Firm 1 1 100% +1.20

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Longchamp (FR) 272 32 11.8% +18.10
Saint-Cloud (FR) 230 33 14.3% −15.70
Deauville 230 30 13% +26.93
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 174 19 10.9% +10.20
Chantilly (FR) 111 18 16.2% +33.90
Cagnes-Sur-Mer 24 5 20.8% +0.90
Vichy 19 6 31.6% +44.20
Marseille Borely 11 5 45.5% −2.10
Lyon Parilly 10 2 20% +5.30
Fontainebleau 10 1 10% −2.00
Clairefontaine 8 2 25% −3.00
Bordeaux Le Bouscat (FR) 7 1 14.3% −4.00
Compiegne (FR) 7 1 14.3% −2.00
Le Lion-D'Angers 5 0 0% −3.00
Toulouse (FR) 5 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 302 42 13.9% +102.83

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 85 27 31.8% 0.98 +12.63
2nd–3rd fav 163 29 17.8% 1.13 +50.20
4th–6th fav 232 28 12.1% 1.47 +95.00
7th+ in betting 402 16 4% 1.12 −41.20
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Marchand D'Or (FR) 22 6 9 16 Sep 12
Fastmambo (USA) 16 3 5 14 Aug 11
Watar (IRE) 15 4 8 14 Jul 11
Galixi (FR) 12 0 1 12 Mar 11
Enverse (FR) 11 1 3 18 Dec 14
Marinous (FR) 11 3 4 30 Apr 11
Trois Rois (FR) 11 3 4 25 Sep 09
Ile De Re (FR) 10 2 5 23 May 11
Galeo Des Flandres (FR) 10 2 7 24 Oct 10
Almail (USA) 10 1 3 17 Oct 10
Cat Nova (FR) 9 3 3 11 Nov 11
Naabegha (GB) 9 2 4 30 May 11
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 553 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 4 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
926162012918151211158
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardF Head
26% of all rides
20.9% SR · A/E 1.16
TrainerRWSR£1
F Head 301 63 20.9% +37.18
Y Barberot 64 11 17.2% +17.00
R Laplanche 59 7 11.9% −17.00
C Laffon-Parias 51 5 9.8% +6.80
C Lerner 31 4 12.9% −11.30
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
249
Archived wins
62
Pattern / graded wins
£8.35m
Prize money
2008
Best season · 45 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Tamayuz (GB) — Prix du Haras de Fresnay-le-Buffard - Jacques le Marois (Colts & Fillies) (Straight) Deauville (FR) · Aug 2008 · Group 1
£252,088
Marchand D'or (FR) — Darley July Cup (Group 1) Newmarket · Jul 2008 · Group 1
£227,080
Tamayuz (GB) — Abu Dhabi Sorouh Prix Jean Prat (Colts & Fillies) Chantilly (FR) · Jul 2008 · Group 1
£168,059

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Marchand De Sable (USA) 20.6% · 7–34
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,093 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.2% from 167. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.8% from 148.
Numerous (USA) 14.7% · 5–34
Progeny have won 8.2% of 723 runs since 2008 (95 horses).
Linamix (FR) 25% · 7–28
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Anabaa (USA) 19.2% · 5–26
Progeny have won 11% of 2,519 runs since 2008 (256 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.8% from 243. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 255.
Verglas (IRE) 15.4% · 4–26
Progeny have won 10.2% of 6,977 runs since 2008 (499 horses).
Medicean (GB) 20% · 4–20
Progeny have won 10.4% of 9,890 runs since 2008 (682 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,610 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,610 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 10 March 2005 to 20 April 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Davy Bonilla's strike rate?
Davy Bonilla has won 165 of 1,156 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 14.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Davy Bonilla do best at?
Chantilly (FR) by strike rate: 18 wins from 111 rides (16.2%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Davy Bonilla ride most for?
F Head, with 301 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 63 (20.9%).
What is Davy Bonilla's Fair A/E?
1.18, from 835 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).