What is James Tate's strike rate?

James Tate has won 197 of 1,139 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Tate do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 31 wins from 122 runners (25.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Tate?

Rossa Ryan, with 154 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (21.4%).

Is James Tate in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is James Tate's Fair A/E?

1.07, from 1,128 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Tate

1,139 runners in the last 5 seasons · 213 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 4.6% of 327 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 21 Oct 2026.

Last runner 2 days ago 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

197–1,139

Wins / Runs

17.3%

Strike rate

n=1,139

451 (40%)

Placed

1.07

Fair A/E

n=1,128 · 0.92 incl. margin

−133.89

£1 level stake

n=1,139 at SP · −11.8%

£2.71m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

14%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 230 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.07). With a claiming rider up the record reads 20% (35 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,139 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jan–Mar Fresh horses: 18.9% 39.3% when favourite Rossa Ryan: 21.4% from 154 Claiming riders: 20% Sends off the favourite in 18% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Southwell (AW) (25.4%, n=122), clear of the yard's 17.3% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 11.7% (n=94, Fair A/E 1.11). Rossa Ryan rides 14% of the entries and edges the yard's average (21.4% vs 17.3%, A/E 1.08) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record reads poorly on Soft going — 10.7% over 56 runners, 6.6pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.84 across 202 runners (12.4% strike, −45.71 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 33 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes at Newmarket (Oct 2019, £81,165). The stable star of the record: Mount Athos (GB) — 8 wins from 26 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jan–Mar.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 17.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

18.9%+1.6

n=175 · A/E 1.13 · £1 +16.14

New recruits · first run for the yard

21.4%+4.1

n=14 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +35.50

Debutants · first career start

14.7%−2.6

n=184 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −31.89

First-time headgear · true-first definition

14.3%−3.0

n=56 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +37.10

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−17.3

n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00

When favourite

39.3%

n=206 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −9.10

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

20%+2.7

n=35 · A/E 1.39 · £1 −9.93

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

11.7%−5.6

n=94 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −6.77

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 17.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Southwell (AW) 25.4% vs 17.3% · n=122

With Billy Loughnane 8.5% vs 17.3% · n=47

With James Doyle 26.5% vs 17.3% · n=34

On last-time-out winners 23.2% vs 17.3% · n=185

On Soft going 10.7% vs 17.3% · n=56

On Good going 12.4% vs 17.3% · n=202

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,138 197 17.3% −132.89

NH Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 656 126 19.2% −52.17

Good 202 25 12.4% −45.71

Good to Firm 157 27 17.2% −46.13

Good to Soft 60 11 18.3% +1.30

Soft 56 6 10.7% +9.41

Heavy 7 1 14.3% −1.50

Firm 1 1 100% +0.91

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 159 29 18.2% −43.63

Kempton (AW) 139 25 18% +7.36

Southwell (AW) 122 31 25.4% +47.63

Chelmsford City (AW) 100 19 19% −4.43

Lingfield (AW) 73 12 16.4% −37.06

Newcastle (AW) 51 8 15.7% −19.44

Yarmouth 34 5 14.7% −10.98

Windsor 33 7 21.2% −0.75

Thirsk 31 4 12.9% −19.59

Sandown 26 7 26.9% +34.12

Newmarket 26 3 11.5% −11.17

Ripon 26 4 15.4% −12.29

Doncaster 25 3 12% −18.01

Haydock 25 3 12% −7.00

Nottingham 25 3 12% −10.92

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 416 85 20.4% −39.48

Class 4 349 61 17.5% −60.74

Class 3 111 19 17.1% −1.06

Class 1 94 11 11.7% −6.77

Class 2 93 11 11.8% −41.50

Class 6 75 10 13.3% +16.66

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 224 88 39.3% 1.13 −2.77

2nd–3rd fav 394 72 18.3% 1.00 −72.12

4th–6th fav 345 30 8.7% 1.04 −17.00

7th+ in betting 176 7 4% 1.13 −42.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

King Of Ithaca (GB)from Marco Botti 31 5 13 8 Oct 26

Mount Athos (GB) 26 8 15 10 Apr 26

Stanley Spencer (IRE)then Fionn McSharry 25 4 11 2 Apr 26

Cloud Cover (IRE) 20 8 12 30 Jul 25

Flying Frontier (GB) 19 4 7 25 Sep 26

New Definition (GB)then Richard John O'Brien 17 2 8 21 Sep 23

Blue Rc (IRE) 15 4 10 16 Sep 26

Kullazain (GB) 14 2 4 19 Oct 26

Star Of Mali (IRE) 13 3 8 19 Oct 26

Storm Free (GB) 13 4 8 25 Sep 26

City Of Poets (IRE) 13 5 9 12 Sep 26

Electric Storm (IRE) 13 4 8 11 Jul 25

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 213 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for Antony Brittain (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

2 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

242624121015142017182715

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRossa Ryan

14% of all rides
21.4% SR · A/E 1.08

RiderRWSR£1

Rossa Ryan 154 33 21.4% −1.99

Neil Callan 139 27 19.4% +8.99

Clifford Lee 125 28 22.4% −4.71

Hector Crouch 74 16 21.6% +11.73

P J McDonald 47 7 14.9% −8.33

Billy Loughnane 47 4 8.5% −21.79

James Doyle 34 9 26.5% −4.22

Jason Watson 32 6 18.8% −3.67

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

628

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.56m

Prize money

2019

Best season · 74 wins

Under The Stars (IRE) — 150,000 Tattersalls October Auction Stakes Newmarket · Oct 2019 · Class 2

£81,165

Cloud Cover (IRE) — BetMGM Fillies' And Mares' Championships Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Mar 2024 · Class 2

£77,310

Invincible Army (IRE) — Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes (Group 2) York · May 2019 · Group 2

£70,888

Notable horses

Mount Athos (GB) Cloud Cover (IRE) Lamar (IRE) Shimmering Dawn (IRE) Invincible Army (IRE) Top Ranked (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Night Of Thunder (IRE) 31.3% · 20–64

Progeny have won 16.3% of 5,069 runs since 2008 (562 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7% from 157.

Iffraaj (GB) 18.2% · 10–55

Progeny have won 10.6% of 13,951 runs since 2008 (1,089 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.6% from 489.

Dark Angel (IRE) 18.9% · 10–53

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,878 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Blue Point (IRE) 10.2% · 5–49

Progeny have won 14% of 3,386 runs since 2008 (412 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17% from 335. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 10.7% from 206.

Shamardal (USA) 21.7% · 10–46

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Farhh (GB) 26.3% · 10–38

Progeny have won 13.7% of 1,800 runs since 2008 (164 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,787 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,787 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 December 2011 to 19 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sterling Fortune (GB)J: P. J. McDonald bettingsites.co.uk New Betting Sites Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 1st 18/1

19 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Grey Tamam (IRE)J: Luke Morris bettingsites.co.uk Free Bets Offers Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 10/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Kullazain (GB)J: Clifford Lee Cavani Best Dressed Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 5/1

19 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Of Mali (IRE)J: Clifford Lee Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 4/1

19 Oct 26 Pontefract Palace Legacy (GB)J: David Allan British Stallion Studs Ebf Silver Tankard Stakes (Listed Race)Class 1 · 8f · Heavy · 8 ran 8th 100/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Sayidah Dubawi (IRE)J: Callum Shepherd Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 9/1

13 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Blue Point Gold (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/1

13 Oct 26 Leicester Wedyan (IRE)J: Rossa Ryan British EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 5/2J

11 Oct 26 Goodwood Caburn (IRE)J: Hector Crouch Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Handicap StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 9th 11/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) King Of Ithaca (GB)J: Rob Hornby Download The At The Races App Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 18/1

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) One For Bruce (GB)J: Hector Crouch bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

06 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Champion Crown (IRE)J: David Allan bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 3 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 150/1

06 Oct 26 Leicester Woodvale (GB)J: Rossa Ryan Alan & Sarah #laughterloft Legends Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran 1st 4/5F

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Preferred (GB)J: David Probert Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 22/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Without You (GB)J: David Probert Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com EBF Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 28/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Birkacre Brow (GB)J: David Probert Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 25/1

05 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Out Of This World (GB)J: David Probert Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 8.5f · Standard · 6 ran 5th 7/1

05 Oct 26 Kempton (AW) Zabeel Express (IRE)J: James Doyle Unibet More Extra Place Races EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 8f · Standard / Slow · 8 ran 6th 6/1

02 Oct 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Star Of Mali (IRE)J: Luke Morris Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 11/4

01 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Lady Kodiac (IRE)J: Harry Vigors Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 100/30

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Tate's strike rate?: James Tate has won 197 of 1,139 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 17.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Tate do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 31 wins from 122 runners (25.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Tate?: Rossa Ryan, with 154 runners since 2022 — 14% of the total. That pairing has won 33 (21.4%).
Is James Tate in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is James Tate's Fair A/E?: 1.07, from 1,128 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.