What is Dean Curran's strike rate?

Dean Curran has won 14 of 277 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Dean Curran do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 87 rides (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Dean Curran's Fair A/E?

1.00, from 277 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Dean Curran

277 rides in the lifetime window · 165 individual horses

As at 15 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2023 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2017→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

14–277

Wins / Runs

5.1%

Strike rate

n=277

43 (16%)

Placed

1.00

Fair A/E

n=277 · 0.79 incl. margin

−132.50

£1 level stake

n=277 at SP · −47.8%

£162k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.1%

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 10 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 5% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.00).

Deterministic profile computed from 277 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 5.5%

The read

The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 3% strike, Fair A/E 0.67 and −83.00 to a £1 stake over 165 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.5% over 65 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

3%−2.1

n=165 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −83.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

50%+44.9

n=10 · A/E 2.37 · £1 +11.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

5.5%+0.4

n=55 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −28.50

When favourite

28.6%

n=7 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −3.83

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.1%+0.0

n=275 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −130.50

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.8%−2.3

n=180 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −134.67

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.1

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With C&D winners 15.4% vs 5.1% · n=39

With D J Bunyan 15% vs 5.1% · n=40

On Good going 1.5% vs 5.1% · n=65

With Gerard O'Leary 8.7% vs 5.1% · n=46

At Dundalk (AW) 8% vs 5.1% · n=87

On Standard (AW) going 8% vs 5.1% · n=87

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 87 7 8% −39.33

Soft 74 5 6.8% −34.67

Good 65 1 1.5% −14.00

Good to Soft 22 1 4.5% −15.50

Heavy 20 0 0% −20.00

Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Dundalk (AW) 87 7 8% −39.33

Curragh 37 1 2.7% −28.00

Naas 27 0 0% −27.00

Navan 19 0 0% −19.00

Gowran Park 18 2 11.1% −7.67

Leopardstown 14 1 7.1% +37.00

Cork 12 0 0% −12.00

Fairyhouse 11 0 0% −11.00

Bellewstown 8 1 12.5% −1.50

Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00

Roscommon 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Down Royal 6 0 0% −6.00

Galway 6 0 0% −6.00

Limerick 4 0 0% −4.00

Sligo 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 10 3 30% 1.13 −2.50

2nd–3rd fav 18 3 16.7% 1.23 −2.50

4th–6th fav 49 6 12.2% 1.66 +6.50

7th+ in betting 200 2 1% 0.38 −134.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Cursory Exam (GB) 8 0 0 22 Nov 23

Primo Uomo (IRE) 8 1 3 2 Jul 23

The Aul Dubliner (IRE) 8 0 0 14 Jan 22

Buddy Batt (IRE) 7 1 2 27 Oct 23

You Owe Me Money (IRE) 6 2 3 10 Nov 23

Clan Jock (IRE) 6 0 2 26 Nov 21

Jabbar (IRE) 5 2 3 6 Oct 23

Nebulla (GB) 5 0 0 3 Sep 22

Able Jack (GB) 5 0 1 27 Oct 21

Aloysius Lilius (IRE) 4 0 1 5 Jul 23

Rusla (IRE) 4 0 0 7 Jul 21

Bellepower (IRE) 4 0 1 24 Jan 20

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 165 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

153080130534000

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardGerard O'Leary

17% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 1.44

TrainerRWSR£1

Gerard O'Leary 46 4 8.7% −7.50

D J Bunyan 40 6 15% +1.83

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2017→

Archived wins

£162k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 7 wins

Red Linn (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Leopardstown · Jul 2021

£14,750

Buddy Batt (IRE) — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden Bellewstown · Aug 2023

£11,800

Elzaam Blue (IRE) — View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Feb 2023

£7,080

Notable horses

You Owe Me Money (IRE) Jabbar (IRE) Yuften (GB) Primo Uomo (IRE) Buddy Batt (IRE) Pretty Rebel (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Awtaad (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 11.5% of 2,891 runs since 2020 (210 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.7% from 104. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6% from 117.

Iffraaj (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 10.5% of 13,998 runs since 2010 (1,092 horses).

Mehmas (IRE) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.5% of 8,236 runs since 2020 (748 horses).

Alhebayeb (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 8.3% of 2,639 runs since 2018 (160 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 11.7% from 179. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 11.5% from 253.

Born To Sea (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,298 runs since 2016 (310 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.5% from 869. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 725.

Due Diligence (USA) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.3% of 2,565 runs since 2019 (194 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 277 · newest first

The latest 50 of 277 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 22 October 2017 to 22 November 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Cursory Exam (GB)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Dundalk Stadium Celebrates 20 Years 29th November Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 25/1

17 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Together Aclaim (GB)T: John C McConnell Bar One Racing 'Price Boosts Across All Channels' Apprentice Handicap (47-65) (Div 2)12f · Standard · 14 ran 10th 25/1

15 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Twotwo And Two (FR)T: James Leavy View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Median Auction Maiden (Div 1)7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 66/1

10 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) You Owe Me Money (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Bar One Racing 'Guaranteed Overnight Prices' Apprentice Handicap (47-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 5th 16/1

10 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Reinforce (IRE)T: Daniel James Murphy Bar One Racing 'Bet 10 Euro Get 50 Euro Sign Up Offer' Maiden5f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 12/1

08 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Apachetwohundred (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Book Online At DundalkStadium.com Nursery Handicap6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 22/1

08 Nov 23 Dundalk (AW) Wooden Head (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Claiming Race6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 8/1

05 Nov 23 Curragh Betty Grey (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Maiden12f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 150/1

05 Nov 23 Curragh Real Force (GB)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Sheehy Motors Volkswagen Race7f · Heavy · 5 ran 3rd 13/2

30 Oct 23 Galway Betty Grey (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Corrib Food Products Maiden7f · Heavy · 13 ran 10th 66/1

30 Oct 23 Galway You Owe Me Money (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary KONE Handicap (50-80)8.5f · Heavy · 15 ran 6th 18/1

27 Oct 23 Dundalk (AW) Buddy Batt (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Book Now Nursery Handicap5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 8/1

18 Oct 23 Navan Mehman (GB)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Blackcastle Handicap (50-85)5f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 14/1

18 Oct 23 Navan Apachetwohundred (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden5.5f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 6th 50/1

07 Oct 23 Curragh Speckled Meadow (IRE)T: Don Browne Derek O'Sullivan Race 50th Anniversary Apprentice Handicap8f · Soft · 19 ran 8th 18/1

07 Oct 23 Curragh Valentino Express (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Irish European Breeders Fund Median Sires Series Maiden6f · Soft · 13 ran 8th 50/1

06 Oct 23 Dundalk (AW) Jabbar (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Dundalk Stadium Handicap (47-75)10.5f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 8/1

06 Oct 23 Dundalk (AW) Buddy Batt (IRE)T: D J Bunyan & G O'Leary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Legacy Stakes (Listed)5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 125/1

04 Oct 23 Navan Stanhope (GB)T: John C McConnell Book Your Discounted Tickets On NavanRacecourse.ie Apprentice Handicap (47-65)5.5f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 16/1

14 Sep 23 Naas Buddy Batt (IRE)T: D J Bunyan TRM Calphormin Nursery Handicap5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 5th 5/2F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Dean Curran's strike rate?: Dean Curran has won 14 of 277 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.1% (as at 15 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Dean Curran do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 87 rides (8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Dean Curran's Fair A/E?: 1.00, from 277 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.