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Trainer profile

Thomas Mullins

676 runners in the last 5 seasons · 56 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
44–676
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=676
139 (21%)
Placed
0.93
Fair A/E
n=676 · 0.75 incl. margin
−222.63
£1 level stake
n=676 at SP · −32.9%
£696k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
6.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 140 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.93). With a claiming rider up the record reads 8% (244 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 676 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fires Sep–Oct 29% when favourite Danny Mullins: 7.1% from 112 Claiming riders: 8.2% Sends off the favourite in 5% of races
The read

The record is strongest at Clonmel (11.5%, n=52), clear of the yard's 6.5% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 0% (n=56, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −81.00 to a £1 stake over 104 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Danny Mullins rides 17% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.1%, A/E 0.73). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (13.9%, n=36). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 0% over 59 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 2m5f – 3m: Fair A/E 0.37 across 76 runners (2.6% strike, −55.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 37 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Whitewater Champion Stayers' Hurdle at Punchestown (Apr 2006, £124,000). The stable star of the record: Fosters Cross (IRE) — 13 wins from 104 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
3.8%−2.7
n=104 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −81.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.5
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
5.9%−0.6
n=34 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +50.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
4.3%−2.2
n=23 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −19.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.7%+1.2
n=39 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −11.50
When favourite
29%
n=31 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −3.17
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.2%+1.7
n=244 · A/E 1.23 · £1 −5.62
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.5
n=56 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −56.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
Off a 0-7-day break 13.9% vs 6.5% · n=36
In Class 1 0% vs 6.5% · n=59
In Group / Graded races 0% vs 6.5% · n=56
At Clonmel 11.5% vs 6.5% · n=52
With Jack Foley 1.8% vs 6.5% · n=56
Over 2m5f – 3m 2.6% vs 6.5% · n=76
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 293 24 8.2% +20.63
Hurdle 279 16 5.7% −180.01
Chase 67 3 4.5% −43.25
NH Flat 37 1 2.7% −20.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 263 14 5.3% −117.34
Good 184 16 8.7% −4.84
Heavy 122 7 5.7% −84.95
Good to Soft 72 4 5.6% +2.75
Standard (AW) 24 3 12.5% −7.25
Good to Firm 11 0 0% −11.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Leopardstown 84 5 6% +27.00
Punchestown 72 3 4.2% −63.42
Curragh 66 3 4.5% −39.00
Clonmel 52 6 11.5% −12.75
Galway 51 5 9.8% +16.75
Naas 46 2 4.3% −25.00
Fairyhouse 45 1 2.2% −36.50
Cork 39 3 7.7% −23.34
Gowran Park 28 3 10.7% +35.50
Killarney 27 2 7.4% −15.20
Dundalk (AW) 24 3 12.5% −7.25
Ballinrobe 22 2 9.1% −7.50
Tramore 18 2 11.1% −4.00
Thurles 14 2 14.3% −6.92
Listowel 13 0 0% −13.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 59 0 0% −59.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 42 13 31% 1.19 +0.91
2nd–3rd fav 77 8 10.4% 0.72 −34.04
4th–6th fav 209 18 8.6% 1.16 −31.50
7th+ in betting 348 5 1.4% 0.52 −158.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
San Aer (IRE)then Ross O'Sullivan 46 3 16 11 Aug 25
Takarengo (IRE)then James M Barcoe 35 0 11 11 Jun 25
C'est Rien (IRE) 33 1 5 13 Apr 25
Kimy (FR) 31 1 6 19 Oct 26
Morning Soldier (IRE) 28 0 5 8 Jul 24
Mount Shenshan (IRE)from C W J Farrell 27 2 7 1 Oct 26
Fascile Mode (IRE) 27 4 6 6 Dec 25
Space Warrior (IRE) 26 1 2 13 Oct 26
Dream Escape (GB) 25 1 4 11 Sep 25
Dazzling Spirit (IRE)then Mrs Denise Foster 22 4 6 15 Nov 23
Hey Johnny (IRE) 21 2 4 30 Nov 24
It Could Be You (IRE)then Clare Ellam 21 2 5 9 Jun 24
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for James M Barcoe (2) and Ross O'Sullivan (2); 44 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 9
Only 9 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
75429585111223
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny Mullins
17% of all rides
7.1% SR · A/E 0.73
RiderRWSR£1
Danny Mullins 112 8 7.1% −71.67
Mr C Mullins 74 3 4.1% −40.00
Jack Foley 56 1 1.8% −51.67
Ben Coen 36 3 8.3% −7.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
308
Archived wins
37
Pattern / graded wins
£6.41m
Prize money
2020
Best season · 21 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Asian Maze (IRE) — Whitewater Champion Stayers' Hurdle (G1) Punchestown · Apr 2006 · Grade 1
£124,000
Bob Lingo (IRE) — www.thetote.com Galway Plate (Grade A Handicap Chase) Galway · Aug 2012 · Grade A
£120,400
Asian Maze (IRE) — Scottish & Newcastle Aintree Hurdle (G1) Aintree · Apr 2006 · Class 1
£85,530
Notable horses
Fosters Cross (IRE) Grand Partner (IRE) Alderwood (IRE) Court Maid (IRE) Made In Taipan (IRE) Top Othe Ra (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Walk In The Park (IRE) 8.3% · 7–84
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,941 runs since 2008 (691 horses).
Vocalised (USA) 6.5% · 3–46
Progeny have won 6.7% of 2,031 runs since 2008 (172 horses).
Belardo (IRE) 6.7% · 3–45
Progeny have won 10.2% of 3,706 runs since 2008 (280 horses).
The Gurkha (IRE) 2.2% · 1–45
Progeny have won 9.7% of 2,022 runs since 2008 (127 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 183. Weakest on Heavy going: 2.9% from 105. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 111.
Battle Of Marengo (IRE) 0% · 0–35
Progeny have won 7.4% of 956 runs since 2008 (89 horses). Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 12.6% from 199.
Barastraight (GB) 3.2% · 1–31
Progeny have won 11.6% of 344 runs since 2008 (61 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,652 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,652 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton 1xBet.ie Supports The Curragh Handicap10f · Yielding · 24 ran 14th 11/2
20 Oct 26 Curragh (IRE) Tropical Retreat (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Autumn Racing With 1xBet.ie At The Curragh Handicap6f · Yielding · 17 ran 17th 40/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Kimy (FR)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing Again November 7th Handicap12f · Soft · 14 ran 5th 16/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Real Petite (GER)J: Jimmy Dalton Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I)8.5f · Soft · 16 ran 1st 5/1
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: Colin Keane Dine At Gowran Park Handicap7f · Yielding · 13 ran 11th 13/2
19 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Colin Keane Golf At Gowran Park Nursery Handicap7f · Yielding · 12 ran 8th 5/1
13 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Space Warrior (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell William Hill Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle23.5f · Good · 18 ran 6th 11/1
11 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish EBF Auction Series Race Final7f · Soft · 12 ran 9th 150/1
10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor WTW Willis Fillies Maiden7f · Soft · 11 ran 3rd 14/1
08 Oct 26 Tramore (IRE) Kimy (FR)J: Danny Mullins Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase20.5f · Yielding · 12 ran 2nd 4/1
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Jimmy Dalton Welcome Back To Thurles Handicap12.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 1st 100/30J
06 Oct 26 Galway (IRE) Figero (IRE)J: Donagh Meyler SIS Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 6th 28/1
05 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Donagh O'Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 125/1
02 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Space Warrior (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Racing TV Handicap Hurdle (Div I)20f · Good · 20 ran 6th 14/1
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Mount Shenshan (IRE)J: Sean Cleary-Farrell Derrinlaur Mares Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 1st 11/2
01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Max Meridius (IRE)J: Danny Mullins Clonmel Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 12 ran 5th 100/30
28 Sep 26 Roscommon (IRE) Our Sonny (IRE)J: Mr C Mullins GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race15.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 5th 50/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Kimy (FR)J: Mr C Mullins Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap10f · Heavy · 18 ran 15th 50/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Caislean Ni Cuan (IRE)J: N G McCullagh Celebrating County Kildare And Lexington Twinning Maiden6f · Heavy · 11 ran 4th 20/1
27 Sep 26 Curragh (IRE) Silk Twist (IRE)J: Scott McCullagh Army Equitation Centenary Irish EBF Maiden7f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 150/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Thomas Mullins's strike rate?
Thomas Mullins has won 44 of 676 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Thomas Mullins do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 6 wins from 52 runners (11.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Thomas Mullins?
Danny Mullins, with 112 runners since 2022 — 17% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (7.1%).
Is Thomas Mullins in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Thomas Mullins's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 676 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).