What is D J Bunyan's strike rate?

D J Bunyan has won 13 of 198 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does D J Bunyan do best at?

Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is D J Bunyan's Fair A/E?

1.22, from 197 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

D J Bunyan

198 runners in the last 5 seasons · 48 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Nov 2024 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2011→)

from 1 Jan 2022

13–198

Wins / Runs

6.6%

Strike rate

n=198

31 (16%)

Placed

1.22

Fair A/E

n=197 · 0.99 incl. margin

−77.67

£1 level stake

n=198 at SP · −39.2%

£164k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.22). With a claiming rider up the record reads 9% (89 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 198 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Claiming riders: 9%

The read

The record is strongest at Dundalk (AW) (12.5%, n=40), clear of the yard's 6.6% baseline. It is weakest at Curragh (0% over 47 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.71). The yard also reads well over 1m – 1m1f (12.2%, n=41). The record reads poorly on Good going — 1.3% over 77 runners, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 6f – 7f: Fair A/E 0.54 across 83 runners (2.4% strike, −54.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. 3 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Al Basti Equiworld Mercury Stakes at Dundalk (AW) (Oct 2018, £37,465). The stable star of the record: Grey Danube (IRE) — 8 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.3%−4.3

n=43 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −24.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5.3%−1.3

n=19 · A/E 1.50 · £1 +0.00

Debutants · first career start

8.3%+1.7

n=24 · A/E 2.95 · £1 −1.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−6.6

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

20%+13.4

n=5 · A/E 1.87 · £1 +0.00

When favourite

14.3%

n=7 · A/E 0.61 · £1 −3.50

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9%+2.4

n=89 · A/E 2.07 · £1 −16.17

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.6

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Dean Curran 15% vs 6.6% · n=40

At Curragh 0% vs 6.6% · n=47

On Good going 1.3% vs 6.6% · n=77

At Dundalk (AW) 12.5% vs 6.6% · n=40

Over 1m – 1m1f 12.2% vs 6.6% · n=41

Over 6f – 7f 2.4% vs 6.6% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 197 13 6.6% −76.67

Hurdle 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 77 1 1.3% −69.00

Standard (AW) 46 5 10.9% −2.50

Soft 45 5 11.1% −1.67

Good to Soft 20 1 5% −13.50

Heavy 8 1 12.5% +11.00

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Curragh 47 0 0% −47.00

Dundalk (AW) 40 5 12.5% +3.50

Cork 19 1 5.3% +0.00

Naas 13 0 0% −13.00

Navan 11 0 0% −11.00

Killarney 10 1 10% +1.00

Leopardstown 8 0 0% −8.00

Gowran Park 8 3 37.5% +10.33

Bellewstown 8 1 12.5% −1.50

Roscommon 7 1 14.3% +2.00

Tipperary 6 1 16.7% +7.00

Laytown (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00

Down Royal 3 0 0% −3.00

Galway 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.88 −3.17

2nd–3rd fav 16 3 18.8% 1.43 +1.00

4th–6th fav 40 7 17.5% 2.34 +36.50

7th+ in betting 131 1 0.8% 0.31 −112.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Elzaam Blue (IRE)then Jamie Osborne 15 3 5 15 Feb 23

Brokers Tip (IRE) 10 0 1 8 Sep 22

J J Jumbo (IRE)then S Caceres 9 1 2 1 Feb 23

Buddy Batt (IRE)then Tracey Collins 8 1 2 27 Aug 24

Louis Le Broc (IRE) 8 0 0 2 Sep 23

Valentino Express (IRE) 7 0 0 31 Aug 24

Balaclava (IRE)from Ms Maria Kelly 7 0 0 4 May 24

Hello Power (IRE)from Gerard O'Leary · then D J Bunyan & G O'Leary 7 1 2 6 Sep 23

Tic Tac Toe (IRE)then Ray Hackett 7 0 1 5 Oct 22

Sovereign City (IRE) 6 0 0 5 Jul 24

Sanshiro (IRE)then D J Bunyan & G O'Leary 6 0 1 31 Aug 23

Seven Worlds (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Oct 22

All 48 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 48 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gerard O'Leary (11); 33 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for D J Bunyan & G O'Leary (15) and Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch (2); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

029131270767000

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDean Curran

20% of all rides
15% SR · A/E 2.66

RiderRWSR£1

Dean Curran 40 6 15% +1.83

Chris Hayes 37 1 2.7% −33.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£735k

Prize money

2023

Best season · 9 wins

Hit The Bid (GB) — Al Basti Equiworld Mercury Stakes (Group 3) Dundalk (AW) · Oct 2018 · Group 3

£37,465

Hit The Bid (GB) — Jimmy O'neill Irish Racing Excellence Curragh Stakes (group 3) Curragh · Aug 2016 · Group 3

£35,400

Hit The Bid (GB) — Midsummer Sprint Stakes (Listed) Cork · Jun 2017 · Listed

£26,550

Notable horses

Grey Danube (IRE) Limit Long (GB) Hit The Bid (GB) Elzaam Blue (IRE) Dreams Delivered (IRE) Mister Trader (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Elzaam (AUS) 20% · 3–15

Progeny have won 9.2% of 4,508 runs since 2008 (371 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 322.

Anjaal (GB) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7.9% of 1,213 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.4% from 161.

Champs Elysees (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.5% of 7,115 runs since 2008 (520 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 7.9% from 391. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.5% from 387.

Aclaim (IRE) 12.5% · 1–8

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (200 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.8% from 385.

Bated Breath (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,112 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 841.

Dandy Man (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,899 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 780 · newest first

The latest 50 of 780 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 July 2011 to 22 November 2024.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Nov 24 Dundalk (AW) Southgreen (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden8f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 150/1

03 Nov 24 Curragh Amigo Veritas (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 27 ran 27th 100/1

03 Nov 24 Curragh Southgreen (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Maiden8f · Yielding To Soft · 27 ran 20th 125/1

28 Oct 24 Galway Al Rojo Vivo (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden8.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 200/1

09 Oct 24 Navan Eccellente (GB)J: Neve Bennett Simonstown Maiden6f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran 14th 250/1

05 Oct 24 Curragh Supreme Law (IRE)J: Ms M Kelly Newbridge Silverware Ladies Trophy (Q.R.) Handicap12f · Good · 15 ran 14th 150/1

10 Sep 24 Galway Episodic (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden7f · Yielding · 16 ran 12th 200/1

31 Aug 24 Curragh Valentino Express (IRE)J: Neve Bennett Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Apprentice Handicap6f · Good · 17 ran 17th 80/1

27 Aug 24 Bellewstown Buddy Batt (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Dolly's Bar & Pantry Handicap5f · Good To Yielding · 13 ran 8th 14/1

24 Aug 24 Curragh Valentino Express (IRE)J: Jamie Powell FBD Hotels And Resorts Saturday Series Handicap5f · Good · 13 ran 13th 28/1

24 Aug 24 Curragh Eccellente (GB)J: Neve Bennett FBD Hotels And Resorts Castleknock Hotel Maiden6f · Good · 17 ran 17th 250/1

23 Aug 24 Killarney Supreme Law (IRE)J: Ms M Kelly Tote, Never Beaten By SP (Q.R.) Race17f · Yielding To Soft · 5 ran 5th 100/1

21 Jul 24 Curragh Valentino Express (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Newbridge Silverware Sprint Handicap5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 50/1

21 Jul 24 Curragh Al Rojo Vivo (IRE)J: Ronan Whelan Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Irish European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden7f · Good · 11 ran 11th 300/1

20 Jul 24 Curragh Shoof Phoenix (IRE)J: Chris Hayes Juddmonte Chaldean Irish European Breeders Fund (C & G) Maiden7f · Good · 12 ran 11th 100/1

13 Jul 24 Navan Valentino Express (IRE)J: Jamie Powell Castle Arch Hotel Handicap6f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 18th 25/1

05 Jul 24 Bellewstown Sovereign City (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Dore & Co. Solicitors Handicap (47-65) (Div 1)12f · Good · 10 ran 9th 20/1

04 Jul 24 Bellewstown Episodic (IRE)J: Rory Cleary Irish EBF Median Sires Series Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 10 ran 8th 100/1

02 Jul 24 Roscommon Eccellente (GB)J: Neve Bennett Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden7.5f · Good · 14 ran 14th 200/1

28 Jun 24 Curragh Jurality (GB)J: Rory Mulligan Fitzpatrick's Mercedes-Benz Apprentice Derby Handicap (50-80)12f · Good · 18 ran 16th 80/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is D J Bunyan's strike rate?: D J Bunyan has won 13 of 198 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does D J Bunyan do best at?: Dundalk (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is D J Bunyan's Fair A/E?: 1.22, from 197 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.