What is Eoin McCarthy's strike rate?

Eoin McCarthy has won 15 of 304 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which yard does Eoin McCarthy ride most for?

P J Rothwell, with 61 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.8%).

What is Eoin McCarthy's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 304 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Eoin McCarthy

304 rides in the lifetime window · 161 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Oct 2014 100% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

15–304

Wins / Runs

4.9%

Strike rate

n=304

62 (20%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=304 · 0.67 incl. margin

−181.77

£1 level stake

n=304 at SP · −59.8%

£250k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 304 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance P J Rothwell: 9.8% from 61 Claiming: 5%

The read

The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 2.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.65 and −153.50 to a £1 stake over 219 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. P J Rothwell supplied 20% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9.8% vs 4.9%, A/E 1.36) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well in Chase races (11.1%, n=63). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Alchemy Properties Handicap Chase at Cork (Oct 2008, £39,060). The standout partner of the record was Jamies Choice (IRE) — 5 wins from 7 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

4.1%−0.8

n=147 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −72.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.5%+18.6

n=17 · A/E 1.32 · £1 −6.77

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.6%−0.3

n=65 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −39.50

When favourite

41.7%

n=12 · A/E 1.74 · £1 +2.98

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5%+0.1

n=303 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −180.77

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.7%−2.2

n=219 · A/E 0.65 · £1 −153.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.7%+2.8

n=13 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −8.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Chase races 11.1% vs 4.9% · n=63

With P J Rothwell 9.8% vs 4.9% · n=61

On Soft going 7.6% vs 4.9% · n=119

Off a 8-14-day break 2.2% vs 4.9% · n=45

Off a 0-7-day break 7.3% vs 4.9% · n=41

Over 2m5f – 3m 7.1% vs 4.9% · n=42

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 226 8 3.5% −163.77

Chase 63 7 11.1% −3.00

NH Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 119 9 7.6% −55.02

Heavy 90 3 3.3% −59.75

Good 58 3 5.2% −30.00

Good to Firm 19 0 0% −19.00

Good to Soft 12 0 0% −12.00

Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 22 3 13.6% −1.00

Thurles 22 0 0% −22.00

Fairyhouse 20 0 0% −20.00

Listowel 20 1 5% −17.00

Navan 19 0 0% −19.00

Limerick 18 1 5.6% −11.00

Gowran Park 17 0 0% −17.00

Naas 16 0 0% −16.00

Tramore 15 1 6.7% −11.75

Punchestown 15 1 6.7% +6.00

Down Royal 14 0 0% −14.00

Downpatrick 13 2 15.4% −2.27

Ballinrobe 11 1 9.1% +6.00

Sligo 10 2 20% −1.00

Clonmel 9 1 11.1% +4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 13 1 7.7% −8.50

Class 4 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 6 33.3% 1.56 +0.23

2nd–3rd fav 27 2 7.4% 0.59 −14.00

4th–6th fav 52 4 7.7% 1.18 −14.00

7th+ in betting 207 3 1.4% 0.50 −154.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

84.4% completed · 289 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 63 68.3% 7 5 7 0 1

Hurdle 226 88.9% 9 3 7 1 5

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Fitz Lady (IRE) 10 0 4 15 Oct 14

Audit (IRE) 10 1 2 9 Aug 09

Finns Cross (IRE) 8 0 2 30 Jul 09

What's In Front (IRE) 7 0 2 14 Sep 09

Jamies Choice (IRE) 7 5 6 15 Nov 08

Belass Boy (IRE) 6 0 0 10 May 10

Roisini Bay (IRE) 6 0 0 29 Apr 10

Heartansoul (IRE) 6 2 2 16 Sep 09

Lion Na Bearnai (IRE) 5 0 2 28 Mar 09

Spring Charm (IRE) 5 1 2 26 Dec 08

Bally Folan Girl (IRE) 5 0 1 27 Nov 08

Rivazza (FR) 4 0 0 4 May 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 161 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

310005515104600

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardP J Rothwell

20% of all rides
9.8% SR · A/E 1.36

TrainerRWSR£1

P J Rothwell 61 6 9.8% −22.00

Seamus Lynch 49 3 6.1% −30.77

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£364k

Prize money

2008

Best season · 9 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Jamies Choice (IRE) — Alchemy Properties Handicap Chase Cork · Oct 2008 · Grade B

£39,060

Cluain Arra (IRE) — O'Flynn Construction Handicap Hurdle Cork (IRE) · Nov 2006 · Grade C

£24,087

Jamies Choice (IRE) — Seamus Mulvaney Handicap Chase (0-123) Listowel · Sep 2008

£13,020

Notable horses

Jamies Choice (IRE) Jimmy Spot On (IRE) Heartansoul (IRE) Itsallaracket (IRE) Finns Cross (IRE) Audit (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Flemensfirth (USA) 50% · 5–10

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,282 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Fusaichi Pegasus (USA) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 8.4% of 681 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.2% from 157. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.4% from 140.

Rudimentary (USA) 30% · 3–10

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).

Saddlers' Hall (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7.7% of 4,861 runs since 2008 (460 horses).

Wareed (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 7.8% of 510 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.5% from 157.

Topanoora (IRE) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 7.8% of 719 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.4% from 210.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 493 · newest first

The latest 50 of 493 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 15 October 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 14 Punchestown The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Join The Punchestown Newsletter For Best Offers Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

15 Sep 14 Listowel The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Listowel Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/2

29 Aug 14 Down Royal The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy SHS Sales & Marketing Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 7th 4/1

22 Aug 14 Killarney Marmaladeskies (IRE)T: W F Codd Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran 6th 28/1

15 Aug 14 Tramore The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Have Your Wedding At The Strand Inn Dunmore East Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 5/1F

24 Jul 14 Limerick The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy At The Races Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18f · Good · 16 ran 2nd 10/1

17 Jul 14 Killarney The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Dawn Hi + Lo Milk Handicap Hurdle (80-102)17f · Good · 17 ran 3rd 25/1

24 Jun 14 Ballinrobe The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Audi Ballina Ballinrobe Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20f · Good · 15 ran 7th 14/1

24 Jun 14 Ballinrobe Muzhil (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Mulholland Bookmakers Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 9th 16/1

21 May 14 Sligo Furacano (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Follow Sligo Races On Facebook Rated Novice Hurdle16f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 80/1

18 May 14 Limerick Xifiltosa (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Follow Us On Twitter Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Good · 16 ran F 33/1

17 May 14 Punchestown The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Haven Hire Supporting Kildare Gaa Handicap Hurdle (80-102)24f · Good · 23 ran F 16/1

15 May 14 Tipperary Muzhil (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Micheal Maher Building And Construction Services Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 20 ran 10th 33/1

09 May 14 Cork Furacano (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Corkracecourse.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 24 ran 14th 66/1

25 Apr 14 Kilbeggan Windsor Pride (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Moate Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 11 ran 7th 28/1

24 Apr 14 Tipperary The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Tipperaryraces.ie Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 25/1

20 Apr 14 Cork Furacano (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Summer Bbq July 11th Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 17 ran 12th 50/1

29 Oct 12 Naas Another Mattie (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Ben Dunne Gyms Supporting Kildare GAA (Pro/Am) Flat Race19f · Soft · 8 ran 5th 20/1

16 Sep 12 Listowel The Fitz Lady (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy Kerry Group Flat Race16f · Heavy · 15 ran 7th 20/1

01 Jan 12 Tramore Mazellie (IRE)T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy David Flynn Construction Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 13 ran 7th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Eoin McCarthy's strike rate?: Eoin McCarthy has won 15 of 304 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Eoin McCarthy ride most for?: P J Rothwell, with 61 rides since 2008 — 20% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (9.8%).
What is Eoin McCarthy's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 304 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.