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Trainer profile

Seamus Lynch

109 runners in the lifetime window · 23 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2010
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–109
Wins / Runs
2.8%
Strike rate
n=109
17 (16%)
Placed
0.47
Fair A/E
n=109 · 0.34 incl. margin
−90.77
£1 level stake
n=109 at SP · −83.3%
£56,170
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 3% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.47). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 6% off breaks of two months or more (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 6.3% Claiming riders: 3.4%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 6.3% (n=32, Fair A/E 1.01). The yard also read well on Soft going (8.3%, n=36). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.62 across 80 runners (3.8% strike, −61.77 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.3%+3.5
n=32 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −15.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.8
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.8
n=8 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −8.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
50%
n=4 · A/E 1.71 · £1 +1.23
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.4%+0.6
n=87 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −68.77
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.8
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Soft going 8.3% vs 2.8% · n=36
With Eoin McCarthy 6.1% vs 2.8% · n=49
With a new jockey booking 0% vs 2.8% · n=40
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2.8% · n=32
In Hurdle races 3.8% vs 2.8% · n=80 · A/E 0.62
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 80 3 3.8% −61.77
Flat 18 0 0% −18.00
Chase 6 0 0% −6.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 36 3 8.3% −17.77
Heavy 27 0 0% −27.00
Good 22 0 0% −22.00
Good to Firm 13 0 0% −13.00
Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Listowel 11 0 0% −11.00
Leopardstown 10 0 0% −10.00
Thurles 9 0 0% −9.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Fairyhouse 7 0 0% −7.00
Navan 6 0 0% −6.00
Downpatrick 6 1 16.7% −4.27
Tramore 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Sligo 4 1 25% −0.50
Gowran Park 4 0 0% −4.00
Clonmel 4 1 25% +9.00
Tralee 4 0 0% −4.00
Naas 4 0 0% −4.00
Galway 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 2 33.3% 1.42 −0.77
2nd–3rd fav 11 0 0% 0.00 −11.00
4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.54 −14.00
7th+ in betting 65 0 0% 0.00 −65.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
91.9% completed · 86 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 6 83.3% 1 0 0 0 0
Hurdle 80 92.5% 1 0 2 1 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Finns Cross (IRE)from Keith Reveley · then Thomas P O'Connor 16 0 3 20 Jun 10
Wontfools Befools (IRE) 15 0 2 21 Oct 10
Audit (IRE)from Sir Michael Stoute 10 1 2 9 Aug 09
Geneva Silver (IRE)then Lawrence Walshe 9 0 1 5 Aug 10
Itsallaracket (IRE)from D M Fogarty 8 2 3 7 Feb 10
Broughtons Folly (GB)from Willie Musson 7 0 1 25 May 08
Glantane Cross (IRE) 6 0 1 19 Dec 08
Presenting Thyne (IRE)from Henry De Bromhead · then Miss Regina Bonner 5 0 3 14 Sep 09
Cloudy Bays (IRE)from C Byrnes 5 0 0 16 Mar 08
Jimmy Spot On (IRE) 4 0 0 2 Jun 08
Pinnacle Lad (IRE)from John Spearing · then J G Coogan 3 0 0 13 Sep 10
Cnoc Na Heornan (IRE)then Paul John Gilligan 3 0 0 11 Apr 10
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 11 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

10 have since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
02500001300000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderEoin McCarthy
45% of all rides
6.1% SR · A/E 0.81
RiderRWSR£1
Eoin McCarthy 49 3 6.1% −30.77
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
£142k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Finns Cross (IRE) — Labrokes Ireland Handicap Hurdle (74-109) (Div 2) Listowel · Sep 2007
£11,747
Jimmy Spot On (IRE) — Www.galwayraces.com Handicap Hurdle (74-109) Galway · Sep 2005
£10,711
Itsallaracket (IRE) — Downpatrick E.B.F Mares Novice Hurdle Downpatrick · Feb 2009
£10,365
Notable horses
Jimmy Spot On (IRE) Finns Cross (IRE) Itsallaracket (IRE) Audit (IRE) Revisionist (IRE) Grimaldi (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Topanoora (IRE) 0% · 0–16
Progeny have won 7.8% of 719 runs since 2008 (82 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 4.8% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 11.4% from 210.
City Honours (USA) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 8% of 1,050 runs since 2008 (125 horses).
Fusaichi Pegasus (USA) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 8.4% of 681 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.2% from 157. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.4% from 140.
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Rudimentary (USA) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,114 runs since 2008 (201 horses).
Groom Dancer (USA) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 263 · newest first

The latest 50 of 263 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 31 December 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
31 Dec 10 Tramore Heroes Square (IRE)J: Ian McCarthy Newtown Handicap Chase (0-95)21f · Heavy · 10 ran 9th 9/2
21 Oct 10 Thurles Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Mr S M Tierney Home Of Hurling Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Good · 18 ran 4th 14/1
25 Sep 10 Navan Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Michael Darcy Drogheda Handicap Hurdle (80-95)22f · Yielding · 30 ran 5th 16/1
13 Sep 10 Listowel Pinnacle Lad (IRE)J: Seamie Heffernan Gerry Duffy Handicap (47-70)6.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 13th 20/1
02 Sep 10 Clonmel Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Eddie Power 'tipperary Going For 26' Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Firm · 18 ran 7th 16/1
05 Aug 10 Sligo Geneva Silver (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Sligo Park Hotel Maiden Hurdle24f · Good · 16 ran 11th 16/1
02 Aug 10 Naas Be Attitude (IRE)J: Gary Carroll Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 16 ran 14th 50/1
02 Aug 10 Naas Customary Chorus (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Fillies Maiden8f · Good · 16 ran 8th 12/1
29 Jul 10 Galway Geneva Silver (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Signature Novice Hurdle20.5f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 7th 50/1
11 Jul 10 Sligo Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Kielan Woods R.s.s. Document Storage Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 8th 8/1
03 Jul 10 Bellewstown Geneva Silver (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Sam Dennigan & Co. Hurdle20f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 66/1
24 Jun 10 Tipperary Pinnacle Lad (IRE)J: Willie Supple South Tipperary Tourism Handicap (47-65)7.5f · Firm · 10 ran 6th 14/1
20 Jun 10 Gowran Park Geneva Silver (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Inistioge Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 19 ran 10th 33/1
20 Jun 10 Down Royal Customary Chorus (IRE)J: Willie Supple Irish Stallion Farms European Breeders Fund Fillies Maiden10.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 5th 20/1
20 Jun 10 Gowran Park Finns Cross (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 16/1
07 Jun 10 Listowel Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Kielan Woods Harvest Festival 12th-18th September Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Div 220f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 9th 9/1
05 Jun 10 Listowel Geneva Silver (IRE)J: L McNiff Croom House Stud Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 9th 25/1
02 Jun 10 Fairyhouse Finns Cross (IRE)J: Willie Supple Wednesday Evening Racing At Fairyhouse Maiden12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 7th 50/1
27 May 10 Clonmel Pinnacle Lad (IRE)J: Willie Supple Cahir Handicap (47-65)10f · Good · 15 ran 10th 16/1
19 May 10 Sligo Wontfools Befools (IRE)J: Michael Darcy Harry's Bar Sligo Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Good · 16 ran 11th 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Seamus Lynch's strike rate?
Seamus Lynch has won 3 of 109 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Seamus Lynch's Fair A/E?
0.47, from 109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).