What is Finian O'Toole's strike rate?

Finian O'Toole has won 53 of 654 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Finian O'Toole do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Finian O'Toole ride most for?

Micky Hammond, with 414 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8.7%).

What is Finian O'Toole's Fair A/E?

0.98, from 653 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Finian O'Toole

654 rides in the lifetime window · 217 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2018 99% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

53–654

Wins / Runs

8.1%

Strike rate

n=654

131 (20%)

Placed

0.98

Fair A/E

n=653 · 0.87 incl. margin

−234.47

£1 level stake

n=654 at SP · −35.9%

£404k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 8% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 18% (51 rides). Rode mostly for Micky Hammond — 63% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 654 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance 23.3% when favourite Micky Hammond: 8.7% from 414 LTO winners: 17.6% Claiming: 8.2% Rode the favourite in 5% of races

The read

Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 17.6% (n=51, Fair A/E 0.97), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 4.1% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.18). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.81 and −110.58 to a £1 stake over 217 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Micky Hammond supplied 63% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.93). The rider also read well on Heavy going (13.5%, n=96). The record read poorly beyond 3m — 0% over 34 rides, 8.1pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Roxyfet (FR) — 7 wins from 38 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.1% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

5.5%−2.6

n=217 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −110.58

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

17.6%+9.5

n=51 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −13.84

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.8%−3.3

n=125 · A/E 0.87 · £1 −69.50

When favourite

23.3%

n=30 · A/E 0.75 · £1 −11.30

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

8.2%+0.1

n=636 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −237.47

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−4.0

n=49 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −6.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.1

n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 17.6% vs 8.1% · n=51

With C&D winners 15.3% vs 8.1% · n=85

With Sharon Watt 16.2% vs 8.1% · n=37

Beyond 3m 0% vs 8.1% · n=34

With debutants 0% vs 8.1% · n=33

On Heavy going 13.5% vs 8.1% · n=96

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 351 32 9.1% −68.67

Chase 245 20 8.2% −120.80

NH Flat 52 1 1.9% −39.00

Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 236 22 9.3% −40.42

Soft 155 7 4.5% −88.00

Good to Soft 133 10 7.5% −75.92

Heavy 96 13 13.5% −6.13

Good to Firm 28 1 3.6% −18.00

Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Sedgefield 115 10 8.7% −44.80

Wetherby 84 5 6% +13.00

Hexham 81 9 11.1% −15.50

Catterick 48 4 8.3% −28.00

Carlisle 43 3 7% −25.25

Kelso 36 4 11.1% −8.09

Newcastle 31 1 3.2% −27.50

Ayr 30 4 13.3% −7.50

Cartmel 30 3 10% −9.75

Perth 29 4 13.8% +7.25

Musselburgh 25 2 8% −11.33

Market Rasen 24 2 8.3% −15.00

Doncaster 12 0 0% −12.00

Southwell 9 0 0% −9.00

Newcastle (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 333 30 9% −88.42

Class 5 153 19 12.4% −3.80

Class 3 90 3 3.3% −67.50

Class 2 23 1 4.3% −19.75

Class 6 23 0 0% −23.00

Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 38 9 23.7% 0.80 −12.05

2nd–3rd fav 107 23 21.5% 1.29 +22.58

4th–6th fav 249 15 6% 0.87 −88.00

7th+ in betting 260 6 2.3% 0.82 −157.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

81.9% completed · 596 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 245 79.6% 8 8 34 0 0

Hurdle 351 83.5% 2 5 47 1 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Roxyfet (FR) 38 7 14 30 Oct 18

Too Many Chiefs (IRE) 18 5 6 10 Nov 18

Oscar O'scar (IRE) 17 2 7 24 Jun 18

Reverant Cust (IRE) 16 2 6 21 Apr 18

Verko (FR) 15 3 5 13 May 17

Eager To Know (IRE) 14 0 4 5 Oct 18

Alderbrook Lad (IRE) 14 2 4 23 Jul 18

Tickenwolf (IRE) 13 2 2 6 Sep 18

Christmas Twenty (IRE) 13 1 3 15 Jul 18

Arctic Vodka (GB) 11 1 4 25 Oct 18

Kisumu (GB) 11 0 2 2 Oct 18

Paddling (FR) 11 1 4 13 Apr 18

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 217 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 3 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

581458513810977

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMicky Hammond

63% of all rides
8.7% SR · A/E 0.93

TrainerRWSR£1

Micky Hammond 414 36 8.7% −139.38

Sharon Watt 37 6 16.2% +9.00

Sheena Walton 30 1 3.3% −18.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→

Archived wins

£404k

Prize money

2017

Best season · 15 wins

Alderbrook Lad (IRE) — Oakmere Homes Handicap Chase Cartmel · Jun 2015 · Class 2

£12,512

Alderbrook Lad (IRE) — Totepool Cashback Club At Totesport.com Handicap Chase Cartmel · May 2018 · Class 3

£8,187

Rathlin (GB) — Ortus Homes Handicap Chase Ayr · Mar 2016 · Class 3

£7,798

Notable horses

Roxyfet (FR) Too Many Chiefs (IRE) Verko (FR) Becky The Thatcher (GB) Onlyfoolsownhorses (IRE) Oscar O'Scar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Califet (FR) 17.5% · 7–40

Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,802 runs since 2008 (399 horses).

Oscar (IRE) 6.7% · 2–30

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

High Chaparral (IRE) 9.5% · 2–21

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Daylami (IRE) 11.1% · 2–18

Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.

Indian River (FR) 27.8% · 5–18

Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,381 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8% from 224.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,687 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 654 · newest first

The latest 50 of 654 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 27 April 2008 to 10 November 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

10 Nov 18 Kelso One Night In Milan (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish Urwin Family Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 9 ran F 10/3

10 Nov 18 Kelso Too Many Chiefs (IRE)T: Sharon Watt Graeme Todd And Friends Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1

09 Nov 18 Hexham Durbanville (GB)T: Stef Keniry Weatherbys Racing Bank Foreign Exchange Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

09 Nov 18 Hexham Rafferty (IRE)T: Stef Keniry Weatherbys Racing Bank Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 14 ran F 40/1

07 Nov 18 Musselburgh Valkenburg (GB)T: Keith Dalgleish Watch Racing UK With Free Trial Now Juvenile HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 3rd 9/2

04 Nov 18 Carlisle Gris De Pron (FR)T: Henry Hogarth Watch RacingUK On BT TV Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 19 ran 16th 28/1

01 Nov 18 Sedgefield Dallas Cowboy (IRE)T: John Wainwright Magnificent Six Ladies Of Nortonthorpe Mills Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 5 ran 4th 12/1

30 Oct 18 Bangor-on-Dee Roxyfet (FR)T: Micky Hammond Oliver Greenall Racing Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 17.5f · Good · 10 ran 5th 40/1

27 Oct 18 Kelso One Night In Milan (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish Carnacrack Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Good · 5 ran 1st 10/11F

25 Oct 18 Carlisle One Night In Milan (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish Travis Perkins Celotex Handicap Hurdle (Div 2)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 10 ran 1st 5/1

25 Oct 18 Carlisle Arctic Vodka (GB)T: Sharon Watt Watch Racing UK On The Go Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 7 ran 6th 18/1

21 Oct 18 Sedgefield Rock N Rolla (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish Casino At Toals.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 9 ran 8th 15/2

21 Oct 18 Sedgefield Square Viviani (FR)T: Micky Hammond Bet At Toals.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 7 ran 4th 12/1

18 Oct 18 Carlisle Roxyfet (FR)T: Micky Hammond Smarkets Betting Exchange Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 33/1

13 Oct 18 Hexham Arctic Vodka (GB)T: Sharon Watt Sign Up To Interbet At Bettingsites.Ltd.UK Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 23.5f · Soft · 5 ran PU 8/1

07 Oct 18 Kelso Swinton Diamond (IRE)T: Micky Hammond Queens Head Hotel Kelso Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21.5f · Good · 7 ran UR 9/4F

05 Oct 18 Hexham Eager To Know (IRE)T: Micky Hammond 188Bet Mobile Bet10 Get20 Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 8/1

03 Oct 18 Bangor-on-Dee Just Heather (IRE)T: John Wainwright Horseradish Catering Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 200/1

02 Oct 18 Sedgefield Kisumu (GB)T: Micky Hammond bet365 Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Firm · 4 ran 3rd 100/1

02 Oct 18 Sedgefield One Night In Milan (IRE)T: Keith Dalgleish bet365 Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 4th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Finian O'Toole's strike rate?: Finian O'Toole has won 53 of 654 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.1% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Finian O'Toole do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 rides (13.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Finian O'Toole ride most for?: Micky Hammond, with 414 rides since 2008 — 63% of the total. That pairing has won 36 (8.7%).
What is Finian O'Toole's Fair A/E?: 0.98, from 653 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.