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Trainer profile

Henry Hogarth

107 runners in the last 5 seasons · 14 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 3 days ago 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
10–107
Wins / Runs
9.3%
Strike rate
n=107
23 (22%)
Placed
1.23
Fair A/E
n=107 · 1.07 incl. margin
−28.29
£1 level stake
n=107 at SP · −26.4%
£121k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.23).

Deterministic profile computed from 107 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.43). The yard also reads well over 2m1f – 2m4f (18.4%, n=38) and in Chase races (15.9%, n=63). The record reads poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 44 runners, 9.3pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Pamak D'airy (FR) — 6 wins from 61 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.3% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−3.7
n=36 · A/E 1.43 · £1 −6.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−9.3
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−9.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.3
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.3
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
40%
n=5 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −0.12
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−9.3
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 9.3% · n=44
Over 2m1f – 2m4f 18.4% vs 9.3% · n=38
With Danny McMenamin 17.6% vs 9.3% · n=34
In Chase races 15.9% vs 9.3% · n=63
With Jamie Hamilton 3.2% vs 9.3% · n=31
Off a 15-30-day break 14% vs 9.3% · n=43
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 63 10 15.9% +15.71
Hurdle 44 0 0% −44.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 58 5 8.6% −12.00
Good to Soft 22 2 9.1% −13.12
Soft 20 2 10% −0.50
Heavy 5 1 20% −0.67
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Sedgefield 16 3 18.8% +12.00
Market Rasen 13 0 0% −13.00
Hexham 12 1 8.3% −7.67
Newcastle 12 2 16.7% +15.50
Southwell 10 1 10% −3.50
Catterick 10 0 0% −10.00
Carlisle 8 2 25% −3.12
Uttoxeter 7 0 0% −7.00
Cartmel 7 0 0% −7.00
Doncaster 4 0 0% −4.00
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Kelso 2 0 0% −2.00
Aintree 2 1 50% +5.50
Haydock 1 0 0% −1.00
Huntingdon 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 65 5 7.7% −30.17
Class 4 30 2 6.7% −19.00
Class 3 10 3 30% +22.88
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 2 40% 1.19 −0.12
2nd–3rd fav 15 3 20% 1.19 −1.67
4th–6th fav 32 4 12.5% 1.52 +5.50
7th+ in betting 55 1 1.8% 0.75 −32.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
72% completed · 107 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 63 76.2% 2 0 13 0 0
Hurdle 44 65.9% 0 0 15 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Beny Nahar Road (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 17 2 5 14 Sep 26
Largy Train (GB)from Paul Nicholls 16 4 6 16 Feb 26
Flic Ou Voyou (FR)from Paul Nicholls 13 4 7 16 May 25
Goldrapper (IRE)from Katy Price 11 0 1 17 Nov 22
Mance Rayder (IRE)from Philip Hobbs 10 0 1 11 Jun 24
Landacre Bridge (GB)from Ben Pauling 7 0 2 27 Dec 22
Archie Brown (IRE)from Paul Nicholls 6 0 0 13 Mar 25
Barranco (IRE)from S R B Crawford · then Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero 5 0 0 17 Jan 25
Stoney Street (GB) 5 0 0 1 Dec 22
Montys Rock (IRE)from Eoin Doyle 4 0 0 3 Dec 24
The Black Squirrel (IRE)from Warren Greatrex 4 0 0 6 May 23
Gemini Fire (IRE) 4 0 0 20 Mar 23
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 12 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (6); 2 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 13 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
92015258900013130
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDanny McMenamin
32% of all rides
17.6% SR · A/E 1.91
RiderRWSR£1
Danny McMenamin 34 6 17.6% +4.21
Jamie Hamilton 31 1 3.2% −24.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
84
Archived wins
£625k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 9 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
King Killone (IRE) — totesport 0800 221 221 Novices' Chase Newcastle · Feb 2006 · Class 2
£19,464
Imperial Dream (IRE) — Novices' Handicap Chase Ayr · Apr 2005 · Class 2
£12,793
King Killone (IRE) — totesport.com Handicap Chase Wetherby · Nov 2006 · Class 3
£11,711
Notable horses
Pamak D'airy (FR) Shrewd Investor (IRE) Finbin (IRE) Hattons Hill (IRE) Over And Above (IRE) Mance Rayder (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Nathaniel (IRE) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 11.6% of 7,065 runs since 2008 (634 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.2% from 324.
Yorgunnabelucky (USA) 25% · 4–16
Progeny have won 11.2% of 1,076 runs since 2008 (97 horses).
Kapgarde (FR) 30.8% · 4–13
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,608 runs since 2008 (723 horses).
Gold Well (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Kayf Tara (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 12.6% of 13,740 runs since 2008 (1,148 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.2% from 1,708.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,005 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,005 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 January 2005 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Oct 26 Sedgefield Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: William Maggs Celebrating 40 Years Of Vickers Bookmakers Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 7 ran PU 50/1
14 Sep 26 Sedgefield Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 10/1
26 Jul 26 Uttoxeter Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton QuinnBet Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 6th 15/2
05 Jul 26 Market Rasen Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Stay At The Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Park Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good · 12 ran 10th 16/1
13 Jun 26 Hexham Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton drainrat.co.uk Rat Entry Diagnosis Specialist Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 8 ran 4th 16/1
27 May 26 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Traffic Management Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 22f · Good · 9 ran 8th 18/1
16 Feb 26 Carlisle Largy Train (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Watch Racing TV Now Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 5th 7/2
25 Jan 26 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Charlie Maggs Fairlight Studios Conditional Jockeys' Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 1st 11/2
26 Dec 25 Sedgefield Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: Joe Williamson SprayClad UK NE Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1
24 Nov 25 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Chris Blanckley 79th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Soft · 6 ran 3rd 13/8F
06 Nov 25 Sedgefield Largy Train (GB)J: Danny McMenamin Michael Watson Civils & Groundworks Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 13/2
30 Sep 25 Sedgefield Jackpot D'athou (FR)J: Ryan Mania Paxtons No1 For CaseIH Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 14/1
16 Sep 25 Uttoxeter Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Pete Ball 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 10 ran F 11/2
23 Aug 25 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 6 ran 2nd 16/5
19 Jul 25 Cartmel Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Windermere School Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 21f · Good · 9 ran 4th 12/1
06 Jul 25 Market Rasen Jackpot D'athou (FR)J: Jamie Hamilton Dino Day Charity Umbrellas Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 8/1
22 Jun 25 Hexham Fortunate Fella (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Chris Lowther & Brian Ellison 27 Years Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 11/1
22 Jun 25 Hexham Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton Diana & Malcolm Pearce 50th Wedding Anniversary Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 15.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 6/5F
03 Jun 25 Southwell Beny Nahar Road (IRE)J: Jamie Hamilton RCA Summer Jumps Championship Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 6 ran 1st 11/2
16 May 25 Aintree Flic Ou Voyou (FR)J: Danny McMenamin HAMeansMore Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 20f · Good · 6 ran 1st 13/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Henry Hogarth's strike rate?
Henry Hogarth has won 10 of 107 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.3% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Henry Hogarth in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Henry Hogarth's Fair A/E?
1.23, from 107 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).