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Jockey profile

Francis McCurtin

126 rides in the lifetime window · 48 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2017 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2010→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–126
Wins / Runs
2.4%
Strike rate
n=126
22 (18%)
Placed
0.43
Fair A/E
n=125 · 0.32 incl. margin
−110.25
£1 level stake
n=126 at SP · −87.5%
£51,785
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.43). Rode mostly for John J Walsh — 71% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 126 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance John J Walsh: 3.3% from 90
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 2.4% strike, Fair A/E 0.43 and −107.25 to a £1 stake over 123 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. John J Walsh supplied 71% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (3.3%, A/E 0.50). The rider also read well on Heavy going (6.5%, n=46). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.70 across 53 rides (3.8% strike, −40.75 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−2.4
n=48 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −48.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−2.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−2.4
n=31 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −31.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 0.95 · £1 −0.75
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
2.4%+0.0
n=123 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −107.25
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−2.4
n=82 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −82.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−2.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Heavy going 6.5% vs 2.4% · n=46
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 2.4% · n=48
On Soft going 0% vs 2.4% · n=37
On Good going 0% vs 2.4% · n=31
Over 1m5f – 2m 3.8% vs 2.4% · n=53 · A/E 0.70
With John J Walsh 3.3% vs 2.4% · n=90 · A/E 0.50
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 94 3 3.2% −78.25
Chase 21 0 0% −21.00
NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Heavy 46 3 6.5% −30.25
Soft 37 0 0% −37.00
Good 31 0 0% −31.00
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00
Good to Soft 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 27 2 7.4% −20.25
Cork 24 0 0% −24.00
Clonmel 15 0 0% −15.00
Thurles 14 0 0% −14.00
Gowran Park 7 1 14.3% +2.00
Tipperary 6 0 0% −6.00
Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00
Ballinrobe 4 0 0% −4.00
Leopardstown 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 3 0 0% −3.00
Listowel 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Navan 2 0 0% −2.00
Galway 2 0 0% −2.00
Fairyhouse 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 6 1 16.7% 0.70 −2.75
2nd–3rd fav 14 1 7.1% 0.58 −10.50
4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.60 −18.00
7th+ in betting 79 0 0% 0.00 −79.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.8% completed · 115 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 21 81% 3 1 0 0 0
Hurdle 94 89.4% 2 2 4 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Love On Top (IRE) 13 1 4 11 Mar 17
Andunowhat (IRE) 11 0 4 4 Nov 12
Tellherimhere (IRE) 10 0 3 13 Jun 14
Page Turner (IRE) 9 1 4 4 May 13
Steady Ed (IRE) 7 0 2 13 Jun 14
Dusty Heights (IRE) 5 0 0 9 Sep 15
The Four Elms (IRE) 5 1 2 18 Mar 13
Ten Second Tom (IRE) 4 0 0 10 Feb 15
Indian Spinner (IRE) 4 0 0 27 May 11
Bleudawn (IRE) 4 0 0 13 Mar 11
Up All Night (IRE) 3 0 0 25 Feb 16
Putintheboot (IRE) 3 0 0 7 Mar 13
All 48 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
11080000000100
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJohn J Walsh
71% of all rides
3.3% SR · A/E 0.50
TrainerRWSR£1
John J Walsh 90 3 3.3% −74.25
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2010→
3
Archived wins
£51,785
Prize money
2012
Best season · 2 wins
Page Turner (IRE) — I.n.h. Stallion Owners E.B.F. Maiden Hurdle Limerick · Jan 2012
£9,660
The Four Elms (IRE) — Mcmahons.ie Family Fun Day 1st April Hurdle Limerick · Mar 2012
£8,970
Love On Top (IRE) — Gowran Park Racing Club Membership 2015 For 100 Mares Handicap Hurdle Gowran Park · Nov 2014
£6,900
Notable horses
Love On Top (IRE) Page Turner (IRE) The Four Elms (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Westerner (GB) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 12.2% of 11,858 runs since 2009 (945 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Brian Boru (GB) 0% · 0–13
Progeny have won 11% of 4,124 runs since 2009 (285 horses).
Old Vic (GB) 0% · 0–11
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Anshan (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Bishop of Cashel (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 7.7% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 3.8% from 105.
Asian Heights (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 8.3% of 145 runs since 2012 (18 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 126 · newest first

The latest 50 of 126 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 April 2010 to 11 March 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 Mar 17 Gowran Park Love On Top (IRE)T: Raymond John McCurtin Gowran Park Golf Club Captains 2017 Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Soft To Heavy · 15 ran 12th 25/1
14 Jan 17 Punchestown (IRE) Love On Top (IRE)T: Raymond John McCurtin Visit www.punchestown.com Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Soft · 13 ran 13th 33/1
29 Dec 16 Leopardstown Love On Top (IRE)T: Raymond John McCurtin Willis Towers Watson E.B.F. Mares Hurdle (grade 3)20f · Yielding · 5 ran 5th 66/1
02 Dec 16 Limerick Antimatter (IRE)T: Donncha Duggan Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 14 ran 6th 25/1
03 Nov 16 Thurles Love On Top (IRE)T: Raymond John McCurtin Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle20.5f · Good · 11 ran 8th 25/1
25 Feb 16 Thurles Up All Night (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Killinan Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 17 ran 8th 100/1
27 Jan 16 Thurles Up All Night (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Thurles.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 18 ran 8th 100/1
28 Dec 15 Limerick Up All Night (IRE)T: Timothy Doyle Mr. Binman Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 13 ran 8th 33/1
22 Dec 15 Clonmel News Show (GB)T: William Hayes Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Heavy · 18 ran 16th 33/1
09 Sep 15 Galway Dusty Heights (IRE)T: Denis O'Herlihy Mervue Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 7 ran 4th 50/1
30 Aug 15 Cork Supreme Doc (IRE)T: G Ahern Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 9th 16/1
30 Aug 15 Cork Dusty Heights (IRE)T: Denis O'Herlihy Family Day Out Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 17 ran 8th 100/1
03 Aug 15 Cork Dusty Heights (IRE)T: Denis O'Herlihy Follow Us On Twitter Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 20 ran 17th 100/1
19 Jul 15 Tipperary Cloudy Morning (IRE)T: M T O'Donovan Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-109)20f · Good · 15 ran 3rd 12/1
21 May 15 Clonmel Master Appeal (IRE)T: John E Kiely Nire Valley Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16.5f · Good · 17 ran 9th 7/1
17 Mar 15 Down Royal Forjoethepainter (IRE)T: Anthony Mulholland Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-95)20f · Yielding To Soft · 14 ran 12th 20/1
26 Feb 15 Thurles Love On Top (IRE)T: John J Walsh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Beginners Chase18f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 6th 14/1
12 Feb 15 Thurles Agent For Chaos (IRE)T: Mrs Mary Buttimer Cashel Maiden Hurdle22.5f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran 11th 66/1
10 Feb 15 Clonmel Ten Second Tom (IRE)T: Philip M Byrne Surehaul Race Day Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 15th 100/1
08 Feb 15 Leopardstown Love On Top (IRE)T: John J Walsh Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Handicap Hurdle18f · Yielding · 23 ran 20th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Francis McCurtin's strike rate?
Francis McCurtin has won 3 of 126 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 2.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Francis McCurtin ride most for?
John J Walsh, with 90 rides since 2008 — 71% of the total. That pairing has won 3 (3.3%).
What is Francis McCurtin's Fair A/E?
0.43, from 125 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).